Latest News

Japan's tourism share falls as diplomatic dispute with China worsens

After China warned its citizens not to travel to its North Asian neighbor following an increasing diplomatic split over Taiwan, stocks in Japan related to tourism plunged.

Isetan Mitsukoshi is a department store with significant sales from Chinese tourists. Its stock dropped 10.7% and it's on track to have its largest drop in over a year. Tokyo Disneyland operator Oriental Land dropped 5.9%, and Japan Airlines (JAL), fell 4.4%.

Beijing warned Chinese nationals against traveling to Japan on Friday. Minoru Kihara said on Monday that any attempt by China to restrict travel will violate the agreement between leaders.

Japanese media reported that senior Japanese diplomat Masaaki KANAI will visit China on Monday in order to meet with counterpart Liu Jinsong to try to ease tensions.

The China-Japan conflict over Taiwan, and Beijing's advice to avoid travel to Japan, will have a negative impact on consumer-facing industries in the near future. This was stated by Masahiko LOO, senior fixed income analyst at State Street Investment Management.

He added that "Chinese tourists account for approximately 25% of Japan's traffic inbound, making department shops, luxury retail and hospitality especially vulnerable."

Tourism has grown to be a major part of Japan's economic growth, fueled by the weakening yen. According to the Japan National Tourism Organization, more than 650,000 Chinese tourists visited Japan in September. They were only surpassed by South Koreans.

According to Takahide Kuchi, executive economist of Nomura Research Institute, the Beijing travel boycott could cause Japan's gross domestic product (GDP) to fall by 0.36 percent on an annual basis.

ANA Holdings said that it would continue to monitor the situation and added that the status of reservations for flights from or to China had not changed so far. Its shares fell 3.5%.

Spring Japan, the low-cost subsidiary company of JAL, has confirmed that there have been no changes made to their flight schedule, although they are receiving inquiries about cancellations from customers.

Fast Retailing, the operator of more than 900 Uniqlo shops in China, has dropped by 5.3%. Ryohin Keikaku (the operator of Muji stores) is down 9.4%. The Nikkei index, the benchmark for Japanese stocks, was down by 0.4%.

Tensions between Tokyo and Beijing have flared up since Japan's newly elected Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi said on November 7 that a Chinese attack on Taiwan could amount to a "survival-threatening situation" and trigger a potential military response from Tokyo.

The spat was a result of a disagreement between Japan and the United States over the decision to discharge wastewater from the Fukushima Daiichi reactor into the ocean. This dispute has been affecting trade and tourism for many years.

According to Alicia Garcia-Herrero of Natixis, Asia-Pacific Chief Economist, a diplomatic rift between Japan and China could have a greater impact on Japan's tourism sector.

She said that the Japanese government's insistence on using rare earth metals has only marginally decreased since it began to diversify.

China produces 90% of rare earths and rare-earth magnets in the world, which are used for a variety of technologies.

Chinese companies that have exposure to the Japanese markets also suffered. The shares of Linkage Software, a software company that derives the majority of its revenue from Japan, dropped 3%.

South Korea's Tourism Industry will benefit from the economic turmoil in Asia. Lotte Tour Development, based in Seoul, saw its shares rise 9.6% on the Monday.

(source: Reuters)