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Oil prices remain stable as markets wait for Fed rate decision

Early trading on Wednesday saw oil prices remain unchanged after they had risen more than 1% the previous day due to drone attacks on Russian refineries and ports. Traders were also awaiting a rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve.

Brent crude futures fell by 1 cent, to $68.46 per barrel at 0114 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude futures fell also by 1 cent, to $64.51 per barrel.

Three industry sources told Reuters on Tuesday that Russia's oil pipeline monopoly Transneft, (TRNF_p.MM), has warned its producers to reduce production following Ukraine's drone strikes on key export ports and refineries.

The last trading session saw oil prices rise by more than 1% due to fears that Russian supplies could be disrupted.

The European Commission's President Ursula von der Leyen announced on Tuesday that the commission would propose a faster phase-out for Russian fossil fuel imports, and urged a stronger effort to increase economic pressure against Russia.

Investors also await the outcome of Federal Reserve's meeting on September 16-17. A new governor, Stephen Miran who is currently on leave from Trump administration will be joining the discussions, while a second policymaker Lisa Cook faces the threat by Donald Trump to remove her.

On Wednesday, the central bank is expected to reduce interest rates by up to 25 basis points. This should boost the economy and fuel demand.

According to Tony Sycamore, IG's market analyst, the market will focus on "how many of its members agree with Stephen Miran and support a rate cut of 50 basis points", if the outlook shows two or three cuts of 25 basis points and "the tone used by Fed Chair Powell at the press conference".

Sycamore stated that any "buy the rumour, then sell the fact" reaction to risk assets such as crude oil will be short lived, due to possible follow-up rate cuts of 25 basis points in October and in December.

Market sources cited American Petroleum Institute data to show that crude and gasoline inventories in the United States fell last week while distillate stock rose. This could be a bullish sign.

Sources said that crude stocks dropped by 3.42 millions barrels and gasoline inventories by 691,000 barrels during the week ending on September 12. Distillate inventories, however, rose by 1.91million barrels compared to the previous week.

The market will be looking to see if the data released by the U.S. Energy Information Administration Wednesday is consistent with that.

According to a poll, analysts estimate that crude inventories dropped by 900,000 barrels in the past week. Distillate stocks rose by 1 million barrels, and gasoline stockpiles increased by 100,000 barrels.

(source: Reuters)