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Kazakhstan's crude exports in December fell to a 14-month low following Ukraine drone attacks
Two market sources reported on Wednesday that Kazakhstan's exports of its CPC Blend oil, the country's flagship, will be at their lowest level in 14 months?in December, due to bad weather delaying efforts to repair Russian loading facilities after Ukrainian drone attacks last month. In recent months, Ukraine has intensified its attacks on Russian energy infrastructure as it seeks lower revenues for Moscow. In this case, the damage caused by the explosion has affected oil sales both from Russia and Kazakhstan. Sources familiar with the loading program said that CPC Blend loadings would fall from 1.7 millions barrels per day to 1,14 million barrels daily. According to LSEG, this would be the lowest level since October 2024. On November 29, Ukrainian drones struck the Caspian pipeline consortium terminal near Russia's Black Sea Port of Novorossiysk. Only one of three jetties was operational, causing export delays. The bad weather has made it difficult to carry out the maintenance necessary to restore exports. OIL MAJOR RESIDE ON THE CPC TRADING TERMINAL TO EXPORT KAZAKH OIL The CPC Terminal is where oil from Kazakhstan's fields that belongs to U.S. and European?oil companies Chevron Exxon Mobil Eni and Shell is loaded. CPC's representative refused to comment on terminal operations and maintenance. Sources who asked not to be identified because they weren't authorised to comment publicly on this issue said that the reduction in loadings may be even greater depending on how well the repairs are progressing at the CPC terminal. After the drone attack, SPM-2 has been taken off line. Since November 29, only SPM-1 is operational. SPM-3 has been out of service since mid-November for maintenance. The weather was the main reason. Three separate sources in the trade have confirmed that a new round has been announced of cancellations. According to Kpler, the analytics firm, CPC Terminal, 26 cargoes were loaded with crude oil equivalent to?around 3,28 million metric tonnes, or 26 million barrels? between December 1 and 23. Kazakh production has to be moderated because there is only one SPM operational and the storage tanks are full. "Some buyers of CPC might have to cover because the North Sea is the only real alternative. Physical Brent has supported recent prices of CPC," Christopher Haines Energy Aspects head of oil said. Brent oil futures have risen by over $1 per barrel globally in the aftermath of the attack on November 29, and CPC Blend supplies have decreased as exporters of this grade have few alternative shipping routes. CPC expects to export CPC Blend crude in January, at a rate of around 1.65m bpd. One source said that exporters had been waiting since early December for SPM-3's return to service. They have adjusted their plans several times and diverted some volumes onto other routes including China and Baku-Tbilisi Ceyhan pipeline. (Reporting from Robert Harvey in London, and reporters in Moscow. Editing by Barbara Lewis.)
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CPC oil loading plans revised down by 33% in December due to bad weather delays
Two market sources reported on Wednesday that oil shipments via the Caspian Pipeline Consortium will drop by one-third in December, to their lowest level since October 2024. This is after an attack by a Ukrainian drone damaged the main CPC terminal. Ukraine has intensified its attacks on Russian energy infrastructure over the past few months in an effort to reduce Moscow's revenue. In November, Ukrainian drones attacked the CPC terminal near Russia's Black Sea Port of Novorossiysk. The loading point is for oil from Kazakhstan fields, operated by U.S. oil giants Chevron, Exxon Mobil and Eni, and Shell. Sources familiar with the loading program said that the CPC blend loadings will drop to 1,14 million barrels a day, from the initial plan of?1.7million bpd. A CPC representative declined to comment on terminal operations and maintenance. The amount of time needed for repairs could affect the size of the cuts. They asked not to be named as they weren't authorised to make public statements on this issue. After the drone attack, SPM-2 has been taken off line. Since November 29, only SPM-1 is operational. SPM-3 has been out of service since mid-November for maintenance. The weather was a major factor in the delay. Three separate sources in the trade have confirmed that a new round of cancellations of cargo has been announced recently. According to Kpler, the CPC terminal loaded 26 cargoes containing around?3,28 million metric tonnes, or 26 million barrels of crude oil, between December 1 and 23. The price of oil has risen by $1 per barrel globally in the aftermath of the November 29th attack. Supplies of CPC Blend are also down as the grade's suppliers have limited other shipping routes. CPC expects to export CPC Blend crude in January, at a rate of around 1.65 millions bpd. One source said that exporters have been waiting since early December for SPM-3's return to service. They have had to change their plans several times and divert volumes to other routes including China and Baku, Tbilisi, Ceyhan pipeline. Reporting by Robert Harvey and reporters in Moscow, with editing by Barbara Lewis.
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Asia spot LNG prices rise on South Korean demand
Asian spot liquefied gas prices rose this week, as colder weather forecasts boosted the demand in South Korea. However, weaker buying across China has led to a 34% drop since 2025. Average LNG price for February deliveries to Northeast Asia Industry sources estimate that the price per million British Thermal Units (mmBtu) is $9.60, up from $9.50 in the previous week and at its lowest level since April 2024. The market is still under pressure from the continued soft demand in Asia, with its weak economic indicators. There are also plenty of alternatives like coal in China. Klaas Dzeman, a market analyst with Brainchild Commodity Intelligence, said that La Nina did not bring the colder phases some were expecting. He added that colder weather in South Korea and China over the next week could modestly increase demand. Martin Senior, Argus' head of LNG prices, said that spot buying has been observed in South Korea. The temperatures are expected to drop to two-year lows by December 26. Five cargoes have already been diverted to South Korea from?China in the past few weeks. EUROPEAN GAS Prices Up Gas prices in Europe rose slightly during thin trading ahead of Christmas as forecasts for a cold snap boosted demand. S&P Global Energy's daily Northwest Europe LNG Marker was assessed on December 23 at $9.001/mmBtu, a $0.53 reduction to the Dutch TTF Hub. Argus set the price at $9.001/mmBtu while Spark Commodities put it at $9.110/mmBtu. Looking ahead, the key LNG gateways to Central and Eastern Europe are announcing that they will be firm buyers in early Q1 2026. They want to relieve pressure on declining Russian pipeline gas?and LNG flows. Aly Blakeway is the manager of Atlantic LNG for?S&P Global Energy. She said that Asia and North Africa are not interested in spot volumes. Seb Kennedy, an independent analyst, reported that hedge funds have dramatically changed their position on TTF futures in the past year. They went from being net long at the beginning of February to being net short by November. Kennedy said that 2025 would be remembered for the transition of EU gas markets as a year when a ramp-up in LNG supply ended years of scarcity pricing and crisis. With more than 450 funds actively trading TTF now, speculative money will continue to have a significant impact on EU gas prices through 2026. According to Spark Commodities analyst Qasim Afghanistan, in LNG freight, Atlantic rates have fallen for the fourth consecutive week, to $80750/day. Pacific rates are down to $71,250/day. The fall in Atlantic freight rates have narrowed U.S. arbitrage for the U.S. first-month to Northeast Asia via Cape of Good Hope. However, it still points towards Europe. Afghan said that the Panama route points marginally to Asia. Marwa Rashad reported. Mark Potter (Editing)
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Drop in food exports due to Russian attacks on Ukrainian ports
A Ukrainian farmer's association said that the Russian attacks on Ukrainian ports have already harmed food exports. This could result in a significant drop?in trade, despite attempts to divert shipments by rail. Ukraine is the largest exporter of corn and wheat in the world, as well as sunflower oil. Early in the nearly four-year war, a de facto Russian blocade worsened global food shortages. Since 2023, the majority of Ukrainian food exports has resumed. This month, Russian drones and missiles have been attacking the Odesa region's ports almost daily. Export capacity has decreased. The UAC union reported that some wheat exporters have already failed to deliver on their contracts for?delivery shipments this month. UAC estimates that at least one of three major export ports is idle or only operating at 20% capacity. The union also stated that logistics routes connecting the rest Ukraine to Danube River port have been damaged. Since the beginning of the war, river ports have compensated for the loss major seaports. "Russia is attacking our ports and reducing our export capacity .... UAC stated in a report that without deep water and river waters, our exports would decline dramatically. The article added that "some large traders have already begun to sort out quotas on railway terminals. This means that some grain from our country may be sent across the border." Exports of wheat, corn, and vegoil are declining. UAC reports that as of December 22 only 375,000 tons of wheat have been shipped out of the 1 million tons contracted to be shipped during the month. In the case of?corn 1.5 million tons out of 2 million tons contracted have been shipped. Sunoil: 275,000 tons of the 410,000 tons contracted had already been shipped. Exports for the entire month are not expected to exceed 350,000 tonnes. UAC reported that "some traders have defaulted on wheat, and some contracts are being rescheduled to January due insufficient capacity at the ports." In December of last year, Ukraine export 800,000 tons wheat, 2.6 million tons corn, and 378,000 tonnes of sunflower oil. According to the Ukrainian Economy Ministry, grain exports fell to 1.82 millions tons from 2.88million tons between December 1-27, last year. This was mainly due to lower shipments of wheat and corn. (Reporting and editing by Peter Graff.)
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India approves two new airlines to start operations after IndiGo's crisis
India has given initial approval to two airlines for them to start?operations. This comes after IndiGo, the largest airline in India, cancelled a large number of flights. These cancellations brought to light the lack of competition on the fastest-growing aviation markets. Minister Ram Mohan Naidu announced?on X late Tuesday that the civil aviation ministry had granted a 'no objection certificate' to regional airline alHind Air, and FlyExpress. He added that?the Government is working hard to encourage more competition on the domestic market. IndiGo's dominance was highlighted by the cancellation of 4,500 flights earlier this month due to poor staff planning. Tens of thousands were left stranded in airports across India as a result. Some analysts have called on the government to provide incentives to encourage more companies to operate. IndiGo's market share is?of approximately 65%. Air India Group, the rival airline, has about 27%. The rest is made up by smaller carriers. AlHind's website states that it aims to "begin operations" in southern India using a fleet ATR Turboprops. It is currently acquiring an Air Operator Certificate. FlyExpress also had a banner that said "coming soon." The government informed lawmakers in July that India had granted six air operators permits for operations to begin by 2020, including regional carriers. (Reporting and editing by Barbara Lewis; Abhijith Gaapavaram)
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Turkish official: Libyan army chief of staff died in plane crash near Ankara, after fault reported by Turkish official
An official in Turkey said that a private 'jet' which crashed overnight and killed the chief of staff for Libyan army and seven other people on board had reported an electrical problem and requested an emergency land shortly before losing contact. Burhanettin Duran, head of the communications department, told reporters that the Dassault Falcon 50 jet informed air traffic controllers at?1733 GMT about an emergency due to an electrical failure. The black box was found early Wednesday morning, according to the Turkish interior minister. The internationally recognized government of Libya said that the dead included Mohammed Ali Ahmed Al-Haddad - army chief of Staff - and four members of his entourage. Libyan Prime Minister Abdulhamid Dbeibah described it as a "great national loss." Turkish officials confirmed that three crew members also died. A JET DISAPPEARED FROM RADAR WHILE LANDING Duran stated that air traffic control redirected the plane back to Esenboga Airport, and emergency measures had been initiated. However, the jet vanished?from radar around 1736 GMT, while it was descending towards landing, and there was no contact. The voice recorder and flight data recorder were found at 0245 and 0320 respectively. The analysis and examination of these devices has 'begun,' Interior Minister Ali Yerlikaya said to reporters at the crash scene near Ankara’s Haymana District. Yerlikaya said earlier that the?aircraft requested an emergency landing when flying over Haymana.?Additionally, its wreckage has been found near Kesikkavak Village. Duran stated that all authorities were continuing to investigate the cause of the accident. Libyan officials said that the jet had been leased and registered on Malta. They also stated that the ownership and technical history of the aircraft would be investigated as part the investigation. (Reporting and editing by Thomas Derpinghaus, Bernadettebaum and Ece Toksabay)
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France condemns the US visa ban on Breton, former EU commissioner
The French government has condemned the visa ban imposed on Thierry Breton by the 'Trump Administration on Wednesday. He is a former European Union Commissioner who was instrumental in drafting?the EU Digital Services Act. This act recently targeted top -U.S. ?tech companies. The Trump administration imposed visa restrictions on Breton, and other anti-disinformation activists who were accused of censoring U.S. platforms on social media. This is the latest in a series of actions aimed at European regulations that U.S. officials claim go beyond legitimate regulation. Jean-Noel Barrot, French Foreign Minister, wrote on X Wednesday that "France strongly condemned the 'visa restriction' imposed by the United States against Thierry Breton - former minister and European commissioner - and four other European figures". ELON MUSK'S X FINED OFF BY? Breton was the most prominent target. He is a former French Finance Minister and European Commissioner for the Internal Market from 2019-2024. Breton has been replaced as the EU's internal market representative by Stephane Sejourne. He is also the executive vice president of the EU Commission. Sejourne also criticized the U.S. Visa Ban and defended EU's Digital Services Act. "No sanction can silence the sovereignty and the peoples of Europe." Sejourne wrote on X: "Total solidarity with him and the Europeans affected by this." U.S. When describing the bans Tuesday, Under Secretary of?Public diplomacy Sarah Rogers described Breton, as a "mastermind", of the Digital Services Act. This was defended again by?Barrot, on Wednesday. The EU fined Elon Musk’s X Platform 120 million Euros for violating the rules governing online content. The Digital Services Act has been democratically adopted by Europe in order to ensure that what's illegal offline is illegal online. Barrot wrote on X that the Digital Services Act has no extraterritorial impact and does not affect the United States. Breton condemned himself the visa ban against him. "Is McCarthy’s witch-hunt back?" Remember: 90% of our democratically-elected European Parliament and all 27 Member States voted unanimously for the DSA. Breton wrote on X: "Censorship doesn't exist where you think it does." Reporting by Sudip K. Gupta, Editing by Michael Perry & Alex Richardson
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Bangladeshi leader expected to be next Prime Minister returning from exile before polls
The Bangladesh Nationalist Party wants to gather 5 million supporters on Thursday to welcome Tarique Rahman, its leader who has spent nearly 17 years in exile. This is a sign of strength for him as he becomes a strong contender for the position of 'prime minister' at the February elections. Rahman, 60 years old, is the son ailing former prime minister Khaleda zia. He is also the acting chairman of the political party widely expected to win the parliamentary election set for February 12th. He returns from London as the BNP, his arch-foe, is on the rise following the overthrow of Sheikh Hasina last year in a student led uprising. Since 1991, Khaleda zia and Sheikh Hasina alternated as Prime Ministers. According to a December survey conducted by the U.S.-based International Republican Institute, the BNP is on track to win the most parliamentary seats. The islamist Jamaat-e-Islami Party also has a chance of winning. Hasina's Awami league party, which has been banned from the elections, has threatened unrest, which some fear will jeopardize voting. Rahman's return to his homeland is a result of both personal and political circumstances. His mother has been seriously ill since months. This prompted what party insiders call an urgent return home. BNP: 'DEFINING a political moment' BNP leaders have said they are preparing what 'they call an 'unprecedented' gathering in the capital. They aim to attract more than 5 million supporters from the airport along the route to the reception venue. Ruhulkabir Rizvi, a senior BNP leader, said that this will be a momentous political moment. He added that the security arrangements were closely coordinated with the authorities to maintain order. Rahman, who was convicted of multiple crimes in his home country including money laundering and a plot against Hasina in 2008, has been living in London ever since. After Hasina was removed, he was acquitted from all charges, which cleared the legal obstacles that had prevented his return. BNP officials confirmed that he would travel directly from airport to reception venue, before visiting his mother. THE YOUTH PARTY WELCOMES HER RETURN Rahman's return coincides with the?sensitive electoral period that South Asia, a nation of 175 million people dominated by Muslims, is entering under an interim government headed by Nobel laureate Muhammad Yunus. This vote is seen as vital to restore political stability following nearly two years' turmoil. The country is at a crossroads. Rahman's return will test the BNP's capacity to mobilise in a peaceful manner, and the interim administration's commitment to deliver a credible power transfer. The government has promised a peaceful and free election. However, recent attacks against media outlets and other sporadic violence raises concerns about law enforcement. The National Citizen Party, which was formed by the youth protesters who toppled Hasina's government, has said that it is pleased with Rahman's return. Khan Muhammad Mursalin is a spokesperson for the NCP. He said that "Tarique was forced to exile due to severe pressures and threats. His homecoming has symbolic value." His arrival will undoubtedly energize the party leaders and supporters... On his path to democracy, he will have our support. Ruma Paul, YPrajesh, and Peter Graff edited the article.
Serbia's NIS receives US approval for sale of Russian stake
According to Serbia's RTS TV, the U.S. granted Serbian oil refiner NIS until March 24th to 'negotiate' the sale of their 'Russian owner's' stake.
RTS stated that NIS did not have an operating license which would allow it to purchase and process crude oil.
After a series waivers granted since January, the Office of Foreign Assets Control of the U.S. Treasury Department imposed sanctions against NIS as part of broader measures taken against?Russian energy sector.
The sanctions have stopped crude oil supplies through Croatia's JANAF pipe, which has shut down production at?Pancevo.
Gazprom, the sanctioned oil unit of Russia's Gazprom, holds 44.9% of NIS. The Serbian government owns 29.9% of NIS, while the rest is held by employees and small shareholders.
Aleksandar Vucic, the Serbian President, said that Gazprom is 'in talks' with Hungary MOL about a potential sale of its NIS majority stake. Reporting by Ivana Skularac Editing Mark Potter
(source: Reuters)