Latest News

As the Iran conflict intensifies, maritime insurance premiums are on the rise

As the Gulf conflict intensifies, premiums on maritime insurance for war coverage have risen -- some by as much as 1000%. This has led to a dramatic increase in the cost of transporting energy along a crucial maritime corridor.

The conflict sparked Saturday by Israeli and U.S. airstrikes against Tehran has 'paralyzed' traffic through the Strait of Hormuz - a major shipping chokepoint. Iran said on Monday that it would shoot at any ship trying?to pass' and nine vessels have been damaged in the area ever since the conflict started.

Ship owners can claim for any damage their vessel or cargo may suffer due to conflict or terrorism. Most policies are annual. However, some may cover one-off trips through dangerous waters, such as war zones.

Analysts are concerned that the continuing conflict, which is not showing signs of ending, could fuel inflation.

The hull war market has responded more quickly due to the possibility of large losses, if multiple vessels were hit in one area. Stephen Rudman is the head of marine for Asia at global insurance broker Aon. He added that, if the situation escalates, a further rate adjustment would be likely.

He said that the premiums charged to vessels transiting high-risk waters were rising rapidly and could continue to do so in the near future.

He said that the premiums for war risks on cargo are also rising, and quotes are being reviewed voyage by voyage, especially in energy and bulk commodity trading.

Jefferies analysts estimated that the potential losses to industry from seven damaged vessels at the time their note was published, on March 5, could be up to $1.75 Billion.

The brokerage said that most tankers are valued between $200 and $300 million. This new rate of 3% would mean a premium for hull war risks of $7.5 million. Before the conflict, this was around 0.25% or $625,000.

Angus Blayney is the marine divisional director of Gallagher, a large insurance broker. He said that rates are increasing and changing daily, depending on vessel type and circumstances. However, he didn't provide any specific figures. He also said that coverage is still available.

Dylan Mortimer is the marine hull UK War Leader at Marsh. He estimated that ratings were roughly between 1% to 1.5% of vessel values, with slight variations both upwards and downwards depending on risk factors.

Mortimer stated that the rate spectrum depends on a wide range of factors, such as whether a vessel is located east or west of Hormuz's chokepoint.

AREA OF CONCENTRATED RISK

Data from analytics company Vortexa revealed that, on average, more than 20 million barrels per day of crude oil, condensate, and fuels were transported through the Strait in 2017. A fifth of all oil consumed in the world passes through the Strait.

Sheila Cameron, CEO of the Lloyd's Market Association, said that there are still?approximately 1,00 vessels in the Persian/Arabian Gulf, approximately half of them oil and gas tanks, with a combined hull value in excess $25 billion.

Cameron said that "currently, insurance remains in place" for the vast majority.

On Wednesday, it was reported that at least 200 ships were still anchored in the open seas off of the coasts of major Gulf producers.

Morningstar DBRS stated in a report earlier this'month that reinsurers could respond by increasing the loss level where their liability kicks-in, or reducing capacities, "leaving underwriters to retain more risk and possibly pressure solvency levels."

The report added that "supply chains will be stressed if goods are rerouted through the Cape of Good Hope, or via overland routes. This will increase transit times and costs."

ADMINISTRATION SEEKS SOLUTIONS

The Trump administration is looking for ways to lower oil prices through reactivating shipping routes.

On Tuesday, Donald Trump stated that the U.S. Navy could begin escorting tankers through Strait of Hormuz. He also said he had directed the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (IDFC) to provide financial guarantees and political risk insurance for maritime trade within the Gulf.

The?company's statement on Wednesday said that U.S. officials met with Marsh also to discuss the issue. Lloyd's also stated that the company was working with Development Finance Corporation, as well as other stakeholders, to find a solution.

Analysts said that it is unclear as to how the administration plans to intervene, and if any scheme will apply to all ships and cargo. They expect that, in the absence of a viable alternative, many shipowners will reinstate their old cover at a much higher rate and absorb any costs.

It's like insurance a burning building, Dr Michel Leonard, Chief economist and data scientist of Insurance Information Institute said.

(source: Reuters)