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India's GAIL revives plans to buy US LNG after Trump lifts export ban

GAIL India Ltd. will look to purchase a stake or long-term supply of U.S. Liquefied Natural Gas after the Trump Administration lifted its ban on export permits.

Gupta said ahead of India Energy Week that "their (Washington) decision to lift their ban will improve LNG supplies and we will revive plans to buy a stake in U.S. LNG or to buy U.S. LNG through long-term contracts."

He said that the company will make a final decision following a long-term LNG purchase tendering process.

India is currently the fourth largest LNG importer in the world. It aims to increase the gas share to 15% of the energy mix by 2030, up from the current 6.2%. GAIL is India’s largest gas distributor.

GAIL was forced to stop its process for buying a stake up to 26 percent in an LNG plant located in the United States in 2023 after Joe Biden, then president of the United States, halted approvals on pending and future requests to export LNG.

Gupta stated that global LNG prices may soften after 2026, as new projects in the U.S. are expected to be brought online and increase supply.

Asia Spot LNG Prices Last week, the price of British thermal units (BTUs) reached a new high for two months at around $15. This was in response to a rise in European gas prices. Analysts say that the U.S. will provide ample supply to limit prices in this decade.

Qatar will expand its liquefaction capability to 142 millions metric tons annually by 2027, from the current 77 million.

Hardeep Singh Puri, the Indian oil minister, said that by 2030 India's gas consumption is expected to reach over 500 million standard cubic meters per day (mmscmd).

According to the Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell of the Oil Ministry, India's gas demand increased by approximately 12.5% in fiscal year 2024 compared to the previous year.

Gupta stated that India's consumption would increase if the government brought gas under the goods and service tax regime instead of the current multiple taxes on gasoline, in order to make the prices cheaper and uniform throughout the country.

GAIL, in its annual report 2023-24, has agreed to purchase 15.5 million tonnes per annum of LNG, including supplies from the U.S.A., Qatar and Australia, as well as traders Vitol Adnoc.

The long-term agreements with American companies include the purchase by Berkshire Hathaway Energy of Cove Point and Cheniere Energy Sabine Pass in Louisiana, each receiving 5.8 million tonnes per year (tpy) of LNG.

Sources said that in December, Qatar was also awarded a 5-year tender for the purchase one LNG cargo per month starting April. Sources in December said that Qatar was also awarded a five-year tender for the purchase of one LNG cargo a month starting April.

(source: Reuters)