Latest News

As the Iran conflict intensifies, maritime insurance premiums are on the rise

As the conflict in the 'Gulf escalates, premiums on maritime insurance for war coverage have risen -- some by over 1000% -- causing a dramatic increase in the cost of transporting energy along a vital maritime corridor.

The conflict sparked Saturday by Israeli and U.S. airstrikes against Tehran has paralyzed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran said on Monday that it would shoot at any ship that tried to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. At least nine vessels in the area have been damaged since the conflict began.

Ship owners can claim for any damage their vessel or cargo may have suffered due to conflict or terrorism. Most policies are annual. However, some may cover a single voyage through dangerous waters or war zones.

Analysts are concerned that the continuing conflict, which is not showing signs of ending, could fuel inflation.

Stephen Rudman said that the hull war market reacted faster due to the possibility of large losses being incurred if several vessels were hit at the same time. He added that further rate adjustments are likely if the situation worsens.

He said that the premiums charged for vessels traveling through high-risk waterways are increasing rapidly and could continue to fluctuate over the next few months.

He said that the premiums for war risks on cargo are also rising, and quotes are being reviewed "on a trip-by-trip basis", particularly in energy and bulk commodity trading.

Jefferies analysts estimated that the potential losses to industry from seven vessels damaged at the time their note was published, on March 5, may reach up to $1.75billion.

The brokerage said that most tankers are valued between $200 and $300 million. A new insurance rate at 3% would mean a war risk premium for the hull of $7.5 million. This is up from?0.25% or $625,000 before the conflict started.

Angus Blayney is the marine divisional director of Gallagher. A major insurance broker. He said this week that marine insurance companies in London are still providing coverage, but that rates have increased. Blayney did not provide a specific figure. He added that costs will vary depending upon the type of vessel, cargo, and route.

AREA OF CONCENTRATED RISK

Data from analytics company Vortexa revealed that, on average, more than 20 million barrels per day of crude oil, condensate, and fuels were transported through the Strait in 2017. A fifth of all oil consumed in the world passes through the Strait.

Sheila Cameron, CEO of the Lloyd's Market Association, said that there are still approximately 1,000 vessels in the Persian/Arabian Gulf, including oil and gas tanks, which have a combined hull value in excess of $25 billion.

Cameron said that "currently, insurance remains in place" for the vast majority.

According to a report on Wednesday, at least 200 ships were still anchored in open water off the coasts of major Gulf producers.

Morningstar DBRS stated in a report earlier this month, that reinsurers could respond by increasing the level of loss at which they become liable,?or reducing their capacity. This would "leave primary underwriters with more 'risk, and possibly pressure solvency levels."

The report added that "supply chains will be put under stress as goods are rerouted through the Cape of Good Hope and overland routes increasing transit times, costs and transit time."

The Administration is seeking solutions

Trump's administration is looking for ways to lower oil prices by getting shipping routes moving.

On Tuesday, Donald Trump announced that the U.S. Navy would begin escorting tankers through Strait of the Hormuz. He also said he had instructed the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (IDFC) to provide financial guarantees and political risk insurance for maritime trade within the Gulf.

The company also said that he met with Marsh, a global insurance broker to discuss the issue. A spokesperson for Lloyd's said that the company is also working with?the Development Finance Corporation? and other relevant stakeholders in order to find solutions.

Analysts said that it is unclear how the administration will intervene, and if any scheme will apply to all ships and cargo. They expect that many shipowners will reinstate their old cover and pay the higher rates.

It's like insurance a burning building, Dr Michel Leonard, Chief economist and data scientist of Insurance Information Institute said.

(source: Reuters)