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Panama Canal transit increased by 2.8% in January despite tensions
According to a report by the Panama Canal Authority, which was seen on Friday, there has been a 2.8% rise in vessel 'transits' in the first four months of the fiscal year. According to the report, most of the traffic increase was registered by tankers transporting energy products such as liquefied gas (LNG), dry bulk carriers and car carriers. This growth represents?114 more transits than the same period a previous year, to?a maximum of 4,156 vessels during the four-month span. The report states that the demand remained?solid?despite increased global trade volatility and new tariffs. The report said that "Tanker (transits)," a measure of the volume of goods transported, increased 11.2%. This was due to an increase in shipments from United States, due to a higher demand from South Korea, Mexico and Guatemala for fuels and Methanol, as a result from trade agreements and tariff reductions. Analysts predict that more vessels will be passing through Panama carrying U.S. LNG to reach?destinations? in Asia if the Strait of Hormuz?problems persist amid the U.S. - Iran conflict. This is already forcing vessel reroutes. The Panama Canal is "operating in a reliable and stable manner" despite geopolitical uncertainty, increasing steadily the number of transits daily and maintaining predictable service levels for our clients," it said. After the U.S. - Iran conflict, the authority didn't provide specific statistics but stated that it was monitoring maritime trade.
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Gol, a Brazilian airline, will launch new long-haul routes out of Rio using the A330.
Gol's Chief executive announced that the Brazilian airline will be using Rio de Janeiro's Galeao International Airport as its hub to receive the new Airbus A330 900 aircraft joining the fleet. Gol operated Boeing 737s exclusively until now. Celso Ferer, Gol's CEO, said that the new aircraft will be followed by a new route direct between Rio and New York beginning in July. He made this statement at an event in Galeao with Brazil's president Luiz inacio Lula. The firm released a statement later that said, "The merger between two 'key tourism and business centers in South and North America opens up a range of options and possibilities for customers throughout the continent." The airline will initially receive five A330-900s. These are wide-body aircraft that can fly routes up to 15 hours long. The company will gradually integrate the planes into its fleet between 2026-2027. Sources had told us earlier that Gol was going to announce 'Galeao Airport' as the hub of its new Airbus A330900. Ferrer stated that Gol will also offer direct flights from Rio to Paris, Lisbon and other European cities starting late this year. Sources said that Gol had sought slots in major European cities, such as Porto and London. However, not all of these will be destinations. (Reporting by Gabriel Araujo and Luciana Magalhaes in Sao Paulo, Rodrigo Viga Gaier in Rio de Janeiro; Editing by Deepa Babington)
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Pentagon and FAA will conduct tests on high-energy laser anti-drone system in New Mexico
The Pentagon announced on Friday that it would 'conduct tests with the Federal Aviation Administration in New Mexico this weekend of high-energy lasers used to combat threatening drones. The Pentagon stated that "this upcoming event will address FAA safety concerns, while gathering data on the material effects of lasers on aircraft surrogates. It will also validate the functionality and safety shutoff systems for automated safety, as well as inform analyses to ensure the safety of aircrews' eyes." On February 25, the U.S. Military erroneously shot down a government-owned drone using a laser-based system. The 'FAA expanded the area around Fort Hancock in Texas where flights were banned after the 'FAA announced on February 18 that it would halt all flights at the airport near El Paso for 10 days, only to reverse its decision and lift the order after eight hours. Bradbury, the U.S. deputy transportation secretary, said in an interview on Friday that the FAA must test the system to "get comfortable" with its limitations, and how it could be adjusted or controlled. Bradbury stated that the FAA was determined to create a framework so they are confident in the safety of the airspace with the system being used and won't need to sign-off on individual uses. Bradbury stated that they were working fast to complete the safety assessment. Bradbury said that both parties had a critical job to complete. After a classified briefing, lawmakers said that the incidents demonstrated a need for'significantly improved coordination. Ted Cruz, Chair of the Senate Commerce Committee, said: "It was clear that there were challenges when it came to operationalizing counter-drone technologies." (Reporting and editing by David Shepardson)
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US agency to insure maritime losses up to $20 billion in Gulf
U.S. International Development Finance Corporation announced on Friday that the U.S. would provide reinsurance for losses of up to $20 billion in the Gulf region. This will help oil and gas shipping companies maintain confidence during the war against Iran. The President Donald Trump ordered on Tuesday the DFC to provide financial guarantees and political risk insurance for maritime trade within the Gulf. This was after the transit of?oil tankers and liquefied gas tanks had come to a standstill in the Strait of Hormuz, which is located off Iran. DFC stated that the coverage would be rolled out and initially focused on cargo, hull and machinery insurance. DFC did not provide any details, but said that it would work with preferred American insurance companies. The U.S. Treasury Department, DFC and U.S. Central Command are working together to determine the next steps in the plan. The Strait has been largely blocked by oil shipments. Some tankers have been damaged?by strikes, while others are stranded. War-risk insurance premiums have increased and some providers have reduced or removed coverage. (Reporting and editing by Louise Heavens, Chizu Nomiyama and Chizu Nomiyama.
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Bloomberg News reports that Boeing is close to a 500-jet order with the Trump-Xi Summit.
Bloomberg 'News, citing sources familiar with the situation, reported that Boeing is close to announcing a 500 aircraft order for 737 Max Jets. This will be announced when U.S. president Donald Trump makes his first state visit to China in 2017. According to the report, both sides are in negotiations for a widebody deal that would include 'about 100 Boeing 787 Dreamliner and 777X jets. Boeing did not respond immediately to a comment request. In afternoon trading, shares of the company rose 3.7%. Trump will visit China between March 31 and April 2. Xi is expected to visit Washington in later this year. The move comes after Trump threatened to restrict the export of Boeing parts to China in response to Chinese restrictions on rare earth minerals. Beijing ordered Chinese airlines in April to stop temporarily?taking delivery of new Boeing 'jets during their clashes over trade with Trump. Following Trump's visits, the planemaker has also landed several major sales from foreign airlines.
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The Swedish Coast Guard boards a suspected stateless vessel in the Baltic Sea
The Swedish Coast Guard said that it had boarded a vessel suspected of being stateless in Swedish waters on Friday and was conducting 'investigations'. The Coast Guard said that it had boarded a vessel at 3:50 pm today with an unclear flag, and was therefore suspected to be a stateless boat. The Caffa ship was flying a Guinean flag but, based on international and national legislation, the coast guard deemed the vessel a stateless vessel. The Swedish police said the ship had been suspected of sailing under a false banner. Caffa, a general cargo vessel measuring 96 meters long, is tracked by the ship tracking service Marine Traffic. Carl-Oskar BOHLIN, Sweden's civil defence minister, stated in a blog post on X, that the ship 'was a cargo on Ukraine's sanction list' "The ownership structure of the vessel is unclear, and there is suspicion that it is not insured." Bohlin wrote that the ship was reported to have switched from a Russian flag to a Guinean one as recently as this summer. The Coast Guard said that it had launched a preliminary investigation regarding alleged violations of maritime law in relation to lack of seaworthiness. The Coast Guard will have personnel on board to collect information about the vessel's condition and the crew, conduct searches and interviews, it said. (Reporting and editing by Cynthia Osterman; Greta Rose Fondahn)
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US Customs Agency says system for refunding tariffs will be available in 45 days
A customs official stated in a Friday court filing that the U.S. Customs Agency is preparing a system to refund tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump, which were ruled illegal. Brandon Lord, a Customs and Border Protection officer, made the declaration as government lawyers and a federal trade court met to try and hammer out an agreement for the return of $166 billion worth of tariff payments to 330,000 importers. Last month, the Supreme Court ruled that President Donald Trump's tariffs were unconstitutional. The Supreme Court, however, did not specify how tariffs collected should be refunded. This left'small importers' worried that the process would be costly and time-consuming. Lord stated in his declaration that the new process would require importers to submit minimal information. This was just as the government lawyers were meeting with Judge Richard Eaton of the court. Eaton convened the meeting to discuss the process by which the government would implement its sweeping order, issued on Wednesday. The order directed the CBP that it refund tariffs to hundreds of thousands of potential importers through the existing internal CBP processes. Eaton stated in his order on Wednesday that he was?appointed by a trade court to hear approximately 2,000 lawsuits brought by importers, including FedEx and L'Oreal, seeking refunds. Trade lawyers claimed that these lawsuits were only the tip of a very large iceberg. They said thousands more would be prepared to sue in the future if the government did not develop an automatic refund system. On Friday, affiliates of Nintendo and CVS were the latest big companies to file for refunds. IMPORTERS GET A SINGLE PAYMENT Lord stated in a court filing that CBP expected importers file a declaration on the computer system ACE of the CBP detailing tariff payments. This declaration would be validated and then refunds with interest processed. Importers wouldn't have to sue. The Treasury Department would pay each importer a single amount, no matter how many separate entries they had made. Lord didn't estimate the time it would take for the refunds to be processed, but he said that the CBP wouldn't be able comply with Eaton’s order as of Wednesday. Eaton envisioned refunds being 'automatically returned to the importers using the existing system, without documentation or input by the importer. Lord explained that the existing system was not suitable for the task. It would require too much manual work, which would prevent the personnel from completing the mission of the agency. He said importers paid an estimated $166 Billion in tariffs for more than 53 Million shipments. Eaton's orders would have forced?the agency manually to review all paperwork for every shipment. Lord estimated that this would take more than 4,000,000 hours of labor. Lord's declaration indicated, however, that only a few importers were signed up to the CBP's electronic refund system. Lord said that out of the more than 330,000 importers, who paid illegal duties, only 21423, signed up for the electronic refunds system which was implemented on February 6. Eaton oversees a lawsuit filed by Atmus Filtration Inc., which is being used as a tool by the judge to order CBP refunds to all importers. (Reporting from Tom Hals, Wilmington, Delaware. Additional reporting by Luc Cohen and David Lawder in Washington. Editing by Deepa Babyington.)
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South Bow: US-Canada policy shift could boost Keystone XL prospects
The company that is behind a plan for a revival of the Keystone XL?pipeline?system in order to increase Canadian oil exports into?the United States hopes a 'North -American policy shift towards energy development' will shield its project from political and regulatory obstacles which led to its cancellation by 2021. Bevin Wirzba, CEO of Canadian pipeline operator South Bow, said that the world has changed significantly since U.S. president Joe Biden canceled Keystone XL's permit after years of Indigenous and environment opposition. Wirzba stated that the policy environment in North America has been much more positive. He said that the war in Iran and the conflict in Ukraine underscore the need for energy safety. Wirzba stated on a conference call that "these realities are an excellent backdrop for us to possibly provide a solution." South Bow, the company that was created by former Keystone XL promoter TC Energy to take over their oil pipeline business in 2024, is looking at reviving a portion of the existing line in Alberta. It already has all Canadian?permits. South Bow would not build the U.S. portion of the pipeline, which is similar to Keystone XL. Instead, it would partner with U.S. companies. It is not known how and where the pipeline segments will be connected. However, the ultimate goal of the project is to transport 55,000 barrels per day of Canadian oil from the Canadian coast to the U.S. Gulf Coast. REVIVAL COMES TO THE US AND CANADA MOVES TO SPEED PERMIT Donald Trump, the U.S. president, has been trying to accelerate energy project approval times in order to boost domestic oil production. The proposed pipeline would need a presidential permit to cross the Canada-U.S. Border. Mark Carney, the Prime Minister of Canada, is relying on the energy industry to boost the country's economy. He has pledged to accelerate the permitting process and to drop some climate legislation, which the oil industry claimed was impeding their growth. Wirzba stated that Carney's actions have a materially shifted the needle towards considering a pipeline project. He said South Bow has launched an open season to gauge commercial interest in new space for pipelines, and, more broadly, the confidence of the Canadian oil industry in its ability grow production in the upcoming years. Wirzba refused to reveal the cost of its proposed project, which South Bow calls the "Prairie Connector pipeline", or when construction would begin. He said that many Canadian oil sands firms have stated they intend to increase production materially in the next three to five year.
Bousso: Mideast oil shock signals a supply crunch.
The U.S. and Israeli war against Iran has caused a sudden and acute disruption in Middle East oil supply, forcing buyers to use every barrel available. This is quickly destroying?forecasts that an oil glut would occur this year. The International Energy Agency predicted in February that the global oil supply will exceed the demand by 3.7 million barrels a day (bpd). This surplus would continue into 2026. One month later, this projection seems redundant. After the near-complete closing of the Strait of Hormuz, nearly 15 million barrels per day of crude oil production and another 4.5 millions barrels per day of refined fuels are effectively stuck in the Gulf. The chokepoint closed shortly after the launch on February 28 of a joint U.S. and Israeli aerial bombing 'campaign' against?Iran. Tehran responded by attacking Gulf states, regional energy infrastructure, and other Gulf countries. Losing such a large volume of oil - almost a fifth the global daily consumption – has caused shockwaves in the oil markets and wider economy. Brent crude, the global benchmark, surged over $90 per barrel on Friday. This is a gain of nearly 30% in the last week since the conflict began. Asia, whose crude imports come from the Middle East at around 60%, has been hit the hardest. To conserve feedstocks, refineries and petrochemicals in the Middle East have reduced production or closed their doors. Other energy-intensive industries such as ceramics, car manufacturing, and others are also facing severe shortages. It is impossible to know how long the conflict and the Hormuz shut down will last. The pressure on the oil chain is increasing, not decreasing, with every passing day.
You are running out of time and space
The Gulf producers have run out of options. Crude is being pushed to offshore and onshore tanks due to the blockage of exports. Iraq has a limited number of storage options and has already stopped at least one quarter of its production of 4.3 million barrels per day. Kuwait, United Arab Emirates, and Saudi Arabia - the world's biggest exporter - have some storage capacity left – but it is measured in days not weeks. Saudi Arabia and UAE are able to divert crude oil through other export routes but this only partly offsets the loss of Hormuz. Storage?fills up, forcing more refineries to idle and reduce output as storage fills.
It is difficult to shut down oil fields in a safe manner. It can take weeks or even days to restart them and reach full production. This will have a far greater impact on the market than any eventual reopening. Refiners, particularly in Asia, are scrambling to get barrels.
TAPING AVAILABLE STOCK The good news is that inventories have been increasing in recent months thanks to increased production from producers, including OPEC. According to the IEA, global oil inventories increased by 1.3m bpd or 477m barrels in 2025. This is their highest level since march 2021.
Kpler data shows that around 80 million barrels are stored on tankers in the ocean, and nearly two thirds of them are in Asia.
Most buyers are unable to access a large portion of this "floating storage", as it comes from Iran, Venezuela, and Russia. All three countries are subject to Western sanctions. Around 50 million barrels of Iranian crude are alone. But some of this oil is beginning to move. On Thursday, the U.S. granted India a waiver for buying Russian crude in order to assist refiners. New Delhi cut its imports sharply last month in accordance with a deal reached with Washington.
By March 6, the amount of Russian crude oil in floating storage had already dropped from 7,7 million barrels, just before the Iranian strikes.
Independent Chinese refiners are expected to take the majority of Iranian barrels located outside of the Gulf, or those that can get through the Strait.
Middle East producers will almost certainly draw on their overseas stock to meet contractual obligations.
If the disruption continues, governments will be under increasing pressure to tap into their own reserves. OECD member countries hold strategic petroleum reserves that were created in the 1970s to cope with supply shocks. According to IEA regulations, countries that import oil net must have stocks equal to 90 days' worth of imports. The U.S. is the world's biggest oil consumer and producer. It currently has more than 400,000,000 barrels in its Strategic Petroleum Reserve. This is well below the 700 million barrels that it can hold, but since it is not a net importer of energy, there is little risk in reducing its reserves. China is the biggest unknown. According to the IEA, Beijing quietly accumulated vast reserves of oil in recent years. It added an average amount of 300,000 bpd just last year. It hasn't announced any plans to release the stocks yet, but it has told refiners to reduce fuel exports.
CRISIS UNPRECEDENTED Global reserves are limited, even though they were plentiful at the beginning of this crisis. This is a shock that has never been experienced before: the Strait of Hormuz was completely blocked for the first time. Even if the Strait of Hormuz were to be reopened tomorrow it would take weeks to restore finely calibrated supply chain and rebalance markets.
If some Gulf oil production was diverted, it would take more than 100,000,000 barrels of stored oil to offset a disruption in supply of 15 million bpd. A prolonged outage at that rate would quickly erode global inventories.
Paul Horsnell is an independent oil analyst. He said, "It's very difficult for stock to compensate for flows. Especially when the reduction in flows is that large." In the event that stocks are depleted then governments and traders will need to replenish them. This would mean a higher demand for oil, and higher prices in the next year. Middle East supply shock has already flipped expectations of a glut to a scenario that is more realistic: undersupply.
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(source: Reuters)