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Carney announces Alberta Carbon Pricing Deal that could pave the way for new oil pipeline

Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta's premier on Friday signed a ?deal on industrial carbon pricing, part of ?a broader agreement they have been hammering out ?for ?months that is meant to pave the way for construction of a 1-million-barrel-per-day crude oil pipeline to British Columbia's northwest coast to start by September 2027.

The deal struck in Calgary on Friday will raise the cost of carbon credits in Alberta's industrial market from $95.50 to C$130 (94.59 USD) per metric ton in 2040. This is to give oil companies a financial incentive for reducing pollution. It is unlikely that it will'satisfy' environmentalists, who wanted a faster implementation, or oil executives, who are concerned about the impact of any industrial carbon pricing on the United States industry, which does not have a carbon price. Carney was in the oil-and gas city for the first time since November when he met with Alberta Premier Danielle Smith to discuss boosting investment into energy production. This included a new pipeline, which has yet to find a private sector sponsor.

U.S. COMPETITION WORRIES

Alberta frozen its 'headline industrial carbon prices' in May 2025. It cited the need to maintain its companies' competitiveness in light of the economic threat posed by President Donald Trumps tariffs.

The Alberta carbon market offers credits between C$20 to C$40 per metric ton. Environmental experts believe that this is too low a price to encourage polluters into investing in technology to reduce emissions.

The plan announced on Friday will include an escalating carbon floor price to ensure that Canada's major emitters are continually encouraged to reduce their emissions. Alberta's carbon price will increase from $100 to $130 per ton in 2036. It will then rise by 1.5% each year beginning in 2036.

Environmentalists wanted Alberta's carbon credit market price to reach C$130 in 2030. They claim that a shorter timeframe would encourage businesses to take immediate steps to reduce emissions.

Tim Weis is the director of industrial decarbonization for Pembina Institute.

The deal, however, ensures that Alberta will raise its carbon price in the future as other provinces must do. This is a condition Carney had set for his government before it would even consider fast-tracking construction of a new crude oil export pipeline. For the first time, the 'agreement' provides a start date for a new crude export pipeline if governments have met their legal obligation to consult indigenous people.

Alberta plans to submit a proposal to build the second West Coast oil export pipeline for Canada before July 1. This is despite the fact that no private company has yet agreed to take ownership of the project.

The agreement between Carney and Alberta also stipulates that a new pipeline will only be built if the oil industry commits to reducing emissions by building the proposed carbon capture project. However, this project can still be implemented in phases.

(source: Reuters)