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Sources say that the new pipeline between Syria and Iraq is still many years away.

Iraq's plans for a 'pipeline' to transport oil through Syria in order to avoid future disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz would likely take four years to build and cost $15 billion, according to sources familiar with the project. U.S. officials and energy executives have billed the plan as part of an effort to reduce the industry’s dependence on the Strait of Hormuz, which has been closed largely by the Iran War. The initial feasibility study is being funded by a consortium that includes Chevron.

Over the next two-year period, the Strait will become irrelevant. Last week, U.S. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent stated that the strait would become irrelevant.

Bessent stated that "more than 50 or 70 percent" of these exports will be shipped via underground pipelines.

Two sources involved directly in the project said that the pipeline between Iraq and Syria would take double the time due to the need for a new infrastructure.

Due to the sensitive nature of the issue, both sources requested that they not be identified.

NEW INFRASTRUCTURE TO REMOVE OLD WAR-DAMAGED PIPES

Iraq is one of the most affected countries by the Hormuz closure.

According to SOMO, the state-owned oil company, it exported approximately 3.6 million barrels per day prior to the war. This was mainly via Gulf terminals near Basra. However, in July, only 35.5 million barrels were shipped through Hormuz.

The pipeline connecting northern Kirkuk in Iraq to the Mediterranean port in Banias, Syria already exists. However, it was badly damaged by the wars in Iraq or Syria and is not regularly used since 1980.

Both sources stated that the plan would cost at least 15 billion dollars and require the construction of a completely new pipeline rather than repairing the existing one.

One source said that while a large part of the new pipeline will run along the same Kirkuk to Banias route, sections intact of this pipeline are incompatible with the newly developed specifications, and therefore would not be usable.

Second source: The project will include a completely new integrated crude oil pipe system linking Iraq's southern fields and northern fields with a central hub at Haditha, in western Iraq. It would then continue to Banias.

The U.S. welcomed the "rehabilitation" and reconstruction of the pipeline. It said it would have an initial transport capacity 2 million bpd crude oil.

This would require a significant expansion of the capacity of the old pipe, which was about 300,000 barrels per day. That is less than a 10th of what Iraq exported via the Strait of Hormuz prior to the Iran War. Iraq has restarted its oil exports via pipeline from the Kirkuk fields to Turkey's Ceyhan Port with a targeted capacity of 250,000 bpd.

Both sources stated that work on the Iraq to Syria pipeline would take 'around four years. One added, however, that this timeline could also be affected by the need to clear old infrastructure as well as acquiring new land rights from Syria’s?new government.

A NEXT POSSIBLE "ACCESS TO THE MARKET" BUT STUDIES ARE STILL REQUIRED

Syria and Iraq signed separate memorandums with a consortium made up of U.S. giant Chevron, TI Capital, and Qatar's UCC Holding for technical and financial study in preparation for this project.

The Iraqi oil ministry and state-owned Syrian Petroleum Company have not responded to requests for comments on the project, the timeline and cost estimates of the sources. UCC Holding and TI Capital did not respond immediately to comments. Chevron referred to an earlier statement regarding the preliminary agreement, and stated that it does not comment commercial details.

A?Chevron executive stated at a press conference last month that the project would offer "another route to the?market" via the Mediterranean. The executive stated that any pipeline must also connect to Iraq's southern fields, West Qurna 2 & Nassiriya. Chevron has entered into negotiations to join these fields.

Chevron has not yet completed technical studies that will determine if the existing Iraq-Syria Pipeline needs refitting or expanding, according to the executive.

The company hasn't yet provided estimates on the future export capacity of the project.

The executive stated that "normally, when it comes to pipelines, there is not 100% capacity on the first day."

(source: Reuters)