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Brazil 2026 Budget Sponsor proposes $1.9 Billion Exclusion for State-run Firms' Fiscal Target
Gervasio maia, the Brazilian congressman who sponsored the bill on budget guidelines for 2026, proposed to exclude up to 10 billion reals ($1.9 billion) of next year's fiscal goal for state-owned enterprises. According to Maia’s amendment, this amount will cover the expenses of companies that have an active and approved economic-financial plan. The proposal gives President Luiz inacio Lula da Silveira fiscal flexibility. It comes at a time when the postal service Correios is facing a cash crisis. Last month, it approved a restructuring program as its losses soared this year. This raised doubts over the viability of state-run Correios. The company reported a loss for the year to date of 6 billion reals ($1.13 billion), nearly three times the amount reported a year ago. The government has to compensate state-owned companies when they exceed their fiscal targets. This often means freezing federal spending. This is what happened with this year's Budget, when the government in November approved it. It was necessary to offset the 3 billion reais deficit that had been expected at state-owned firms due to Correios’ troubles. Maia removed from her proposal a clause on compensation. This effectively prevents the government from implementing it in the event that state-owned companies miss their targets next year. After the bill was passed, the change to the budget proposal for 2026 was announced ahead of the joint session of the Congress on Thursday. Committee approval is expected to be made on Wednesday. Correios stated earlier this week that the Treasury Blockage It was prevented from taking out a loan of 20 billion reais (3.67 billion dollars) from a bank consortium with a guarantee from the government because the interest rates exceeded the limit for deals backed by the state. ($1 = 5.3048 reales) ($1= 5.3133 reales) (Reporting and editing by Diane Craft; Marcela Ayres)
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Irish media reported that drones were spotted near Zelenskiy's flight path from Dublin.
Local media reported that an Irish navy ship saw up to five drones near the flight path for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy as he arrived in Ireland on Monday to make a state visit. Irish Times reported that the sighting caused a major alert due to fears of an attempted interference with the flight path. The Irish Times cited unnamed sources who said that the aircraft was not in danger, despite its arrival a little early. The Ukrainian delegation arrived on Monday late and left late the following day, as part of an effort to drum up support for Kyiv in Europe as Russia continues its war against Ukraine. Recent drone flights in Europe have disrupted airspace operations. Their origin is mostly unknown. Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, has called these incursions hybrid warfare. The Journal website first reported that drones were spotted at Dublin Airport. They said they arrived at the exact location where Zelenskiy’s plane had been expected to be, at the exact time it was due to pass. The authorities said they were conducting investigations to determine if the drones had taken off from a ship or landed on land. Both news outlets reported that they were first seen northeast of Dublin at a distance of around 20 km (12miles) from the airport. Ireland's Defence Forces stated that it could not comment on any specifics about any alleged incident for operational security purposes. A spokesperson stated that "however, the Defence Forces' support to An Garda Siochana's (police) security operation was successfully deployed by multiple means, ultimately leading to a successful and safe visit,"
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US investigations report that Waymo's self-driving car illegally passed 19 school buses in Texas
The U.S. government said Thursday that it had asked Waymo for more information after Texas officials claimed that Alphabet's self-driving cars had passed school buses illegally 19 times since the beginning of the school year. In October, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration launched an investigation after an incident that occurred in Georgia. A Waymo was not stationary as it approached a school bus while its red lights were flashing and its stop arm was deployed. The Austin Independent School District posted a letter on November 20, 2018 by the NHTSA. In the letter, they stated that five incidents had occurred in November following the announcement from Waymo that it had updated its software to fix the problem. They asked the company not to operate around schools at pick-up or drop-off hours until it was able to ensure the vehicles wouldn't violate the law. Waymo didn't immediately respond to an inquiry for comment. A lawyer for the district wrote: "We cannot let Waymo continue to endanger our students as it tries to fix the problem." Citing an incident in which a Waymo was "recorded" driving past a school bus that had stopped only moments after the student who crossed in front, while still on the road, had been in front of the vehicle. A spokesperson for the school district did not respond immediately to whether Waymo had met this request. NHTSA was prompted by the letter to ask Waymo if it would comply to the request that self-driving vehicles cease operations during pick-up or drop-off hours for students. They also asked: "Was a software fix developed or implemented to mitigate this concern?" If so, will Waymo file a recall to fix the problem? In a letter sent to Waymo by the NHTSA on Wednesday, it demanded answers to questions about school bus incidents and software updates that address safety concerns. David Shepardson is reporting.
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US investigations report that Waymo's self-driving car illegally passed 19 school buses in Texas
The U.S. government said on Thursday that it had asked Waymo for more information after Texas officials claimed that Alphabet's self-driving cars had passed school buses illegally 19 times since the beginning of the school year. In October, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration launched an investigation after a Georgia incident where a Waymo failed to remain stationary as it approached a school bus that had its red lights flashing with a stop arm deployed. In a letter published by NHTSA on Nov. 20, the Austin Independent Schools District stated that five incidents had occurred in November, after Waymo claimed to have made software updates to fix the problem. The district asked the company to stop operations near schools at pick-up or drop-off hours until it could be ensured the vehicles wouldn't violate the law. Waymo didn't immediately respond to an inquiry for comment. David Shepardson reports.
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Sources: Deutsche Bahn will return to profitability this year and next.
According to sources close the company, Deutsche Bahn will return to profitability this year and next, despite its underinvestment in trains and delays. After more than a decade underinvestment by the state-owned Deutsche Bahn, it has begun upgrading its tracks and overhead lines, as well as cutting administrative costs. This has led to major delays and cancellations across the country. Positive outlook is also a result of CEO Evelyn Palla's task to turn the company around. She took over on October 1. Palla will present her restructuring plan for the company at a meeting of the supervisory board scheduled to take place on Wednesday. Significant job cuts are expected. Deutsche Bahn has declined to comment. Sources said that the company expects a slightly positive profit before interest and tax (EBIT) in 2025 after a loss last year of 388 million euros. EBIT is expected to reach 500 million euros by 2026. The German Bahn also aims at reducing its net loss from 820 million euros to 180 million next year. Revenues are expected to stay stable, around 28 billion euro next year.
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Senators in the US want airlines to compensate passengers for delays with cash
A group of Democratic Senators introduced legislation on Thursday that would require airlines to compensate passengers for significant delays with cash. Mark Kelly, Ed Markey, and Richard Blumenthal, senators who are leading the charge, propose to mandate compensation that is in line with European Union (EU) and Canadian requirements. This includes mandating a minimum of $300 for delays of over three hours, and a minimum of $600 for delays of six hours or longer. This proposal was first reported on by after President Donald Trump's administration withdrew his predecessor's plan to force airlines to compensate passengers for flight delays caused by carriers. Kelly said that airlines must be held accountable for their actions when they leave travelers stranded and cost the American public money. "We are working to protect passengers so that they don't have to pay for cancellations or delays out of pocket." The U.S. Transportation Department, under the then-President Joe Biden in December 2024 sought public comments on writing rules that would require airlines to pay up to $775 per hour for delays exceeding three hours domestically. Airlines for America (a trade group that represents American Airlines, Delta Air Lines and United Airlines) had previously criticised Biden's plan for cash compensation, claiming it would increase ticket prices. USDOT stated last month that the rule would create "unnecessary regulations burdens," which is why it wouldn't go forward. In the United States, airlines are required to refund customers for cancelled flights but not compensate them for delayed flights. All four countries - the European Union, Canada and Britain - have rules on airline compensation for delays. No major U.S. airlines currently guarantee cash compensation for flight delays. USDOT announced in September that it would consider rescinding the Biden regulations, which required airlines and ticket agents disclose service fees along with airfares. The Trump administration plans to also reduce regulatory burdens for airlines and ticket agents. This will be done by writing new regulations that define a cancellation of flight, which entitles the consumer to a refund. It will also revisit rules regarding ticket pricing and advertising.
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Mercuria's copper takeover from LME Asia increases supply anxiety
Four sources with knowledge of the matter have confirmed that commodity trader Mercuria plans to remove significant quantities of copper from London Metal Exchange storage facilities in Asia. Prices are rising on account of expectations of a shortage. LME copper prices reached a record of $11,540 per metric ton Wednesday, partly because of anticipated shortages in the coming year due to disruptions to mine supplies including accidents and incidents in Indonesia and Chile. Mercuria, a Swiss company, has cancelled or designated for delivery over 40,000 tonnes of copper stored in LME facilities in South Korea. Taiwan Sources familiar with the situation say that copper was discovered on December 2. The value of copper at current prices would be $460,000,000. Mercuria declined comment. The LME approved warehouses that store copper for the construction and power industries have historically low inventories, which has contributed to an increase in prices in recent months. Copper is a major export from the LME, and prices in the United States are high. This is despite the fact that copper has been exempted from the import tariffs which came into effect on August 1. On December 2, the total amount of copper warrants that were cancelled - documents that confer ownership - was 56,875 tonnes or 35%. LME stocks Mercuria's action helped to boost the premium for cash copper contracts over the three-month ahead price . On Wednesday, premiums, which have been on an upward trend since November, reached $88 per ton, the highest level since October 13. Comparatively, a contango or discount of around $35 was offered on November 19, Last year, the premium per ton was around $38. As the settlement date of December 17 nears, traders expect even higher premiums on cash contracts. Companies with short positions must find copper in order to fulfill their contracts against them or roll them over - a process known as a "short squeeze". According to industry sources, cancellations are more frequent in contango markets where the prices of contracts with longer dates are higher than nearby contracts. It is rare to cancel warrants in a backwardated market, as the premium is usually intended to encourage deliveries at the LME.
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Source: Kazakhstan's oil production declines due to damaged terminals limiting exports.
An industry source reported on Thursday that Kazakhstan's oil-and-gas condensate output fell by 6% during the first two days in December. This was after a Ukrainian drone attacked the Caspian pipeline consortium's (CPC's) Black Sea loading facilities. The CPC pipeline which transports over 80% Kazakhstan's oil and more than 1% global supply has suspended operations after an mooring near Russia's Novorossiysk Port was damaged. Later, it resumed supplying using a single point mooring instead of the usual two. As a back-up, a third unit is currently undergoing maintenance that began before the strikes. According to sources and calculations, Kazakhstan's oil-and-gas condensate output decreased in the first two weeks of December from a November average production to 1.9 millions barrels per day. The Kazakhstani energy ministry has not responded to a comment request. The drop in oil production is a result of the CPC drone strike on OPEC+ Member Kazakhstan. Kazakhstan exported 68.6 millions tons of oil to the world last year, and was the 12th largest oil producer. MINISTER SAYS ONE CPC MOORING IS NOW FULLY OPERATIONAL CPC's pipeline of 1,500 km (930 mi) carries crude oil from Kazakhstan's Tengiz and Karachaganak fields to the Yuzhnaya Ozereevka Terminal in Novorossiysk. CPC gets its crude primarily from fields in Kazakhstan, but also from Russian producers. Yerlan AKBAROV, Kazakhstan's Deputy Minister of Energy, said that on Thursday one of CPC's moorings was fully operational at the Black Sea Terminal and that there were no restrictions regarding oil transportation. On Wednesday, five industry sources said that Kazakhstan would divert more crude oil through the Baku Tbilisi Ceyhan (BTC pipeline) in December due the the reduction of capacity at CPC. Kazakh producers can also export crude oil to Russia via Novorossiysk, Ust-Luga and the Druzhba Pipeline and Germany via Druzhba. However, these routes have lower margins because they are dependent on the capacity and the performance of Russian pipeline operator Transneft. As Russia's pipeline network is overloaded after drone attacks on its refineries, the options for rerouting oil from Kazakhstan are limited. One industry source estimated that the CPC's loading capacity would be reduced by 900,000 tonnes per week when only using one SPM. (Reporting and editing by Guy Faulconbridge, Ed Osmond).
Maguire: Gas bulls need to be aware of coal's stranglehold on Asia's energy sector.
Gas producers, exporters, and trading companies are betting on Asia to drive demand for gas in the future. Asia is the fastest-growing market in the world.
Gas peddlers should temper their enthusiasm, however, because coal-fired power is growing in the region.
Global Energy Monitor (GEM) reports that Asia's biggest economies are building three times as much coal-fired electricity capacity than they do gas-fired. They already depend on coal to generate roughly 45% percent of the region's power.
As part of a continuing drive to produce clean, domestic energy, large economies in Asia, including China, India and Japan, are developing more solar, hydropower and wind power than gas-fired capability.
The combination of a steep increase in coal production and a record-breaking clean power output could serve to limit gas usage across the region. This is especially true if gas prices are higher than other power sources, or more volatile.
Power Pipeline
GEM reports that in 10 of Asia's biggest economies, including China, India and Japan, as well as South Korea, Indonesia Vietnam, Thailand, Taiwan, Philippines, and Pakistan, there are just under 1 million megawatts of new power capacity being built.
Solar farms make up the largest portion of that total (26% or 270,000 MW), while coal-fired power plants are the second largest (24%) with a little under 250,000MW.
Hydropower and wind farms each account for 20%, while gas-fired plants make up 7%, or around 70,000MW.
Nuclear plants are responsible for another 4% of the total, while geothermal and bioenergy facilities account for each less than 1%.
COAL COMFORT
The coal's large share in Asia's thermal energy footprint is due to several factors.
Gas and coal-fired plants can compete directly in a network that allows both to adjust their outputs to meet system needs.
Gas has become the most cost-effective alternative to coal in Europe and North America due to efforts to reduce pollution and to the dense distribution of gas.
Data from the energy think tank Ember show that coal has been responsible for more than half of Asia's utility scale power production over the last two decades and has produced record amounts of electricity each of these past four years.
This deep coal penetration was made possible by the rapid and dense construction of coal storage and distribution channels, which ensured that power companies had a constant supply of relatively inexpensive coal when needed.
Gas storage and distribution networks are still sparse and expensive in Asia. They require special tanks and pipelines to maintain pressure, which makes them more expensive than coal systems.
Most Asian power companies have chosen to build new coal plants over gas ones, particularly where utilities are under pressure.
Gas-fired electricity generation is expanding in China, which is the world's biggest power consumer and coal user. This expansion comes amid efforts to reduce coal pollution.
Even there, nearly five times as much new coal capacity is being built than gas capacity. This will allow coal to remain the main power source for many more decades.
Slow Uttake
Gas power has been slow to spread in Asia due to a number of issues, including the high cost of building gas power plants and pipelines, as well as the lack of storage facilities.
According to the Energy Institute, the Energy Institute, the Energy system operators are concerned about the concentration of production in just three countries: the United States (including Russia) and Iran (which accounts for almost half of the global output).
In recent years, Russia and Iran were both subjected to international sanctions that made it difficult for small utilities to purchase or trade their products.
The U.S., the world's largest gas producer, is expected to use tariffs in trade negotiations during President Trump's second tenure, raising the risk of retaliation from Asia, which could make U.S. products off-limits.
Nearly half of all gas is sourced from countries which could be considered as unreliable trading partners and expose gas importers at risk of costly supply chain interruptions.
Gas pipelines across borders are regularly threatened with sabotage or destruction during political disputes. The cost of shipping gas by sea is also often many times higher than the cost of shipping coal of comparable size.
Finaly, around 80% global coal supply comes from Asia. This means that Asian power plants are usually able replenish their stocks quickly from a variety of suppliers.
The proximity of competing suppliers helps to keep coal prices down during localised supply disruptions and keeps power companies from having to accumulate costly inventories.
The coal industry will continue to dominate Asia's power generation, even though efforts to increase gas exports from the rest of the world are expected to rise steadily in the next few years.
These are the opinions of the author who is a market analyst at.
(source: Reuters)