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Rio Summit: Airline executives grapple with fuel crisis, fare tests

The Iran 'war' is driving up fuel prices and disrupting?airspace?, while carriers are trying to cushion the impact with higher fares.

The International Air Transport Association's (IATA) annual meeting, which takes place from June 6-8, coincides with the fuel crisis and another issue that airlines are unable to quickly solve: a lack of new aircraft.

Boeing and Airbus delays forced many carriers into keeping older, less fuel efficient jets in service longer. This increased maintenance and fuel costs at a time when oil prices were rising. IATA, the trade association for more than 370 carriers that account for 85% of the global air traffic, predicted a record-breaking $41 billion in net profit for the industry this year before the war. Analysts and industry executives expect the outlook to be revised downward at the meeting.

The 'Deloitte Survey of 21 Global Airlines CEOs, published this week, found that fuel prices volatility and inflation are the two biggest risks facing the industry. This has led to the carriers focusing more on financial health and cost control.

The survey stated that "together, they have turned what was meant to be a?record year? into a battle for margin."

Fuel and labor are the two main costs of an airline. Fuel increases are difficult to absorb when tickets are purchased weeks or even months in advance. The longer routes are also more fuel-intensive and less efficient for aircraft and crews.

It's a question of how much fuel cost can be passed onto travelers before the increased fares begin to dampen demand.

FARE POWER

Travel demand is holding up in several large markets, particularly among corporate and premium travelers. This gives carriers more room to increase fares.

According to Raymond James, the domestic published fares in the United States as of 25 May showed a robust demand for air travel and a successful pass-through?of higher fuel prices. One-week out fares were up 35.8% on an annual basis, and four-week out fares were up 39.4%.

Alexandre Lefevre is Air Canada's vice president for network planning and global sale. He said, "The willingness to pay premium prices has been very strong in recent years, whether there was a crisis or not."

There are still limits. The higher fares may help airlines recover some of their fuel costs, but at the same time they risk driving out those with smaller budgets. This risk is higher in regions with weak currencies, where consumer spending is under stress or where airlines lack the pricing power that large network carriers have. Some carriers are still planning growth. Singapore Airlines has been reported to be in discussions for at least fifty large wide-body planes. Qantas may also order 20 Airbus and Boeing wide-body planes. (Reporting from Rajesh Kumar Singh in Rio de Janeiro and Allison Lampert; editing by David Gaffen).

(source: Reuters)