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Gulf oil exports stable in July but still 40% below prewar level
Shipping data showed that the Gulf countries' crude and condensate oil exports remained largely stable in July, and were about 40% lower than pre-war levels. However, signs of a decline emerged in the second half as fighting intensified in the region. The relatively stable levels of exports have eased concerns over a more severe disruption in supply and offset the drawdown in global inventories. Tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, and Bab el-Mandeb, two of the most important Middle Eastern waterways, remained below the levels seen before the U.S./Israeli war against Iran started on February 28. Kpler reports that crude and condensate oil exports from Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Iraq, Kuwait, and Iran increased by just 2% in July compared to June, averaging 10.7 million barrels a day. Kpler data and Vortexa showed that exports peaked between 12 and 13 millions bpd during the first half of this month, before dipping as the fighting between the United States and?Iran resumed. Iraq's exports doubled from June. Kuwait and Iran contributed to the increase, but Saudi Arabian and UAE shipments declined. George Morris, Vortexa analyst, said that nine additional very large crude carriers loaded in July boosted Iraqi Exports. However, flows through Hormuz are slowing as the fighting intensifies. In July, the International Maritime Organization received reports from at least 14 vessels in the region. This is up from 8 in June. Exports are up, allowing some producers to increase production. Kuwait increased crude production in July to 1.971 mbpd from 1.65 mbpd, according to a source familiar with the situation. Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser said on Tuesday that the world has lost over 2.6 billion barrels since the war began. Rebuilding inventories would take 18 months, at a rate 2.1 million bpd. RED SEA EXPORTS SLOPING Last month, Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis stepped up their attacks near the Bab el-Mandeb strait. This caused Saudi crude exports - from the Red Sea port at Yanbu - to slow down. According to Energy Aspects, the Yanbu loadings dropped to 3 million BPD after July 20, from 3.8 millions BPD in April-June. Richard Bronze, co-founder of Energy Aspects, said that many tankers load?at Yanbu without their Automatic Identification Systems transponders on. Others are rerouting through the Suez Canal, and using the SUMED pipe connecting the Red Sea to the Mediterranean in order to avoid the Bab el-Mandeb. Reporting by Enes Tunagur and Ahmad Ghaddar, London. Editing by Tomasz Janovski)
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Increased Black Sea attacks put pressure on global commodity flow
The Black Sea region is becoming the latest strategic 'trade chokepoint' to be affected by an escalating conflict. The Black Sea is an important route for the shipment of?grains,?crude oils and refined products. The waters of the Black Sea are shared between Russia, Ukraine, Bulgaria, Georgia and Romania. In recent weeks, both Russia and Ukraine have intensified their attacks on the other's agricultural export vessels and facilities in the Black Sea region. Kyiv also increased its attacks on Russian oil tankers. The latest escalation creates another pressure point on commodity markets, already dealing with disruptions in major shipping routes across the Middle East. Kayoko Gotoh, a U.N. representative, told the Security Council last week that "the?consequences... are already evident in global agricultural markets." "We cannot allow this dangerous spiral to continue." The U.S.-Iran war has disrupted oil flows through the 'Strait Of Hormuz, and a maritime ban imposed by Houthis in Yemen who are aligned with Iran on Saudi Arabian ports as well as ships has increased risks for Red Sea shipping. GRAIN EXPORTS STRAINED According to the Infrastructure Ministry, Ukraine reported 35 attacks in July on vessels in port, 22 on sea, and 67 strikes against port facilities. In 2025, the vessels were only attacked 14 times. Ukraine is believed to have targeted dozens oil tankers that are involved in the Russian oil trade. Already, the escalation has affected trade flows. The Russian shipping group FESCO announced this 'week that it has suspended new orders for shipments via the Black Sea following a drone attack on one of its ships. In the meantime, Russia has intensified its strikes against civilian vessels and the port infrastructure in the southern Ukrainian hub of Odesa. Through this port, more than 90% Ukraine's agricultural products are exported. Both Russia and Ukraine claim that they only target military targets. Even after four years of war, Ukraine's top export source is agricultural products. Kyiv seeks alternative export routes. However, Agriculture Minister Vitaliy Kval said this week that they will not reach their full capacity until August. They would also only handle about half of the volume normally shipped through Black Sea ports. Trade sources reported that since July 10, shipping activity in the Sea of Azov which leads to the Black Sea has been restricted. This has affected activity at Taman, the main Russian grain port. The export of grain from Novorossiysk continues, but at a slower rate than before. Oil exports have also been affected. In July, Ukrainian tanker attacks damaged several vessels. This forced the temporary suspension of loading operations in Novorossiysk and the Caspian Pipeline Consortium terminal (CPC), the main outlet for Kazakh oil. In a recent report, shipbroker BRS stated that the CPC system was a vital export route for Kazakhstan. It handles roughly 80% percent of the country's oil exports. Any disruption could be a concern for regional supply flows. BLACK SEA WAR INSURANCE JAMMERS Shipping costs are also increasing due to the rise in security risks. According to estimates, the average daily Black Sea oil-tanker cost has risen to more than $300,000 per day, up from just under $200,000 per day a week earlier. According to insurance sources, war insurance costs for port visits to Black 'Sea terminals has risen from around 1% to 2% of the value of the vessel. Even small increases can add up to hundreds of thousands in extra costs per trip. Niels Rasmussen is the chief shipping analyst at shipping association BIMCO. He said that if the Black Sea volumes continued to be reduced as they have been over the last two weeks, the global dirty (crude) oil tanker volume could fall by 3%. (Reporting and editing by Ros Russell; Additional reporting by George Abbott of The Insurer & Bureaus, with additional reporting from Jonathan Saul)
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Tewolde Gebremariam is appointed as the new CEO of Air India
Air India appointed former Ethiopian Airlines Chief Tewolde Gebremariam to its 'CEO' post on Wednesday. The Indian airline is currently struggling with persistent losses, and increased regulatory scrutiny after a fatal crash last year. Gebremariam succeeds New Zealander Campbell Wilson. Wilson was a former Singapore Airlines executive who was appointed in 2022 as the new leader of Air 'India after it had suffered years of decline under state ownership. Air India reported that Wilson had informed Chairman N Chandrasekaran of his intention to step down in this year 2024. The 'Tata Group owned airline is suffering heavy losses, not only because of a heightened regulatory scrutiny following the '2025 crash but also as a result of operational disruptions caused by a conflict in the Middle East. These have increased costs and compounded effects from Pakistan banning airspace.
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Sources say that gasoline and diesel exports to Russia from Belarus reached a new record in July.
According to industry sources, and calculations, Belarusian gasoline and diesel supplies to Russia reached a monthly record in July. Fuel shortages were caused by unplanned outages at Russian oil refineries after months of relentless 'Ukrainian drone attacks. According to industry data and calculations, the Russian gasoline production had dropped early in July, to around 65% the average seasonal consumption. Diesel production had also fallen to the same level as domestic demand. The?Russian Government, in response to rising fuel prices at retail and wholesale, banned diesel exports. However, it allowed exemptions under previous contracts and intergovernmental agreements. Export restrictions for gasoline and jet fuel had already been implemented. Source data shows that gasoline shipments by rail from Belarus to Russia increased 13% from June to 212,000 tons. Diesel deliveries also doubled, reaching 162,000 tons. The total amount of jet fuel delivered from Belarus to Russia in July was 13,100 tonnes, compared with 16,100 tons in June. Belarus provides fuel to Russia from its two refineries that process Russian oil. They have a combined capacity of 24,000,000 tons per year or 480,000 barrels a day. In the first seven months of this year, the total amount of gasoline shipped by rail from Belarus into Russia increased 25-fold compared to the same period in 2025. Diesel deliveries also increased almost sevenfold, to 418 tons. According to industry sources, Russia has also begun importing gasolines from India, Kazakhstan, and Morocco.
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CPC oil loadings fail due to safety concerns and tanker shortages
The Caspian Pipeline Consortium suspended operations several times this week due to safety concerns and a shortage of tankers. This is because the main export route for Kazakh crude has been hit by drone attacks. Since the middle of the last month, the loadings of the pipeline have been disrupted. The pipeline carries around 1.8% of the global oil supply, from Kazakhstan to Russia’s Black Sea Coast. This adds to the supply disruptions linked to the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran. Sources said that the pipeline was only temporarily reopened this week and closed on Wednesday. Shipowners are reluctant to embark on CPC voyages due to the possibility of drone attacks. On Tuesday, the Russian group FESCO halted operations in the area. A CPC Blend seller said it took multiple attempts to find a ship to load a cargo during recent weeks. The Russian Foreign Ministry accused Ukraine on Monday of attacking oil tankers at the terminal for the Caspian Pipeline consortium in Novorossiysk and claimed that Kyiv is trying to destabilise oil markets worldwide. Kyiv did not claim responsibility for the incident or make any comments on why they may have expanded their campaign against Russia by targeting a pipeline which carries crude oil mainly produced by U.S. majors and European oil companies. No one of the eight people we spoke to was able to be identified because they were not authorized to speak in public. The Energy Ministry of Kazakhstan said that it was not considering a total shutdown of CPC operations and that everything was under control. On Wednesday, the ministry still had not responded to a?request for comment. CPC declined to comment. Kazakhstan is a landlocked country that relies heavily on Russian ports for exporting crude oil by sea. This means that disruptions to the pipelines and loading can cause?production reductions. When attacks on tankers increased in July, Kazakhstan's oil production?fell 14% compared to June. Sources said that Tengizchevroil intends to export 100,000 metric tonnes of oil by rail in August to Georgia's Black Sea Port of?Batumi. CPC Blend?differentials are weaker due to disruptions. CPC blend cargoes for August loading were sold at a price nearly $4 per barrel lower than dated Brent last week. This is compared to the premium that was paid a few short weeks ago. Reporting by Robert Harvey, LONDON; and MOSCOW reporters; Editing by Barbara Lewis
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German police investigate drone discovered at Leipzig Airport, DHL operations impacted
Sources familiar with the incident said that a DHL cargo plane hit an unknown object while descending from Leipzig/Halle Airport in eastern Germany over night, which led to a 'unscheduled landing' in Hanover. The authorities said that they were investigating the drone, which was found overnight near a runway of the airport. According to the Bild newspaper, the drone contained a detonator. A spokesperson for the police said that the southern runway at the airport, which is a major hub of logistics company DHL, was closed as explosives experts examined a drone. The spokesperson stated that several aircraft, including one passenger flight, had been diverted overnight. However, operations returned to normal in the morning. German airports have been put on high alert following a series unauthorised drone 'overflights' at military installations, energy terminals as well as seaports and logistic companies. Federal police said that the drone?overflights may have been arranged by Russian agents. A DRONE WAS FOUND NEAR RUNWAY According to Bild, a drone containing a detonation device was found in the vicinity of an Ukrainian cargo plane just before midnight on February 2. One cargo plane was forced to abort landing while air traffic was diverted. The cargo plane then struck an unknown object, before landing in Hanover where minor nose damage was discovered. A spokesperson for the interior ministry confirmed that a drone was found at the airport, but gave no further details. European security agencies are investigating a number of incendiary devices that were hidden in parcels and caught fire in 2024. This has raised concerns about the sabotage of air cargo operators. Some of the devices have been found in a DHL facility in Leipzig, and in freight shipments traveling across Europe. Russia has denied any involvement. DHL Group CEO, Tobias 'Meyer, said that the German logistics company was still examining the overnight incident. Meyer stated during a call to discuss quarterly results that "we have plans for situations like this and will try to ensure the 'influence on our customers is as low as possible." Markus Wacket, Friederike Inverardi, and Miranda Murray contributed to the reporting. Thomas Seythal and Ludwig Burger edited by Sabine Wollrab, Kevin Liffey, and Thomas Seythal.
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Hungarians reduce power consumption as Danube water levels drop to record lows, causing an energy crunch
Hungarian households and companies have cut their electricity consumption in an unprecedented manner this week, following a government call to ease the pressure on the grid due to a severe drought. Some residents, standing at the historic Margaret Bridge's foot on the record-low Danube, said that climate change has finally become a reality. Hungary's sole nuclear power plant that uses the Danube as a cooling agent has been forced to close down largely due to the river levels. This has created an energy crisis, stretching Hungary's capacity to supply electricity to its limit, and imports are on the rise. The river levels can affect the plant's ability to run at 10% or more of its full capacity. It's sad and frightening, and it is a serious warning for society to be more careful with its resources... The Danube is a serious wake-up call," said Krisztina Németh, a resident of Budapest, who was wearing a straw cap to protect herself from the heat. People have created eerie cairns to mark this moment. The Prime Minister, Peter 'Magyar, has thanked households and companies who have reduced their electricity consumption by up to 700 megawatts each day during the peak consumption hours between 5 pm and 10 pm. He also wrote on Facebook that there are more difficult days ahead. Magyar stated that "the heatwave is expected to peak tomorrow and today... therefore voluntary reductions in electricity consumption are important between 5 pm and 10 pm." Switching off the air conditioning Unnamed energy analyst said that industrial users were responsible for most of the power saving. However, with the total demand now exceeding 7,000MW, 600MW would be equivalent to the amount saved by turning off one million air conditioners. Magyar reported that 837 large and medium power users had made voluntary cuts, while the state railway suspended freight transport from 5 pm to 10 pm. This translates into a daily saving of up to 90 MW. Authorities have said that decorative lights at a few famous Budapest landmarks were also turned off. Prime Minister said that households also did a good job. We try to use our air conditioners as little as we can at home. Electrical appliances are only used when they are absolutely necessary. Csongor, a Budapest-resident, said, "I think everyone should do the exact same thing." The voluntary savings made by households are even more impressive when you consider that the previous government heavily subsidised household energy bills, which was a system not conducive to decreasing consumption. The European Union recommended that Hungary end this scheme. Magyars' new government that took office in May has said so far it will "keep" the subsidies, and pledged to put?EU money into the grid. The OECD warned last month that Hungary's recurring flooding and droughts have high and increasing costs. Climate scenarios indicate that agricultural losses will increase and infrastructure disruptions are likely to occur. In a report published on July 27, it was stated that Hungary could be among the European countries most likely to suffer from severe droughts and river flooding in the future. (Reporting and editing by Hugh Lawson; Additional reporting by Balazs Kristof, Krisztina Feynyo and Krisztina Tán; Reporting by Krisztina Thán)
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Sinograin auctions off two-thirds its soybeans to make room for US cargoes
Sinograin, China's state stockpiler, sold 67% of its 501,000 metric tons of soybeans at a second auction held in recent weeks on Wednesday. The company is trying to make space for U.S. cargoes. Sources said that soybeans from the 2022-2025 crop sold on average at a price of 4,013.5 Yuan ($594.84) a ton. Deliveries are scheduled between October and December. Sinograin's?previous Friday auction -- the largest since January -- sold about half?the 504,000 metric tons of imported soybeans?at a price of 4,033 Yuan per ton. Traders have said that they expect the stockpiler state to continue auctions in the next few weeks. China is expected meet its commitment to purchase?25 millions tons of U.S. soy beans annually until 2028. The U.S. Department?Agriculture confirmed Tuesday private sales of 132,000?U.S. The U.S. Department of Agriculture confirmed private sales of 132,000 tons of?U.S. soybeans on Tuesday. Sources reported that the sale was made after Beijing purchased an unusually large amount of U.S. soya beans on Friday. On Monday, the?USDA confirmed a part of the deal.
Increased Black Sea attacks put pressure on global commodity flow
The Black Sea region is the latest strategic trade chokepoint that has been hit by an escalating conflict.
The Black Sea is an important route for grain, crude oil and refined products. The waters of the Black Sea are shared between Russia, Ukraine, Bulgaria, Georgia and Romania.
In recent weeks, both Russia and Ukraine have intensified their attacks on the other's agricultural export vessels and facilities in the Black Sea region. Kyiv also increased its attacks on Russian oil tankers.
The latest escalation creates another pressure point on commodity markets, already dealing with disruptions in major shipping routes across the Middle East.
Kayoko Gotoh, a U.N. representative, told the Security Council last week that "the consequences... are already evident in global agricultural markets." "We cannot allow this dangerous spiral to continue."
The U.S./Iran conflict has disrupted oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, and a maritime ban imposed by Houthis in Yemen who are aligned with Iran on Saudi Arabian ports & ships has increased risks for Red Sea shipping.
GRAIN EXPORTS STRAINED
According to the Infrastructure Ministry, Ukraine reported 35 attacks in July on vessels in port, 22 at sea, and 67 strikes?on port infrastructure.
Ukraine is estimated to have targeted dozens tankers that are involved in the Russian oil trade.
Already, the escalation has affected trade flows.
FESCO, a Russian shipping company, said 'this week that it has suspended new orders for shipments via the Black Sea following a drone attack on one of its ships.
Russia has intensified its strikes on civilian vessels and the port infrastructure in southern Odesa, Ukraine. Through this hub, more than 90% Ukraine's agricultural products are exported.
Both Russia and Ukraine claim that they only target military targets.
More than four years after the end of the war, agricultural products are still Ukraine's main source of export revenues. Kyiv seeks alternative export routes. However, Agriculture Minister Taras Voysotskyi said this week that they will not reach their full capacity until August. They would also only handle about half of the volume normally shipped via Black Sea ports.
Trade sources reported that since July 10, shipping activity in the Sea of Azov which leads to the Black Sea has been restricted. This has affected activity at Taman, the main Russian grain port.
The export of grain from Novorossiysk and Tuapse continues, but at a lower rate than before.
Oil exports have also been affected. In July, Ukrainian tanker attacks damaged several vessels. This forced the temporary suspension of loading operations in Novorossiysk as well as the Caspian Pipeline Consortium terminal (CPC), the main outlet for Kazakh crude.
In a report published this week, shipbroker BRS stated that the CPC system was a vital?export route in Kazakhstan. It handles roughly 80% percent of the country's oil exports. Any disruption could have a negative impact on regional supply.
Ambrey, a British maritime security company, advised clients that vessels continuing to call at Black Sea port should carry out comprehensive voyage threat assessment and that crews should remain within designated safe muster areas during drone attacks.
Stephen Cotton, General Secretary of the International Transport Workers' Federation, a leading union of seafarers, said: "The killings of innocent civilian seafarers are?unacceptable. They cannot be considered 'collateral damages' in order to achieve military goals - this is an immoral precedent and a very dangerous one."
BLACK SEA WAR INSURANCE JAMMERS
Shipping costs are also increasing due to rising security risks. According to market estimates, the average daily Black Sea oil tanks costs have increased from $200,000 to more than $300,000.
According to insurance sources, war insurance costs for port visits to terminals in the Black Sea have increased to 2% of ship value, up from 1% just two weeks ago. Insurance sources say that even small increases can add up to hundreds of thousands in extra costs for each voyage.
Niels Rasmussen is the chief shipping analyst at shipping association BIMCO. He said that if the Black Sea volumes continued to be reduced as they have been over the last two weeks, the global dirty (crude) oil tanker volume could fall by 3%. (Reporting and editing by Ros Russell; Additional reporting by George Abbott of The Insurer & Bureaus, with additional reporting from Jonathan Saul)
(source: Reuters)