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Japan's tourism share falls as diplomatic dispute with China worsens

After China warned its citizens not to travel to its North Asian neighbor following an increasing diplomatic split over Taiwan, shares in Japanese tourism companies plunged Monday.

Isetan Mitsukoshi is a department store with a large number of Chinese customers. Its sales have dropped 11.4% and are on track to be the largest drop in over a year. Tokyo Disneyland operator Oriental Land dropped 5.1% while Japan Airlines fell 3.9%.

China warned Japan on Friday that it would suffer a "crushing defeat" if Japan used force to interfere over Taiwan and warned Chinese citizens not to visit Japan. Kyodo reported that Tokyo asked Beijing to take "appropriate steps" in response to the travel warning on Saturday.

Tourism has grown to be a major part of Japan's economic growth, largely due to the weakening yen. According to the Japan National Tourism Organization, mainland Chinese tourists accounted for about 24% (second most) of all visitors to Japan in September.

According to Takahide Kuchi, executive economist of Nomura Research Institute, the Beijing travel boycott could cause Japan's gross domestic product (GDP) to fall by 0.36 percent on a yearly basis.

Ryohin Keikaku (the operator of Muji stores) dropped 9.4% on the Tokyo stock exchange. Fast Retailing has over 900 Uniqlo shops in mainland China. Its shares dropped by 5.6%. The Nikkei index of stocks fell 0.7%.

Tensions between Tokyo and Beijing have heated up since Japan's newly elected Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi said on November 7 that a Chinese attack on Taiwan could amount to a "survival-threatening situation" and trigger a potential military response from Tokyo.

According to Alicia Garcia-Herrero of Natixis, the chief economist for Asia Pacific, a diplomatic rift could be more damaging to Japan than a mere dent to its tourism industry.

She said that the Japanese government's insistence on using rare earth metals has only marginally decreased since it began to diversify.

Over 90% of rare earths are produced in China. Rare earth magnets are also made there. They're essential to a variety of technologies.

Chinese companies that have exposure to the Japanese markets also suffered. The shares of Linkage software, whose sales are largely derived from Japan, dropped 3.5%. Airline companies were also hit hard, with mainland listed shares of Air China (China Eastern) and China Eastern falling by more than 2%.

(source: Reuters)