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MORNING BID EUROPE-Countdown to CPI

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Tom Westbrook

No doubt there are some sore heads around the City today after Ollie Watkins' stoppage-time strike sent England into Sunday's European Champion last against Spain.

But the task of winning England's first major prize on foreign soil is not done and nor, in markets, is the project versus inflation where much depends upon the U.S. number due later in the day.

Stock exchange have actually marched to record highs anyway, led by big tech gains in anticipation of rate cuts in the fall.

On an annual basis U.S. June heading CPI is expected to slow to 3.1%, while core CPI is seen steady month-on-month at 0.2%, according to economists polled .

As it stands, Fed funds futures are revealing a 73% possibility that the reserve bank reduces at its September conference, according to CME FedWatch. Inflation meeting economists' projections will most likely cement those expectations.

But rate-cut bets have actually swung hugely this year, and a. surprise spike could further jolt forecasts, rattle possession. rates and put the yen right back on the ropes.

The yen was stuck on the weak side of 161 per. dollar in Asia on Thursday and markets in Tokyo and Taipei. notched record highs, as they performed in New York on Wednesday.

The Nasdaq is up more than 5% for the month currently.

The Bank of Korea held rates, as anticipated, however dropped a. cautioning about inflation risks from its statement in an echo of a. similar shift in language a day earlier in New Zealand.

Sterling, on the other hand, made a four-month high as Bank. of England chief economic expert Huw Tablet did not tee up the August. rate cut that some had expected.

Secret developments that could influence markets on Thursday:

Economics: Final German CPI, UK regular monthly GDP, U.S. CPI

Earnings: Delta Airlines, PepsiCo

Speeches: Fed's Musalem and Bostic

(source: Reuters)