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AI is a threat to U.S. industries, from software to real estate

Wall Street is 'in the grip of AI disruption fears. Investors began by selling shares in software companies, but quickly spread to other sectors that were seen as susceptible to automation. This led to sharp losses this week for U.S. stock prices.

AI-related scare tactics have affected even industries such as legal services, private credit, data analytics and insurance.

Anthropic's legal AI plug in caused a drop in global?tech stocks. Investor unease grew after a series of AI model updates and new releases.

Emmanual Cau, equity strategist at Barclays, said that fear is driving the market's sentiment. Investors are still in a'sell-first, think-later' mode and asking "who's next" while showing no mercy to anything even remotely perceived as an AI loser.

Take a look at the impact of the selloff on different sectors:

SOFTWARE AND SOFTWARE EXPOSED LOANS

Since its peak in October, the S&P 500 Software & Services Index has lost approximately $2 trillion in value. The S&P 500 Software & Services index has lost about $2 trillion in value since its peak in October.

Atlassian, Intuit, and Workday are among the Nasdaq's 100 worst performers so far this year. Atlassian is down 47%; Intuit, 40%; and Workday has lost one-third of its value.

In 2026, Salesforce will have fallen about 30% while Adobe and CrowdStrike are down by 25% each.

Robert Pavlik is a senior portfolio manager with Dakota Wealth, based in Fairfield,?Connecticut. He said that there's a notion that?AI will replace existing models within the next few years - models which have been in use for many, many years, and models from which businesses have reaped significant profits.

Alternative asset managers also saw their shares fall on the back of concerns about their exposure to loans or leverage related to these companies.

Ares, Blackstone, Blue Owl, Apollo. TPG and KKR all fell between 13% to?24% in this year.

BNP Paribas estimates that about a fifth (25%) of private credit is exposed to software.

FINANCIAL BROKERAGE & DATA ANALYTICS & LEGAL SERIES The financial sector, in particular?brokers and data analytics firms were hammered when wealth management?firm Altruist launched AI-enabled features for tax planning, stoking concerns that the rapidly-advancing technology would upend their business models.

On Tuesday, shares of LPL Financial (broker), Raymond James Financial (financial advisor) and Charles Schwab (stock broker) fell by more than 7%. S&P Global's index provider, who issued a gloomy earnings forecast for 2026 has fallen more than 25% since February. It is on track to have its worst month ever. Moody's, Factset Research, and MSCI all fell this month.

REAL ESTATE SERVICES

KBW analysts say that investors have been moving away from labor-intensive, high-fee business models that are viewed as vulnerable to AI-driven disruption.

CBRE Group, Jones Lang LaSalle and Cushman & Wakefield all fell by about 12% on Wednesday. Cushman & Wakefield dropped nearly 14%. CoStar Group, which owns Apartments.com, Homes.com and other websites, dropped 5.9%.

Morningstar analyst Sean Sunlop stated that "we view market concerns as being overstated" due to the fragmented end markets for CRE and the non-core nature of many clients' real estate activities. He also noted that their valuations are "not cheap", despite the recent selloff.

INSURANCE Insurance shares took a big hit. Brokers and Underwriters on both sides of the Atlantic plunged when online platform Insurify launched a ChatGPT AI-powered tool that allows users to compare auto insurance rates.

S&P 500 Insurance Index dropped 3.9% on Sunday, its largest single-day decline since mid-October.

Willis Towers Watson shares have fallen 15% this week, and are on track for their worst week since March 2020's pandemic selloff. Aon dropped 9%, and Arthur J. Gallagher fell 15% this week.

"Ultimately, brokers will split," we believe. Bob Jian Huang, Morgan Stanley's equity strategist, said that AI could have a significant impact on simpler insurance products such as term life, auto and home.

In our opinion, higher-valued agents will use AI to improve analysis and underwriting. They won't be displaced by AI.

TRUCKING AND LOGISTICS

The sector fell'sharply' on Thursday, despite the fact that traders probably didn't see logistics and trucking firms as AI targets.

Algorhythm Holdings is a logistics company that focuses on AI. It previously sold karaoke-machines. The firm's SemiCab unit increased customers' freight volume by 300% to $400%, "without an increase in operational staff".

Stocks such as Landstar System, C.H. Robinson. The Dow Jones Transportation Average dropped 4.4%.

Analysts at Jefferies, however, stated that the reaction was not based on fundamentals. They said that "proprietary freight data and physical network remain durable moats."

(source: Reuters)