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EIA: Data centers' surge in power consumption could boost fossil fuel production

The?U.S. Energy Information Administration?said in an?analysis?on Thursday that the U.S. fossil-fuel production could increase over the next two years, as the surge of electricity consumption from data centers tightens the power supply. Energy Information Administration (EIA)?released an?analysis? on Thursday.

The EIA reported that the U.S. demand for electricity has grown at an annual pace of 1.7%, after more than a decade with a flat growth. This is mainly due to the expansion of large-scale computer facilities.

The agency's February Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) predicts that the nation's electricity load will grow by 1.9% - in 2026, and 2.5% - in 2027. The fastest growth is projected for the Texas -ERCOT grid system, and PJM - a grid operator serving parts of the mid-Atlantic - and Midwest.

The EIA’s high-demand scenario assumes an expansion of data centres at a faster pace, but the generation capacity remains unchanged from STEO’s February baseline.

The model anticipates a greater reliance on gas to meet additional demand. It projects a 7.3% increase in the natural gas-fired production between 2025-2027, compared to a 1.7% increase under the baseline forecast. The coal generation would still decline, but at a slower rate, under the case of high demand.

The EIA predicts that wholesale power prices will also rise. ERCOT 2027 'prices' could be $37/MWh more than their February projections. This is a 79% increase, as the Texas grid has limited capacity to draw power from other regions during peak demand. The report stated that other regions may face modest increases between $1 and $3/MWh. Reporting by Anmol Chaubey, Bengaluru. Editing by Will Dunham

(source: Reuters)