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Carney announces Alberta Carbon Pricing Deal that could pave the way for new oil pipeline

Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta's premier on ?Friday signed a deal on industrial carbon pricing, ?part of a broader agreement meant to pave the way ?for ?construction of a 1-million-barrel-per-day crude oil pipeline to British Columbia's northwest coast to start by September 2027.

Calgary's deal will raise the cost of carbon credits in Alberta's industrial market from C$95 to C$130 (94.59 USD) per metric ton in 2040. This is a measure to give oil companies a financial incentive for reducing pollution. It is unlikely that it will satisfy oil executives, who are concerned about the impact of any industrial carbon pricing on the industry, especially since the United States does not have a carbon price. Carney was in the city of oil and gas for the first time since November when he met with Alberta Premier Danielle Smith to discuss a plan to increase investment, including funding a new pipeline.

Carney said that Canada's carbon markets and incentives to boost?low-carbon oil output will attract the private sector.

He said, "I believe there will be a great deal of interest."

U.S. COMPETITION WORRIES

Alberta frozen its headline industrial carbon prices in May 2025. It cited the need to "keep its companies competitive" in light of the threat that President Donald Trump's Tariffs pose.

Alberta's carbon credits trade between?C$20 to C$40 per metric ton. Environmental?experts claim that this is too low a price to encourage polluters into investing in technology to reduce emissions.

The plan announced on Friday includes an escalating carbon floor price to ensure that Canada's major emitters are continually encouraged to reduce their emissions. Alberta's carbon price will increase from C$100 to C$130 per ton in 2020, then by 1.5% each year beginning in 2036.

Environmentalists had called for a faster timeframe.

Tim Weis is the director of industrial decarbonization for Pembina Institute.

The 'deal' ensures that Alberta will raise its carbon price in time, as other provinces must do. This is a condition Carney had set before he would allow his government to fast-track a new crude oil export pipeline. For the first time, the agreement provides a start date for a new crude export pipeline if governments meet their legal obligation to consult Indigenous People.

Alberta plans to submit a proposal to build a second West Coast oil pipeline by July 1, according to the province.

HURDS REMAIN

Carney and Alberta agreed that a new pipeline would be contingent upon the oil industry building an carbon capture and storage project. However, under the agreement, the project could be phased-in over time, and the resultant?emission reductions would be less than what the companies who originally proposed the proposal pledged to achieve in 2022.

The Oil Sands Alliance, which is made up of Canada's largest oil sands companies, has refused to pay for the carbon capture project. The group said on Friday that it did not support changes to Alberta's carbon tax system.

British Columbia, as well as any First Nations that might be affected by this route, would have to approve of the pipeline.

B.C. Premier David Eby has said that his government will not allow the oil tanker ban to be lifted off the northwest coast of B.C.

(source: Reuters)