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Petrobras investment will drop as Lula's first budget is cut.

Three sources familiar with the matter said that Petrobras, Brazil's state-owned oil company, will cut its five-year investment program for the first time under Luiz Inacio Lula Da Silva's administration due to lower oil costs.

Sources said that the new plan will be announced on Thursday and is expected to have capital expenditures about 2% less than the previous plan of $111 billion for the period 2025-2029, dropping to approximately $109 billion. The board is yet to make a final decision.

This is the first divestment since the Petrobras plan from the period 2021-2025 under the former president Jair Bolsonaro, when Petrobras went through a series or divestments.

Lula, since he took office, has encouraged the oil company to invest more to help boost the economy of the country. The leftist leader will seek to run for a non-consecutive fourth term next year.

The company informed analysts during a earnings call that there was little room for maneuvering in 2026 as the majority of planned investments had already been contracted. Petrobras' current capital budget for the next year is around $19.6 Billion.

Brent crude oil traded at $62,35 per barrel on Wednesday. This was lower than the $70.85 average for the first nine month of the year, which is already a 14.4% decline compared to 2024.

ASSOMALIZING PRICES LOWER

A source told us that Petrobras must adapt to the current oil price environment and do more with the same amount of money. The company should not increase its debt nor change its dividend policy, she added.

Sources say that the plan is to increase production and refinery by increasing the capacity of existing units. The company will map out platforms which could boost output, and it plans a revamp of almost all its refineries.

The company is searching for platforms that can follow the Almirante Tamandare flotating production unit. This floating unit was designed to produce 225,000 barrels of oil per day but achieved a record 270,000 barrels of oil per day in October.

Petrobras could reevaluate projects in order to reduce costs and negotiate with suppliers. This was the claim of a source. (Reporting and writing by Rodrigo Viga Gaier, Fabio Teixeira, Editing by Bill Berkrot).

(source: Reuters)