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Gulf crisis affects Australian and New Zealand companies, from airlines to banks

The U.S. and Israel war on Iran is causing financial stress for companies in Australia and New Zealand. Higher fuel prices are a major factor, as they increase inflation, erode consumer and business confidence, and reduce corporate earnings.

Below are some companies in Australia and New Zealand who have reported an impact of the Middle East conflict.

Air New Zealand, New Zealand's national carrier, suspended its full-year earning outlook in early March and announced that it had increased fares because of volatility on the jet fuel market. It was one of the first carriers who announced price increases.

On April 7, the airline announced that it would cut flights by 4% in May and June. This will affect around 1% of passengers and 4% of flights.

Auckland International Airport, New Zealand: Auckland International Airport reported that flights to the Middle East from Auckland were affected.

In March, the number of passengers on Middle Eastern routes dropped by 81% and seat capacity fell by 73% compared to a year earlier, according to airport operator.

New Zealand-based a2 Milk has cut its profit forecast for fiscal 2026 as higher freight costs and supply chain disruptions due to conflict have affected the availability of the China-label infant formula product on its largest market.

Cleanaway Waste Management has slashed their full-year operating profit forecast by approximately A$20million ($14.17million), due largely to higher costs, reduced activity and timing differences when it comes to cost recovery.

Cochlear, an Australian manufacturer of hearing implants, has lowered its profit forecast for 2026 due to weaker trading on developed markets. The company cited slower surgical volumes, lower referrals for hearing aids, and a softer consumer attitude. The company stated that the Middle East War has increased risks such as order cancellations, delays in delivery, and a higher exposure to receivables. It also said that restructuring costs and margin pressure have been worsened by the Middle East conflict.

Endeavour Group: Pub-operator Endeavour warned of fuel and freight inflation due to the war in Iran, which would increase their supply chain costs by A$6-A$8 million.

The company said that it was experiencing price pressure in its entire supply chain because of?higher fuel prices linked to the Middle East Conflict.

Owner of liquor chain Dan Murphy's, has launched a three-year drive to improve efficiency. The goal is to save A$100,000,000 by 2027, by reducing the number of support offices and optimising store layouts, among other things.

Fletcher Building, New Zealand: Fletcher Building, New Zealand, said that it is 'indirectly exposed to the Middle East conflict through supply chains, freight lines, energy costs and the wider economic impact on the construction demand in Australasia.

Construction materials manufacturer expects to increase prices in all divisions. Plastics will be affected by price increases of up to 36%. Other divisions will only see a 1%-5% increase.

Fonterra New Zealand, a dairy producer, said the conflict could impact its supply chain and increase its inventory and costs in second half of year. It also contributed to volatility in global commodities prices.

National Australia Bank: National Australia Bank said that it expects credit impairment charges of A$706 ($504.44 millions) in the first fiscal half 2026.

NAB stated that the volatility of interest rates in the second quarter, the weakening New Zealand dollar, and the increase in provisioning would result in a reduction of the common equity tier one capital ratio for the group by approximately 20 basis points on March 31.

The company also plans to apply a discount of 1.5% to its dividend reinvestment program for the first half to raise A$1.8 billion and help strengthen its balance sheet.

Orora Packaging Company: Orora has lowered its earnings forecasts for its French division Saverglass, and cancelled the share buyback program. The company cited the impact of war.

Due to the closures of shipping routes, the company also stopped bottle production in its glass production plant at Ras al-Khaimah (United Arab Emirates).

Qantas Airways: Australia's flag-carrier, Qantas Airways has raised its fuel costs outlook for the second half year by as much as A$800,000,000 and announced that it had not yet started its planned A$150,000,000 share buyback, citing the sharply increased and volatile jet fuel price.

Qantas has raised fares to offset the rising cost of its flights and shifted them towards stronger routes, such as Paris or Rome, where the demand is still strong. They have also reduced their domestic capacity in June by approximately 5 percentage points.

Qube Holdings: Qube anticipates that the Middle East conflict will have an impact on its EBITA of between A$10 and A$20 million in fiscal 2026.

The logistics company said that the recent events may support a rapid acceleration of investment in alternative energy projects which could be beneficial for the firm.

Virgin Australia: Virgin Australia expects fuel costs to increase by around A$30 to A$40 million ($21.39 to $28.52 millions) in the second half fiscal 2026.

In mid-March, the airlines announced that they were adjusting their fares due to the rising costs in the aviation industry.

Westpac: Westpac, Australia's no. Westpac, Australia's no.

Westpac's net margin for its Treasury and Markets division has been weakened amid the interest rate volatility caused by the conflict. A weaker outlook had already led to higher credit provisioning.

Westpac has increased its provision for bad debts since the COVID-19 pandemic.

Woolworths Woolworths is the largest Australian supermarket. It said that the Middle East conflict had created uncertainty for both customers and suppliers. This has exacerbated the already severe cost of living pressures.

The company also warned that the domestic food segment's earnings growth would not reach the top end of the range in fiscal 2026 due to fuel price pressures, and customer retention investments.

Woolworths has also announced that it will freeze the prices of 300 household staples from May 1 for three months, as cost pressures imposed by conflict on Australian suppliers are driving up prices across all supermarkets.

Worley: Worley estimates that the negative impact of the Middle East Conflict on its underlying EBITA in fiscal 2026 will be between A$30 and A$40 Million.

The Australian engineering company warned that it would not be able to grow its underlying EBITA by more than 5% in fiscal 2026 but still aimed to increase revenue in fiscal 2026.

(source: Reuters)