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Sources say that February oil exports to western Russian ports are expected to fall m/m.

Three industry sources said that Russia's crude exports to its western ports will?decline? in February, compared with January, due to the increase of domestic refinery runs and the fewer scheduled maintenance visits to?plants?.

According to?sources, the shipment of Russia's Urals crude, Siberian Light and KEBCO grades through the ports of Primorsk and Novorossiisk is expected to be around?2million barrels per daily (bpd) in the next month. This is down from about?2.2million bpd last January.

The expected drop is due to the fact that Moscow intends to lift its ban on gasoline in February. This could spur refineries into producing more fuel.

Participants on the market noted that Ukrainian drone attacks against Russian energy infrastructure forced some refineries temporarily to stop operations, which could increase the amount of crude oil available for export in case disruptions continue.

Russia's oil sales remain a major source of revenue for its government. It has been forced to redirect shipments in response to Western sanctions over the military action it took against Ukraine. The traders said that the volatility of February's shipments could impact regional supply and prices.

Sources said that other factors, such as harsh ice conditions in Baltic ports and winter storms on the Black Sea could also affect export loadings.

(source: Reuters)