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Sources: RPT-Iran explores oil sales to Japan; buyers want longer sanctions waivers
Iran has started talks with Japanese firms under a U.S. sanction waiver that allows?it resume oil sales. However, prospective buyers are?seeking longer waivers and reassurances regarding ship safety. The waiver was part of the 60-day talks between Washington and Tehran, and it expires on August 21. Two Iranian sources declined to identify themselves due to the sensitive nature of the matter. They said that three Japanese buyers are considering possible crude oil purchases in Iran. This would be their first purchase since 2019. A Western industry source with knowledge of the situation said that Japanese and Iranian officials were initially in talks about oil sales. Unknown to him was any such issue. An official from Japan's Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, which oversees the fuel supply infrastructure, confirmed that he had no knowledge of it. The U.S. Treasury and Japan's Foreign Ministry did not respond immediately to comments. Japan, South Korea and European countries stopped purchasing Iranian oil after U.S. sanctions were tightened in 2018 following President Donald Trump’s withdrawal from the Iran nuclear agreement. China is Iran's largest buyer in recent times. HORMUZ RISKS A separate METI official said in June that any Japanese purchases would be the responsibility of private companies. However, it was not clear whether such deals could proceed due to shipping times and current contracts. Officials added that the safety of all tanker trips would have to be guaranteed. According to a senior Iranian official, any agreement would require that the U.S. extend its current waiver due to the time it takes for shipping between Japan and Iran. Officials added that cargos will be loaded on Iran's Kharg Island using?Japanese operated tankers. An Iranian senior oil ministry official said that Iran's national company NIOC has approached its traditional customers, including Japan, and asked them to resume purchasing if a deal is concluded and sanctions are lifted. The Iranian oil ministry has not responded to a?request for comment. It is far from certain that the Strait of Hormuz will be safe for ships to pass through once a permanent peace agreement between Washington and Tehran is signed. Last week, Iranian forces attacked a container ship in the Strait of Hormuz. The?elite Revolutionary Guards of Iran have stated that all transits of the strait must be cleared first with them. According to the U.N. shipping agency, there are an estimated 80 floating mines in the central part the waterway. A senior official with a major Japanese oil refining company said that securing insurance would be the greatest challenge. Trade sources and analysts said that the current temporary U.S. sanction waiver is unlikely to attract orders from Asian refiners with large inventories, which leaves independent Chinese refineries, as the primary buyer.
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EasyJet's journey from launch to takeover:
The announcement?on Sunday of a PS5,50 billion ($7.34billion) deal by U.S. investment company Castlelake to acquire British budget airline easyJet would be a new chapter for the carrier's 31-year history. Here's an overview of the?major milestones in?easyJet history: Stelios Ioannou, founder of the company, launches low-cost flights from London Luton Airport in Scotland to Glasgow and Edinburgh. 2002 Acquisition of rival Go Fly. Acquisition of rival GB Airways. 2011 - 2013 Modernising fleet with 135 Airbus aircraft. 2020 COVID-19? Forces 4,500 job reductions and fleet shrinkage. Rejects Wizz Air's takeover offer and raises $1.7 Billion from existing shareholders February - March 2020 EasyJet warns that fuel shortages and higher fares are caused by the Iran conflict. May 29, 2026 Castlelake, a Minneapolis-based aviation investment firm, has revealed that it is "considering" an offer to buy EasyJet. June 12, 2026 Castlelake?privately?submits a takeover proposal of PS5.60 per share. June 16, 2026 EasyJet rejects Castlelake’s bid June 17, 2026 Castlelake is back with a PS6.00 per share private bid. June 20, 2026 EasyJet's board rejects Castlelake’s second proposal. This prompts it to raise its private offer to PS6.25 per share. June 21, 2026 EasyJet's third proposal is rejected by Castlelake, which EasyJet calls "cheap". June 22, 2026 Castlelake makes its PS6.25 per share offer public and claims that the structure will satisfy EU?majority ownership regulations. June 23, 2026 Castlelake submits a private fourth offer of PS6.50 per share, easyJet revealed later. June 25, 2026 EasyJet has said that it rejected the bid, but is willing to share some internal data with Castlelake if they can get a better bid. The deadline is July 5. July 5, 2026 EasyJet, Castlelake and Castlelake announced a deal in principle for PS6.90 per share. This would value the airline at PS5.5 Billion on a fully-diluted basis. $1 = 0.7490 pounds (reporting by Neeshita B. and Nithyashree B. in Bengaluru; additional reporting by Bipasha D.; editing by Rashmi. Aich. and Cynthia Osterman.)
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Wall St Week Ahead: Investors watch for Fed clues and earnings signs, as tech wobbles
Investors will be looking for clues this week about the?likelihood of imminent interest-rate increases and the early signs of an important earnings season to gauge the strength of U.S. stocks'?rally. This week, the second half of the year 2026 began'much like the first half did' with the rocky performance of "heavyweight" technology shares affecting major indexes. The minutes of the Federal Reserve's last month's meeting as well as earnings reports from Delta Air Lines, PepsiCo and other companies could be new indicators for a market that has been shaky in recent weeks due to its tech-fueled rally. The market has seen gains over the last few months thanks to tech shares, and in particular semiconductors. The benchmark S&P 500 rose 14.9% during the second quarter, which ended on Tuesday. This was its best quarter since 2019. In recent months, this group has seen a dramatic swing, with steep drops to end the week. Over the last month, other sectors such as financial, industrial, and healthcare stocks have done well, giving investors hope of a healthy market rotation that will lead to broader gains. Joe Mazzola is the head trading and derivatives strategist at Charles Schwab. He said, "I'll be watching that over the next few weeks to see if or not this broadening continues." If you start to see a prolonged pullback of some technology winners, will that mean the market is going backwards? INVESTORS SEEK RATES CLUES FROM FED MINUTES. The outlook for interest rate?has changed from expectations of equity-friendly rates cuts at the beginning of the year to projections for hikes in the next months. These expectations of rate hikes were slightly reduced on Thursday after a less-than-expected job report. Following the Federal Reserve's meeting last month, which was led for the first time by Kevin Warsh as chairperson, hawkish bets were on the rise. He said the Fed would be focused on price stability and inflation that is above its 2% target. The minutes of that meeting are expected to be released on Wednesday. Warsh warned that the Fed would not be able to control the markets and had ceased providing any guidance as to what it might do in the short term. This could make the minutes of future Fed meetings more significant. Matthew Miskin is the co-chief investment strategy at Manulife John Hancock Investments. Investors and markets will be asking: what is the new Fed Chairman and the updated (Fed Policymaking Body) looking for in order to determine where rates are headed from here? Investors said that a key issue was how Fed policymakers viewed the inflationary impact energy prices. Energy prices had been declining since the spikes caused by the Iran war. The extent of the divisions among Fed officials is another important topic. Bonds can be more attractive to investors than stocks if interest rates rise. This is because higher interest rates increase borrowing costs for both consumers and businesses. LSEG data showed that Fed fund futures at the end of Thursday indicated roughly equal odds that?the Central Bank would raise rates before its September meeting. The Labor Department's data on Thursday showed that U.S. employment growth was slowed dramatically in June. This helped to calm some fears of a rate hike. "If the Fed becomes more restrictive and begins a tightening process, this is a risk for the market and valuations", said James Ragan. He is co-CIO at D.A. Davidson. "I think it's important to get more information about what the Fed is thinking." SEASONAL PIVOTAL EARNINGS The release of services and manufacturing activity could clarify the inflation trend in a week with relatively few economic data releases. In recent months, stocks have recovered from the declines caused by the U.S./Israeli conflict over Iran. The S&P 500 has risen more than 9% since 2026 while the Nasdaq Composite, which is heavily tech-oriented, has risen 11%. The market's rise was fueled by the surprising strength of first-quarter corporate earnings. This has raised the bar as the second-quarter report season heats up this month. Next week, two early reports will be released: Delta and the snack and beverage manufacturer PepsiCo. Both offer different perspectives regarding consumer spending trends. According to LSEG, IBES, the S&P 500 is expected to grow earnings in the second quarter by over 24%. Keith Lerner is the chief investment officer of Truist Advisory Services. He said that if the north star is earnings, then the most important thing to do for earnings season is to confirm the earnings trajectory this year, and ensure the upward momentum will continue into next year. (Reporting and editing by Michelle Price, David Gregorio and Lewis Krauskopf)
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As the far-right AfD aims for power, thousands of protesters in Germany are taking to the streets.
On Saturday, thousands of protesters blocked the roads leading to the annual conference of Germany's far right AfD in the eastern city?Erfurt. The party was re-electing the two leaders who had overseen the rise of the party as a national force. AfD’s two-day AfD conference was preceded by a large number of protesters, including unionists, civil societies and left-wing groups. AfD is Alternative for Germany. Protesters, surrounded by riot police wearing riot gear and seated in rows, blocked highways and roads that led to the convention center where the meeting was being held. Around 15,000 demonstrators were estimated by police to have taken part in the demonstrations around and within the eastern city. AfD re-elected Alice Weidel, Tino Chrupalla as party leaders. Under their leadership the AfD is now leading the national opinion polls over the conservatives of Chancellor Friedrich Merz. Opening speeches ridiculed and lambasted protesters as antidemocratic. The opening speeches mocked and lambasted the protesters as anti-democratic. Weidel stated, "This is our last chance to save this country." "More people want to join us in our fight against Germany's declining, the?fight for fatherland and our identity." Minutes before the AfD convention began, the AfD social media stream played a song entitled "Send them Back" to highlight the party's hardline on immigration. Vintage-style cards with slogans like "YOU WILL BE DEPORTED" were sold inside the convention centre. Bjoern Höecke, a controversial and radical leader of the SPD, offered a mixture of nostalgia and invective. He even pointed to the state of Germany’s motorway restrooms as an indication of societal malaise. "A great Germany would be a country where you don't have to worry about taking an evening stroll through the park. "A great Germany is one where apartment keys are left on the door of the building," he said. Leading in the Polls The conference comes ?ahead of elections in the eastern states of Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern that the AfD hopes will help pave the way for success at national level, a prospect that has alarmed its opponents. "We simply will not tolerate this, that fascism in Germany is on the increase," Georg Becker said, a spokeswoman for Widersetzen (Resist), an umbrella anti-AfD group that was behind?the Erfurt demonstrations. The AfD was formed more than a decade ago. It has used a mixture of nationalist language, called for stricter immigration policies, and appealed to voters who are frustrated by successive governments, and years of economic stagnation. Weidel stated that criminals and illegal immigrants have no place in Germany anymore. "We will deport these people firmly, because Germany deserves better." The AfD is accused by its opponents of promoting "racist policies" and attitudes that are incompatible with Germany’s democratic values. They also claim it threatens the constitutional order of the country. The mainstream parties have refused to work together, as part of a "firewall" policy designed to keep the AfD out of coalition government. AfD leaders have denied?opposing Germany’s democratic foundations. Earlier this year, they won a court order?ordering that the domestic intelligence service suspend its previous classification as an "extremist" party. Recent polls show that AfD supporters are as high as 29 percent, compared to Merz's conservative CDU/CSU. The former communist east is where the strongest support for the party system comes from. Surveys show that voters are most disillusioned with it. (Writing and reporting by James Mackenzie, Matthias Williams and Susanne Neumayer Remter; editing by Mark Potter).
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Authorities say that a major drone attack on the St Petersburg oil terminal and port was carried out by Ukraine.
Authorities in St Petersburg, Russia's second largest city and the surrounding Leningrad area said on Saturday that a major Ukrainian drone strike overnight had hit a local oil pipeline and port. Alexander Beglov, the Governor of St Petersburg, said that the city with a population of 6,000,000 had been subjected to a "large scale" drone attack. The city's oil storage terminal was also hit. He stated that there were no injuries and the aftermath had been handled. Alexander Drozdenko, Governor of the Leningrad Region, said that drones struck the port of Vysotsk on the Gulf of Finland. The port is located about 170 kilometers (105 miles), northwest of St Petersburg. The port is used to handle oil, grain and coal, as well as liquefied gas. Drozdenko stated that 72 drones were shot down in the Leningrad area. Ukraine has intensified its strikes against Russian energy infrastructure this year, leading to fuel shortages across parts of Russia. St Petersburg is about 900km (560miles) from Ukrainian-held territory.?Kyiv drones have occasionally attacked St Petersburg. The city's oil-terminal and a moored ship were among the targets during the St?Petersburg International Economic Forum held in June. The governor of Pskov Region, south?of St Petersburg said that more than 30 'drones were shot down overnight. He reported minor injuries and damage, including to the factory in Velikiye-Luki. Reporting by. Felix Light is the author. Mark Potter (editing by Felix Light)
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Yemen's Houthis warn Saudi Arabia of their targets in response to Iran's flight to Sanaa
Yemen's Houthis claimed on Friday that their forces had engaged Saudi "warplanes", which they claimed 'attempted to stop an Iranian civilian aircraft from landing at Sanaa International Airport', according to the military spokesperson for the group Yahya Saarea. Sarea, an Iran-aligned group, warned they would "target Saudi airports and vital interest on land and sea" if Saudi Arabia continued to violate Yemeni airspace. He added that flights between Sanaa, Iran and Tehran would continue despite "possible consequences". Al Masirah TV, a Houthi-run channel, reported on Friday that an Iranian plane landed in Sanaa to fly the group's delegation to Tehran for the funeral of Iran’s late Supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Other passengers included more than 200 patients. Saudi Arabia led the military coalition which intervened in Yemen after the Iran-aligned Houthis took over the capital Sanaa in 2015. The Saudi-led coalition claimed early on Saturday that the Houthis' statements against the Kingdom were an attempt to "divert the attention" away from the group's "violations". It warned it would react firmly with "unprecedented force" against any attempts to attack the kingdom or violate Yemen's sovereignty. The Houthis demonstrated their missile and drone capabilities in Yemen's?war by attacking Saudi Arabia, targeting oil installations and critical infrastructure. Reporting by Eman Abohassira, Menna Alaa el-Din and Editing by Louise Heavens Philippa Fletcher David Gregorio
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Heatwave disrupts Fourth of Jule events in eastern US
The Fourth of July festivities were disrupted by a 'dangerous heatwave' that swept across large swathes of the central and eastern U.S. The Great American State Fair, which was a major event in President Donald Trump's celebration of the 250th anniversary of the United States, was also affected by the heat. The Great American State Fair was temporarily closed Friday afternoon as temperatures reached 101° Fahrenheit (38° Celsius). The organizers said that they expect the fair to reopen by?5 pm, with modifications such as cooling tents and spritzing stations. The emergence of the "heat dome," a system of high pressure that traps hot air over a large area, caused record-breaking temperatures to spread from the Midwest to the east of the U.S. earlier this week. More than 185 million people, or more than half of the U.S. population, were under heat alerts on Friday. National Weather Service reported that on Friday there were heat alerts for over 185 million people, more than half of the?U.S. In some parts of the nation, heat indexes can reach up to 115 F (46 C). Forecasters and government officials warned that this heat wave could be deadly. The government urged Americans to be hydrated and seek shade when attending public events and gatherings during the Fourth of Independence weekend. There were cancellations of events along the Eastern Seaboard during the Fourth of July weekend. This is when Americans usually 'gather to barbecues, parades, and fireworks displays in celebration of the 1776 Declaration?of?Independence. The Salute to Independence Parade in?Philadelphia was canceled due to extreme heat. The decision was made after temperatures reached 103 F in Philadelphia on Thursday. This tied a record set back in 1901. Heat-related disruptions were also felt in other parts of the region. Haddon Township in New Jersey canceled its annual Fourth of July parade. Watertown, upstate New York, cancelled its Independence Day concert. Boston officials have delayed the entrance to an annual riverside celebration of fireworks by four hours. The event was originally scheduled to begin at noon, but now it will start at 4 p.m. Reporting by Ahmed Aboulenein, Washington; Nathan Layne, New York. Editing by Mark Porter and David Gregorio.
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Heatwave disrupts Fourth of Jule events in eastern US
The Fourth of July celebrations were ruined by a 'dangerous heatwave' that swept through much of central and eastern U.S. On Friday, the heat wave forced officials to cancel or postpone dozens parades, concerts, and fireworks displays in celebration of the 250th anniversary of America. The Great American State Fair, a centerpiece event of President Donald Trump's efforts to celebrate the 250th anniversary of the United States of America on the National Mall of Washington was temporarily closed on Friday afternoon due to temperatures of 101 degrees Fahrenheit. Organisers have said that it is expected to reopen, weather permitting, at?5 pm, with modifications such as cooling tents and misting station. The National Weather Service reported that record-breaking temperatures reached the east coast of the United States from the Midwest this week. Over 185 million people received heat alerts for Friday. In many areas, peak heat indexes could reach?up to 115 degrees Fahrenheit. Forecasters and government officials warned that the heat wave was potentially deadly. They urged Americans to celebrate the Fourth of July outdoors, stay hydrated and seek shade, and be on guard for signs of heat illness. At least seven states have reported event cancellations, including a "major Independence Day Parade" in Philadelphia, as well as "events" in Maryland's Takoma Park, and Loudoun County in Virginia. Ahmed Aboulenein reported from Washington, Nathan Layne from New York and Mark Porter edited the story.
Bousso: Mideast oil shock signals a supply crunch.
The U.S. and Israeli war against Iran has caused a sudden and acute disruption in Middle East oil supply, forcing buyers to use every barrel available. This is quickly destroying?forecasts that an oil glut would occur this year. The International Energy Agency predicted in February that the global oil supply will exceed the demand by 3.7 million barrels a day (bpd). This surplus would continue into 2026. One month later, this projection seems redundant. After the near-complete closing of the Strait of Hormuz, nearly 15 million barrels per day of crude oil production and another 4.5 millions barrels per day of refined fuels are effectively stuck in the Gulf. The chokepoint closed shortly after the launch on February 28 of a joint U.S. and Israeli aerial bombing 'campaign' against?Iran. Tehran responded by attacking Gulf states, regional energy infrastructure, and other Gulf countries. Losing such a large volume of oil - almost a fifth the global daily consumption – has caused shockwaves in the oil markets and wider economy. Brent crude, the global benchmark, surged over $90 per barrel on Friday. This is a gain of nearly 30% in the last week since the conflict began. Asia, whose crude imports come from the Middle East at around 60%, has been hit the hardest. To conserve feedstocks, refineries and petrochemicals in the Middle East have reduced production or closed their doors. Other energy-intensive industries such as ceramics, car manufacturing, and others are also facing severe shortages. It is impossible to know how long the conflict and the Hormuz shut down will last. The pressure on the oil chain is increasing, not decreasing, with every passing day.
You are running out of time and space
The Gulf producers have run out of options. Crude is being pushed to offshore and onshore tanks due to the blockage of exports. Iraq has a limited number of storage options and has already stopped at least one quarter of its production of 4.3 million barrels per day. Kuwait, United Arab Emirates, and Saudi Arabia - the world's biggest exporter - have some storage capacity left – but it is measured in days not weeks. Saudi Arabia and UAE are able to divert crude oil through other export routes but this only partly offsets the loss of Hormuz. Storage?fills up, forcing more refineries to idle and reduce output as storage fills.
It is difficult to shut down oil fields in a safe manner. It can take weeks or even days to restart them and reach full production. This will have a far greater impact on the market than any eventual reopening. Refiners, particularly in Asia, are scrambling to get barrels.
TAPING AVAILABLE STOCK The good news is that inventories have been increasing in recent months thanks to increased production from producers, including OPEC. According to the IEA, global oil inventories increased by 1.3m bpd or 477m barrels in 2025. This is their highest level since march 2021.
Kpler data shows that around 80 million barrels are stored on tankers in the ocean, and nearly two thirds of them are in Asia.
Most buyers are unable to access a large portion of this "floating storage", as it comes from Iran, Venezuela, and Russia. All three countries are subject to Western sanctions. Around 50 million barrels of Iranian crude are alone. But some of this oil is beginning to move. On Thursday, the U.S. granted India a waiver for buying Russian crude in order to assist refiners. New Delhi cut its imports sharply last month in accordance with a deal reached with Washington.
By March 6, the amount of Russian crude oil in floating storage had already dropped from 7,7 million barrels, just before the Iranian strikes.
Independent Chinese refiners are expected to take the majority of Iranian barrels located outside of the Gulf, or those that can get through the Strait.
Middle East producers will almost certainly draw on their overseas stock to meet contractual obligations.
If the disruption continues, governments will be under increasing pressure to tap into their own reserves. OECD member countries hold strategic petroleum reserves that were created in the 1970s to cope with supply shocks. According to IEA regulations, countries that import oil net must have stocks equal to 90 days' worth of imports. The U.S. is the world's biggest oil consumer and producer. It currently has more than 400,000,000 barrels in its Strategic Petroleum Reserve. This is well below the 700 million barrels that it can hold, but since it is not a net importer of energy, there is little risk in reducing its reserves. China is the biggest unknown. According to the IEA, Beijing quietly accumulated vast reserves of oil in recent years. It added an average amount of 300,000 bpd just last year. It hasn't announced any plans to release the stocks yet, but it has told refiners to reduce fuel exports.
CRISIS UNPRECEDENTED Global reserves are limited, even though they were plentiful at the beginning of this crisis. This is a shock that has never been experienced before: the Strait of Hormuz was completely blocked for the first time. Even if the Strait of Hormuz were to be reopened tomorrow it would take weeks to restore finely calibrated supply chain and rebalance markets.
If some Gulf oil production was diverted, it would take more than 100,000,000 barrels of stored oil to offset a disruption in supply of 15 million bpd. A prolonged outage at that rate would quickly erode global inventories.
Paul Horsnell is an independent oil analyst. He said, "It's very difficult for stock to compensate for flows. Especially when the reduction in flows is that large." In the event that stocks are depleted then governments and traders will need to replenish them. This would mean a higher demand for oil, and higher prices in the next year. Middle East supply shock has already flipped expectations of a glut to a scenario that is more realistic: undersupply.
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(source: Reuters)