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Kazakhstan's crude exports in December fell to a 14-month low following Ukraine drone attacks

Two market sources reported on Wednesday that Kazakhstan's exports of its CPC Blend oil, the country's flagship, will be at their lowest level in 14 months?in December, due to bad weather delaying efforts to repair Russian loading facilities after Ukrainian drone attacks last month.

In recent months, Ukraine has intensified its attacks on Russian energy infrastructure as it seeks lower revenues for Moscow. In this case, the damage caused by the explosion has affected oil sales both from Russia and Kazakhstan. Sources familiar with the loading program said that CPC Blend loadings would fall from 1.7 millions barrels per day to 1,14 million barrels daily. According to LSEG, this would be the lowest level since October 2024.

On November 29, Ukrainian drones struck the Caspian pipeline consortium terminal near Russia's Black Sea Port of Novorossiysk. Only one of three jetties was operational, causing export delays. The bad weather has made it difficult to carry out the maintenance necessary to restore exports.

OIL MAJOR RESIDE ON THE CPC TRADING TERMINAL TO EXPORT KAZAKH OIL

The CPC Terminal is where oil from Kazakhstan's fields that belongs to U.S. and European?oil companies Chevron Exxon Mobil Eni and Shell is loaded.

CPC's representative refused to comment on terminal operations and maintenance.

Sources who asked not to be identified because they weren't authorised to comment publicly on this issue said that the reduction in loadings may be even greater depending on how well the repairs are progressing at the CPC terminal.

After the drone attack, SPM-2 has been taken off line. Since November 29, only SPM-1 is operational.

SPM-3 has been out of service since mid-November for maintenance. The weather was the main reason.

Three separate sources in the trade have confirmed that a new round has been announced of cancellations.

According to Kpler, the analytics firm, CPC Terminal, 26 cargoes were loaded with crude oil equivalent to?around 3,28 million metric tonnes, or 26 million barrels? between December 1 and 23.

Kazakh production has to be moderated because there is only one SPM operational and the storage tanks are full. "Some buyers of CPC might have to cover because the North Sea is the only real alternative. Physical Brent has supported recent prices of CPC," Christopher Haines Energy Aspects head of oil said.

Brent oil futures have risen by over $1 per barrel globally in the aftermath of the attack on November 29, and CPC Blend supplies have decreased as exporters of this grade have few alternative shipping routes. CPC expects to export CPC Blend crude in January, at a rate of around 1.65m bpd. One source said that exporters had been waiting since early December for SPM-3's return to service. They have adjusted their plans several times and diverted some volumes onto other routes including China and Baku-Tbilisi Ceyhan pipeline. (Reporting from Robert Harvey in London, and reporters in Moscow. Editing by Barbara Lewis.)

(source: Reuters)