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India's weak demand for Urals oil leads to a widening of discounts on the oil
Sources say that the differentials between Russian Urals crude and other grades are under pressure due to the weakening value of the grade in India's ports. Three sources in the oil trade reported that discounts for Russian Urals crude have tripled in Indian ports since August compared to Brent dated as U.S. sanction drive key buyers from Moscow-supplied fuel. According to traders, the December Urals cargoes are currently trading at a discount of $5-$6 per barrel compared to Brent. This is about three times greater than the $1-2 seen in August. PLATTS WINDOW There were no bids or offers reported on the Platts Window for Urals CPC Blend, or Azeri BTC on Wednesday. Five sources have confirmed that U.S. sanctions will dismantle what is left of Litasco. Litasco was once Russia's largest oil trader, and a competitor to Swiss oil giants and top Swiss houses. (Reporting from ;)
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CMA CGM, the shipping giant, resumes Russia trade by bringing in food cargo
The company, CMA CGM of France, which is the third largest container shipping line in the world, said that it has resumed limited service to Russia. This includes transporting food. It did so three years after the company had withdrawn from Russia following the invasion of Ukraine. CMA CGM, like other Western companies, ceased its activities in Russia. It stopped its shipping services, and divested its stakes in port terminals. CMA CGM stated in an email that the CNC subsidiary of the group has re-launched shipping foodstuffs to Russia, such as coffee and citrus fruits to meet customer demand. It said that the activity was very limited and strictly conducted in compliance with the sanctions regime. The French newspaper Ouest France reported that CMA CGM did not use its own fleet, but booked space on other vessels to transport its containers. CMA CGM has joined its Swiss rival MSC to ship cargo to Russia. MSC continued to ship humanitarian, medical and food items during the conflict in Ukraine.
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Chinese cruise ships avoid Japan amid diplomatic dispute
Sources and cruise schedules reviewed indicate that Chinese cruise operators are avoiding Japanese ports due to a diplomatic dispute between Beijing and Tokyo. This is expected to boost tourism to South Korea. The tensions sparked by the recent events have been cited by tour and port agents. You can also read our blog posts. Japan's new premier could lead to Chinese tourists being redirected from Japan to South Korea. Sanae Takaichi, Japan's new prime minister, told Japanese legislators earlier this month that a Chinese attack against Taiwan could lead to a military response. Adora Magic City is a Chinese cruise liner that visits the touristy island of Jeju in South Korea as well as Japan. According to an announcement posted on the website of South Korea’s Jeju Province, the ship has altered its December schedule to avoid the Japanese ports Fukuoka Sasebo, and Nagasaki, as originally planned. The notice stated that the cruise ship would spend between 31 and 57 hours at Jeju instead of its usual nine-hour schedule. Unofficially, a Jeju official said that the cruise operator asked for a schedule change without giving any reason. The official declined to identify himself as he wasn't authorised to talk to the media. It seems that they are working on a Plan B." Adora Cruises has not responded to a comment request. Japan is counting the costs of the diplomatic conflict. Tokyo-based East Japan International Travel Service said this week that it had lost 80% its bookings for remainder of year. Lee Yong Gun, CEO of South Korean port agent Eastern Shipping told reporters that other Chinese cruise ships were also in discussions to reroute. Lee stated that "if the China-Japan relations further deteriorate and China excludes Japan’s products, culture, and tourism, then I expect Korea to benefit from this." He said that the operator of the "Dream", which departs the Chinese city Tianjin wanted to avoid Japan by rerouting to a South Korean Port in Incheon, or Busan, over the next two weeks, but there wasn't enough time to do so, citing an earlier discussion with the operator. Tianjin Orient International Cruise Line which operates the ship did not reply to a comment request. Details about cruise ships skipping Japan to stay longer in Korea, or even considering it due to diplomatic disputes, have never been reported. According to Qunar, an online travel agency, South Korea was the most popular destination among Chinese tourists in terms of bookings of international flights over the weekend between November 15-16. Many Chinese airlines are offering refunds for routes to Japan. This is expected to increase air travel in South Korea. Jeju Air's executive said that the South Korean budget airline is expecting an increase in Chinese tourism, even though there has been no immediate impact. The chief executive of the South Korean tour agency that caters to Chinese tourists said on Wednesday he just received a request from a Chinese client who asked if an event originally scheduled for Japan in early next year could be relocated to South Korea. He said that "South Korea is clearly going to benefit from this dispute." He said that for the moment, they were in a waiting-and-seeing mode. South Korea welcomed more than half as many Chinese tourists in 2013 due to the territorial dispute between Beijing, Japan and some islands. The Chinese advisory against traveling to Japan has caused South Korean shares in travel-related companies this week to soar. Travel agency Yellow Balloon Tour has seen a 24% increase, and Shinsegae, a department store operator, has seen a 6% gain on the hope that Chinese tourists will switch to South Korea. Travel industry experts said that it may take some time for Chinese tourists to increase in South Korea. Kim Seol Yeong, a tour operator based in Jeju for Chinese cruise tourists, said that the diplomatic dispute had only occurred a few days earlier. It might take some time before we see an increase of Chinese tourists visiting Korea. Luna Wang, 34, from Hangzhou, China, had considered returning to Japan this year, but she may opt for South Korea now. "Now, it seems that Japan is no longer safe for Chinese to travel." She said, "I guess the only option that is good for me to travel to Korea is to go to Japan." The founder of Moment Travel, a Chinese company in Chengdu, noted a dramatic shift in perceptions regarding travel to Japan. Su Shu, the founder of Moment Travel in Chengdu, said that there is now a feeling that anyone who travels to Japan is a traitor. Reporting by Ju-Min Park in Seoul; Casey Hall in Shanghai; and Sophie Yu, in Beijing. Editing by Anne Marie Roantree, Thomas Derpinghaus, and Anne Marie Roantree.
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Lithuania Railway Company stops Lukoil shipments from Russia's Kaliningrad
Due to U.S. Sanctions, the Lithuanian state-owned railway group LTG announced on Friday that it would stop shipments of oil cargoes from Russia's Lukoil into the Russian exclave Kaliningrad. Kaliningrad, located on the Baltic Sea Coast, receives most of its supplies via rail transit via NATO member Lithuania. It can also receive direct shipments via ocean from its own nation. Last month, the U.S. Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control imposed sanctions on Lukoil over the conflict in Ukraine. The OFAC also warned that foreign companies who do business with this Russian group would face consequences if they continued to do so after the November 21 deadline. LTG Group announced in a Friday statement that "cargoes of Lukoil or related companies, oil or petroleum products, will no longer be shipped by rail from Russia to Kaliningrad". The Kremlin said that Lukoil’s international interests must be respected. (Reporting and editing by Terje Solsvik, Andrius Sytas)
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Since August, the US sanctions have hit India, Russian Urals prices in India have tripled.
Three sources in the oil trade reported that discounts for Russian Urals crude have tripled in Indian ports since August compared to Brent dated as U.S. sanction drive key buyers from Moscow-supplied fuel. Last month, the United States imposed their toughest sanctions to date on Russia's oil sector. They targeted Lukoil & Rosneft. The deadline for companies is Friday to end all business with the two oil producers. Urals crude is a staple feedstock for Indian refiners, since 2023 when Moscow diverted flows to Asia following the European Union's ban on Russian energy. Traders said that supplies to India will fall dramatically as most refiners stop buying. Reliance Industries, India’s largest private refiner and India’s largest refinery, has stopped importing Russian crude to its Jamnagar facility in Gujarat as of November 20, according to a spokesperson for the company. RUSSIA OIL IMPORTS FROM WESTERN POINTS ARE NEAR OPTIMAL LEVELS Despite sanctions, Russia’s oil exports to western ports are still near their peak, thanks to OPEC+ production allowances, and refinery shutdowns caused by drone strikes in Ukraine. According to traders, the December Urals cargoes are currently trading at a discount of $5-$6 per barrel compared to Brent. This is about three times greater than the $1-2 seen in August. Prices for Russian oil delivered into Indian ports are usually set on a "delivered-ex-ship" basis. This means that the price does not include transport costs or other charges paid by the seller. Traders said that the price of Urals crude on board at Russian ports depends on the cargo and supplier. It is estimated to be around $20 per barrel. The majority of shipments are handled on "shadow fleets" linked to Russia, which allows Moscow to keep a portion of the differential in price. The freight rates are stable despite the sanctions against vessels. Aframax tankers carrying 700,000 barrels to Baltic ports cost around $7.5 million per one-way trip, while Suezmax trips are between $8 and $8.5 million, traders reported. They added that Russian oil shipments are still expensive but manageable, as there are enough ships available and Urals is trading below the EU's $60 barrel price limit. Conor Humphries (Reporting and Editing)
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Asia spot prices slightly rise amid high inventories and muted demand
The Asian spot price of liquefied gas rose slightly last week but remained in the $11 range due to well-stocked inventories. Average LNG price for delivery to North-East Asia in January Industry sources estimate that the price per million British thermal unit was $11.66 this week, up from $11.10/mmBtu in the previous week. Toby Copson is chairman of Davenport Energy Partners. He said, "The APAC Market remains largely flat or bearish. This is due to (a) a later start to the winter and unseasonably warm temperatures, which are muting seasonal heating demand." He added that "Geopolitical risks premiums have been mostly priced in. So, unless there are any new supply bottlenecks it will trade within this range until we see an extreme and prolonged drop in temperature." The premium of Asian spot gas to European prices at the TTF hub has been increasing for months. This is mainly due to an increase in charter rates, which meant that bringing cargos from Europe to Asia would be more expensive. Alex Froley said, Senior LNG analyst at ICIS. The wholesale gas prices in Europe fell on Friday morning, as the demand for gas was curtailed by warmer temperatures and expectations of a stronger wind output. Prices increased earlier this week due to a cold snap that drove up heating demand. Froley stated that the spot gas prices at TTF hub have remained fairly stable, and the first cold snap of winter has not caused them to significantly increase. Aly Blakeway is the manager of Atlantic LNG for S&P Global Energy. She said that while Europe's storage inventories have decreased, they are still lower than in previous years. On the back of a strong demand for gas to generate electricity, LNG demand is continuing to grow in the East Mediterranean, including Turkey, Greece and Cyprus. Blakeway explained that this, combined with Egypt's rapid procurement of some cargoes, forced sellers to hold back their offers in order to compete for these premium markets. S&P Global Energy's daily North West Europe LNG Marker price benchmark (NWM) for cargoes to be delivered in January, on an ex ship (DES) basis, was $9.994/mmBtu as of November 20. This represents a $0.49/mmBtu reduction from the price at TTF hub. Spark Commodities set the price for December at $10.60/mmBtu. Seb Kennedy, an independent gas analyst, noted that the number of hedge funds trading TTF derivatives reached a record high of over 450 in the past week. This shows the popularity of the EU market for commodity investments. He added that funds bought more TTF-short positions during the week ended November 14, bringing their net position to near zero. According to Spark Commodities analyst Qasim Afghan, the U.S. arbitrage for the front-month to North-East Asia via Cape of Good Hope points to Europe while the Panama Canal arbitrage is open strongly to Asia. The Atlantic LNG rates have risen to their highest level since December 20, 23 at $130,750/day. Pacific rates reached their highest level since August 20,24 at $78,750/day. Marwa Rashad is the reporter. Mark Potter (Editing)
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Sources: US threatens to cut off intel and weapons to force Ukraine into peace agreement
Two people with knowledge of the situation said that the United States had threatened to reduce intelligence sharing and arms supplies to Ukraine in order to pressure it to agree to the framework for a U.S. mediated peace deal. Sources, who spoke on condition of anonymity said that Washington was exerting greater pressure than in previous peace talks, and that it wanted Ukraine to sign the framework of the agreement by next Thursday. One source said, "They want the war to end and they want Ukraine to pay for the price." Washington presented Ukraine with a plan of 28 points, which endorsed some of Russia's main demands during the war. These included that Kyiv cede more territory, reduce the size of its army, and be banned from joining NATO. A senior U.S. delegation met with President Volodymyr Zelenskiy on Thursday in Kyiv to discuss the path to peace. The U.S. ambassador to Ukraine and the Army Public Affairs chief traveling with the delegation described it as a successful meeting and said Washington was seeking an "aggressive deadline" for signing a document between U.S.A. and Ukraine. (Reporting and writing by Tom Balmforth; editing by Philippa Fetcher and Peter Graff).
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Freeport LNG Texas's export plant will take in more natural gases on Friday, according to data.
LSEG data, as well as regulatory filings, show that the U.S. liquefied gas company Freeport LNG was on schedule to receive more natural gas in Texas on Friday. This is a sign of one of three liquefaction train's return to service following its Thursday shutdown. Freeport has been one of the most closely monitored U.S. LNG plants in the world because its changes in operations have caused price fluctuations in global gas markets. Gas prices in the U.S. typically fall when flows to Freeport decrease due to a reduced demand for fuels from the export facility. Prices in Europe usually rise due to the drop in LNG supply available on global markets. The Freeport outage contributed to a 2% decline in futures prices on Thursday in the U.S. Freeport is not responsible for the drop in prices that occurred in Europe. Freeport informed Texas environmental regulators on Friday that Train 1 was shut down Thursday because of a problem with the compressor system. Freeport officials had no comment to make on the incident, but did note that the plant has loaded its 1,000th shipment this week. LSEG reported that gas flow to Freeport was on track to increase to 1.9 billion cubic foot per day (bcfd), up from 1.3 bcfd Thursday. This compares to an average of 1.9 billion cubic feet per day over the previous seven days. Three liquefaction plants at Freeport can convert about 2.4 billion cubic feet per day of gas to LNG. A billion cubic feet of natural gas can supply five million U.S. households for one day. Reporting by Scott DiSavino. (Editing by David Goodman, Mark Potter and Mark Potter.)
What disturbances have been reported after the global tech blackout?
A worldwide tech outage that appeared to be associated with concerns at cybersecurity firm CrowdStrike and Microsoft impacted operations at airports, airline companies, banks and media outlets on Friday.
Here is a list of disruptions that have actually been reported across sectors:
AIRPORTS, AIRLINES
Airports and airline companies around the world alerted of delays and cancellations or changed to manual check-ins, with some halting flights.
- Berlin airport temporarily halted all flights, a. spokesperson informed . Lufthansa's Eurowings stated. it was stopping domestic German flights as well as flights to and. from Britain up until 3 p.m. (1300 GMT).
- Spanish airport operator Aena reported a. computer systems event, while Lisbon airport, Portugal's. biggest, also experienced disruptions. Amsterdam's Schiphol. Airport and Brussels airport were also apparently affected.
- Leading Dutch airline KLM stated it could not manage. flights on Friday and had actually suspended most of its operations. Air. France, KLM's parent business, likewise stated its operations were. interfered with.
- Turkish Airline companies was experiencing issues with ticketing,. check-ins and booking, it stated in a post on X. Budapest Airport. said a number of airline check-in systems were out of operation.
- Major U.S. carriers consisting of American Airlines,. Delta Air Lines and United Airlines stopped. flights on Friday early morning, pointing out interaction problems. American. Airline companies later stated it had re-established operations. Frontier. and Spirit, too, canceled regulations to ground airplanes.
- Ryanair stated it had actually canceled a little number of. flights.
- An SAS representative said the Scandinavian airline company was. anticipating hold-ups.
- Qantas, Australia's national airline, and Sydney. airport said aircrafts were postponed but still flying.
- Swiss air traffic control business Skyguide stated it had. momentarily decreased Swiss air traffic capability by 30%.
- Roughly 90% of flights at London Gatwick Airport and. London Stansted Airport had actually been postponed or canceled.
- Indian carriers including SpiceJet, Indigo,. Akasa Air, Vistara, Air India and Air India Express were likewise. experiencing issues on Friday.
- Philippines' Cebu Air stated it was dealing with. technical issues and system downtime due to the Microsoft. failure.
FINANCIALS
- JPMorgan Chase & & Co said that the majority of its. ATMs were running generally and that the bank was working to. bring back service to the staying ATMs.
- Australia's biggest bank, Commonwealth Bank, stated. earlier issues impacting PayID immediate transfers had actually been. resolved. Services consisting of Netbank, the CommBank app, CommBiz,. merchant payments and ATMs were available.
- Several significant oil and gas trading desks in London and. Singapore were struggling to perform trades, 6 industry. sources told . The Singapore Exchange stated some services. including its rate feed web service were temporarily affected.
- Macquarie Capital was not able to supply liquidity for. unexpired warrants on HKEX.
- Providers of South African lenders Capitec Bank. and Absa were completely restored after experiencing. interruptions.
- London Stock market Group's's Workspace news. and data platform suffered an interruption that affected user access. worldwide, triggering disturbance across financial markets. It said. in a client memo that technical problems on FX area and forward. rates had actually been dealt with and services brought back.
- Some brokerages in India were facing technical. troubles, traders at the brokerages told .
- German insurance provider Allianz stated it was experiencing. a significant outage that was affecting staff members' capability to log on. to their computer systems.
- Some German banks were facing disruptions, a spokesperson. for the Deutsche Kreditwirtschaft monetary market association. stated on Friday, without offering details.
- Barclays stated its Smart Financier digital. investing platform had actually been impacted.
- Brazilian lending institution Bradesco stated its digital platforms were. not available on Friday.
MEDIA
- Britain's Sky News resumed broadcasting after an. hours-long blackout, however was operating at minimal capacity and. without much of its normal services.
- Australia's state broadcaster, ABC, said it was. experiencing a significant network outage, without giving a reason.
- Routine programming at Sky News Australia was interrupted.
EMERGENCY SITUATION SERVICES, HEALTHCARE
- England's National Health Service said reservations of. doctors' visits and client records were disrupted, but. emergency services had not been impacted.
- Several medical facilities in the Netherlands had to scale down. their operations, Dutch press company ANP reported.
- Victoria state police in Australia stated some internal. systems had been hit, however emergency services were running. normally.
- Copenhagen's fire department said on X it was experiencing. issues getting instantly transmitted fire alarms, and. urged people to call 112 in case of a fire.
- 2 hospitals in the northern German cities of Luebeck and. Kiel canceled optional operations scheduled for Friday.
- Non-profit hospital chain Mass General Brigham stated the. outage impacted a lot of its systems. Due to the intensity of the. concern, it canceled all formerly scheduled non-urgent. surgical treatments, treatments and medical gos to for the day.
- Quest Diagnostics stated its client services and. consumer contact teams were operating with reduced capacity and. clients might experience longer waiting and service times.
- Lab provider Labcorp stated the failure. was impacting some of its service systems, call center. operations and results delivery, including doctor and client. portals.
- Hospital operator Providence stated it brought back a key. performance allowing nurses, doctors and caretakers to. access patient records and carry out clinical documentation, however. other scientific applications and workstations were still. affected.
SHIPPING, LOGISTICS
- Maersk stated the blackout impacted a few of its. run terminals, however all were back in operation within a few. hours.
- FedEx Corp said that its network was now operating. across the globe after it faced significant disruptions due to a. around the world IT failure experienced by a third-party software. vendor. Competing UPS also warned of potential shipment. delays.
- Railroad operator Union Pacific said the. CrowdStrike software application failure had differing levels of impact. across its network, however backup protocols helped it interact. with its teams and dispatchers. It later said its network was. open to organization.
OTHERS
- Important facilities in Germany had actually been affected, an. interior ministry representative said.
- New Zealand's parliamentary computer systems were. affected, according to Rafael Gonzalez-Montero, head of the. parliamentary service.
- Australia's Telstra Group was dealing with disruptions. to a few of its systems, a representative for the telecom firm informed. .
- The Baltic Hub container terminal in the Polish city of. Gdansk stated it was struck by the worldwide outage in Microsoft systems. and was working to resolve the problem.
- The Paris Olympics arranging committee said the cyber. interruption was slowing its operations, however the effect was restricted. and ticket sales were unaffected.
- The United Arab Emirates foreign ministry said its. electronic systems were functioning usually again.
- Maruti Suzuki, India's largest carmaker, stated it. briefly stopped production and despatch operations. It resumed. operations and did not expect a material impact from the. event.
- Port Houston said two of its terminals experienced system. failures as part of the worldwide tech interruption. All systems were. later on up and running.
- U.S. telecom huge Verizon initially stated international. IT problems might impact some of its services and store. operations could be restricted, however its network was not impacted.
- Soccer club Manchester United said on X that it. had to delay an arranged release of tickets.
- Starbucks said its mobile order-ahead and pay. features were briefly down due to a worldwide tech failure.
- North American pipeline operator Enbridge stated it. did experience some effects to organization applications as an outcome. of the CrowdStrike software upgrade.
(source: Reuters)