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INDIA RUPEE Rupee weakened by dollar rise, but modest outflows are still occurring; premiums for forward contracts have risen.

The Indian rupee fell on Thursday, mainly due to dollar bids coming from foreign banks. Also, the greenback was generally stronger after U.S. president Donald Trump announced a new tariff of 35% on Canadian imports beginning August 1.

The rupee was down 0.3% at 11:30 am IST as a result of modest portfolio outflows.

India's benchmark equity index, the Nifty50, dropped by 0.7%. The benchmark 10-year bond also suffered a slight decline.

Asian currencies were trading mixed, with the Chinese yuan edging higher after a stronger-than-expected midpoint fix by the country's central bank.

Trump said that he also plans to impose a tariff of 15% or 20% for most other trading partners, and that a letter stating the applicable rate could be sent by Friday to the European Union.

Analysts believe that while the market's reaction to the tariff threat has been more subdued than earlier this year, the uncertainty could continue to dampen the risk appetite.

The bias towards rupee appreciation is limited given the current environment. The support near 85.50 is still strong. There's a good chance that the pair will move back up towards 86.00," Amit Pabari said, managing director of FX advisory firm CR Forex.

The dollar-rupee fixed rate was quoted at a modest premium, around 0.2/0.3paisa on the day. This signaled a greater appetite to purchase dollars at the daily benchmark rate.

A trader from a private bank reported that dollar sales by a large, state-run, bank at around 85.90 helped to limit rupee losses.

The dollar-rupee premiums have also increased. The implied yield for the year is now 1.98% and the premium for the month has risen to 11.25 paisa.

A trader in a Mumbai bank stated that the Reserve Bank of India’s aggressive withdrawal of liquidity had put upward pressure on premiums for near-forward contracts. (Reporting and editing by Vijay Kishore; Jaspreet Klra)

(source: Reuters)