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INDIA RUPEE: Inflows push rupee to a one-month high, and optimism about trade deals boosts sentiment.

The Indian rupee reached its highest level in one month on Thursday. This was boosted by dollar sales made by foreign banks, and the reduction of bets against the local currency. Optimism surrounding a U.S. India trade agreement also helped sentiment.

The rupee reached a high of 85.20 before closing the session at 85.31. This was a 0.4% increase on the day.

The rupee was boosted by dollar sales from foreign banks during the second half of the session on Thursday. A rise above 85.40 triggered stop-loss orders for some bets made against the currency.

The dollar index was stable ahead of an important U.S. employment report.

The majority of Asian stock indices also rose on Thursday after U.S. and Vietnam trade talks raised the possibility that other countries in Asia could make breakthroughs ahead of the July 9, tariff deadline.

India's benchmark stock indexes closed slightly lower, despite the fact that they were marginally lower.

Sources familiar with the talks say that U.S.-India trade negotiators pushed hard on Wednesday to reach a deal to reduce tariffs before President Donald Trump's deadline of July 9, according to sources.

DBS stated in a note on Thursday that "given the U.S. - Vietnam trade deal and the approaching deadline of July 9 for the reciprocal tariff suspension, markets are also aware of similar announcements regarding trade with India and the European Union."

The rupee could rise above 85 if a deal is struck with India, but the amount of gains will depend on the foreign currency inflows. Also, if the central banks purchases dollars to shore up their FX reserves.

Investors will be watching the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Report for clues about the future direction of Federal Reserve policy rates.

The economists polled expect the U.S. to add 110,000 new jobs in June. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate is expected to rise from 4.3% to 4.3%. (Reporting and editing by Vijay Kishore; Jaspreet Klra)

(source: Reuters)