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Vietnam's plan to avoid US tariffs

According to UN data, U.S. president Donald Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on all Vietnam's exports to the top market. These goods, which accounted for more than $142 billion in sales last year, or about 30% of Vietnam’s GDP, could be affected.

Vietnamese officials and companies take the threat seriously, as the Southeast Asian country has one of largest surpluses in the world with the U.S. A survey found that most U.S. companies in Vietnam expect disruptions and layoffs should duties be imposed.

Here are some measures that Vietnamese officials have suggested, are considering or may help avoid tariffs.

DUTIES AND NON-TRADE BARRIERS

Most economists believe that Vietnam's duties on U.S. goods are higher than the duties charged by the U.S. The country also levies a value-added tax on its goods. Trump may use both criteria to determine reciprocal tariffs.

Vietnam has shown an openness towards finding compromises, but the existing regulations may force it to lower duties on goods from other countries as well.

U.S. firms have long expressed concern about non-trade obstacles, such as lengthy project approval processes, burdensome legal requirements and difficulties in obtaining visas for workers.

Imports of Energy

Officials have stated that Vietnamese officials have discussed several times with their counterparts in the United States possible purchases of U.S. LNG for Vietnam's fledgling industry. However, no concrete steps have yet been taken.

The country also plans to relaunch its nuclear energy programme and is searching for suppliers of nuclear technology.

Agriculture Goods

Vietnam's Trade Minister has stated that it is willing to import more U.S. agricultural products. The increase in agricultural imports will not significantly reduce trade imbalances, as Vietnam's total farm product imports from the U.S. totaled $3.4 billion last year.

TRANSHIPMENT OF STEEL

Vietnam has been suspected for a long time of being a hub of transshipment of Chinese goods into the U.S., given the large volumes of intermediate products it imports. Some products, such as solar panel have already been sanctioned.

Vietnam decided last week to impose temporary antidumping duties on Chinese products. It faces the risk of 25 percent tariffs on steel exports to America, on top of the antidumping duties Washington already levies on Vietnamese steel.

DEFENCE, StarLINK

Officials with knowledge of the situation say that Hanoi is in advanced talks with U.S. defense firms about the purchase of military transport aircraft Lockheed Martin C-130 Hercules.

In February, the Vietnamese Parliament approved a legal framework that would allow Elon Musk’s Starlink to offer satellite internet and security in Vietnam.

PLANES

VietJet, the Vietnamese budget airline, has agreed to purchase 200 Boeing 737 MAX aircraft in a multibillion-dollar deal that was first signed in 2016, and then revised later.

The company has not yet received any planes, despite stating that it was expecting to receive its first jets in the last year. The company has expressed interest in expanding the agreement without specifying how.

MONETARY POLICY

Trump's first term as President ended with Treasury declaring Vietnam a currency manipulator.

The United States is on the watchlist of countries that could be manipulating currency. The central bank of Vietnam has allowed the Vietnamese currency to fall against the dollar in recent months. According to Adam Samdin, an Oxford Economics analyst, this may be a sign that the government is willing to tolerate a weaker currency.

The central bank said that it would continue to monitor Trump's policies and make adjustments.

GOLF DIPLOMATICS

In October, the local partner of The Trump Organization announced that it had agreed to build a golf course worth $1.5 billion in Vietnam.

(source: Reuters)