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Russian Urals prices hold firm in Indian ports against Brent benchmark

Three sources reported that the prices for Russia's flagship Urals oil, which is scheduled to be delivered to Indian ports by the end of August/early Septembre, have firmed up further. The discount to Brent has been the narrowest it has been since 2022, due to the strong demand for the grade in India and Turkey, and the low supply, according to the sources.

The traders reported that spot discounts for Urals crude have narrowed from $1.70 to $2 per barrel on a dated Brent basis to an average of $1.50 to $1.60 on a delivery-ex-ship basis for cargoes arriving into India in late August/early September. This is down from $1.70 to $2 per barrel on a Brent basis a few months ago.

This is the smallest discount on Urals oil cargoes compared to Brent dated in Indian ports, since the Ukraine War broke out in the year 2022.

The daily Russian oil exports to the ports of Primorsk (Ust-Luga), Novorossiisk and Ust-Luga are expected to drop to 1.77 million barrels a day in August. This is down from the 1.93 million barrels a day in July's plans.

Traders said that the Indian refineries may be forced to seek alternative oil supplies due to declining discounts, a lower supply of Russian spot barrels, and new Western sanctions.

On July 18, the EU approved their 18th package against Russia. This includes sanctions against Moscow's energy industry and against Russia-backed Indian refiner Nayara Energy.

Few days later, Britain imposed sanctions on Russia's "shadow fleet" that included 135 oil tanks and two Russian companies: shipping company Intershipping Services LLC as well as oil trader Litasco Middle East DMCC.

India is the biggest buyer of Russian crude oil after Moscow diverted energy away from the European Union which imposed an import ban in late 2022.

According to traders, large volumes of Russian Urals crude oil were shipped from Russia to India as part of a deal signed between India's biggest private refinery, Reliance Industries and Russian oil giant Rosneft, last year. This agreement limited the amount offered on the spot market. (Reporting from Nidhi in New Delhi, and reporters in Moscow. Editing by Sharon Singleton.)

(source: Reuters)