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After a 2-week high, oil prices have fallen on Russia and Ukraine supply concerns

The oil prices fell on Tuesday after a nearly 2% increase in the previous session. Traders were closely monitoring developments in the Russia/Ukraine conflict to ensure that fuel supplies in the region would not be disrupted.

Brent crude dropped 32 cents or 0.5% to $68.48 a barrel at 0448 GMT. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI crude) also fell 33 cents or 0.5% to $64.47 a barrel.

WTI climbed above the 100-day moving Average, and both contracts reached their highest levels in over two weeks.

In a recent note, IG analysts stated that the risks of crude oil prices rising further are skewed towards higher gains. This is especially true if the price continues to move above the resistance level between $64 and $65.

The rally in oil on Monday was driven mainly by fears of supply disruptions after Ukraine attacked Russian energy infrastructure and traders were anticipating more U.S. sanction on Russian oil.

The attacks caused gasoline shortages and disruptions to oil exports and processing in Moscow. They were a response to Moscow’s offensive on the frontlines and its bombardment of Ukraine’s gas and electricity facilities.

Barclays said in a Monday note to its clients that oil prices are still in a narrow range due to geopolitical instability and fundamentals that remain relatively stable.

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, has reiterated his threat to impose economic sanctions against Russia if a deal on peace is not reached in the next two week.

Ole Hansen is the head of commodity strategy for Saxo Bank. He said that traders will also monitor the impact of U.S. tariffs looming against India due to its continued purchases of Russian oil.

Indian exporters should prepare for disruptions following a U.S. Homeland Security confirmed Washington would impose a 25% additional tariff on all Indian origin goods starting Wednesday.

The U.S. will impose duties on Indian exports of up to 50 percent - one of the highest Washington has ever imposed - as punishment for New Delhi increasing its purchases of Russian crude oil in August.

The American Petroleum Institute's (API) U.S. inventories data is expected to be released later today. Traders expect a decline in crude oil and gasoline stock but could see a build-up in distillate stocks. (Reporting from Anjana Anil, Bengaluru; Emily Chow, Singapore; Editing done by Shri Navaratnam & Himani Sarkar).

(source: Reuters)