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India's target for natural gas usage hinges on increasing gas-fired electricity generation

Industry officials stated this week that India's plan for increasing the share of gas-fired power generation in its energy mix depends on lower LNG prices globally, which will make gas-fired electric generation more competitive.

The fourth-largest LNG importer in the world aims to increase its natural gas share to 15% from 6.2% by 2030. Analysts and industry officials have said that this would require the annual gas consumption to almost quadruple.

Natural gas is used to fuel vehicles and power cooking appliances, as well as for gas-fired electric plants.

Sandeep Kumar Gupta is the chairman of GAIL (India), the largest gas distributor in India. He expects India's demand for gas to increase by about 11% between 2025 and 2030 - a much lower level than required to reach the 2030 target. He said that the demand from the power industry was critical.

Gas-fired power plants are more expensive than coal-fired, solar-powered, and wind-powered power plants. This has led to the idling or a third of all gas-fired stations in the United States.

Gupta, who spoke on Thursday at the India Energy Week, said that the power sector, currently under pressure due to high gas prices, could use more gas.

The majority of natural gas produced in India is sold to India's fertilizer and cooking gas companies. This forces utilities to import LNG at high prices.

According to the International Energy Agency, India's natural gas production will lag behind the demand until 2030. This will double the demand for LNG imported.

Sandeep Jain said that the price of LNG needs to be more than halved to make it affordable for India's electricity sector, and to help increase demand.

Last week, Asia spot LNG prices reached a new high of two months at around $15 per million British Thermal Units. This was in line with a rise in European gas prices.

India generates 34% of its power from coal, and the share of renewables is increasing at the expense natural gas.

Natural gas's share in India's electricity generation fell to 1.9% by 2024 from a high of nearly 5% in the previous decade.

Officials from the company said that natural gas consumption is also limited by the lack of infrastructure to transport gas from terminals and higher costs for logistics and regasification.

Abhilesh gupta is the CEO of THINK Gas, a city gas distributor. He said that Indian companies are paying "multiple layers" in logistical costs and "high pipeline transmission fees are a major part of the issue". Reporting by Sethuraman Shariq, and Mrinalika Roi; Writing by Sudarshan Varadhan; Editing Mrigank Dhaniwala

(source: Reuters)