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Saudi Arabia is considering expanding oil pipelines to the Red Sea, according to sources

Saudi Arabia may expand the capacity of its crude?oil pipeline to the western Red Sea coast, according to five sources familiar with the matter. This would allow the kingdom, and perhaps neighbours, to 'transport' more oil without having to cross the Strait of Hormuz. The East-West Pipeline was constructed in the early 1980s, and it has been crucial ever since the Iran War and the subsequent halt of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

The ship can carry up to 7,000,000 barrels of crude per day to the Red Sea Port of Yanbu. In May, Aramco's CEO said that approximately 5 million barrels per day are exported and 2 million barrels per day feed refineries along the west coast.

Talks with neighbouring countries

Sources said that the kingdom has begun preliminary discussions with its neighbours regarding the expansion of the capacity?of the pipeline by as much as 2 million bpd.

Uncertainty surrounded Aramco’s capacity expansion plans. Would they involve upgrading existing infrastructure, or building a new pipeline? According to one source, the capacity increase will include a second smaller pipe for oil products.

Kuwait, Bahrain, and Qatar lack routes to bypass Hormuz, while Iraq's pipeline from Turkey is plagued by disputes and frequent shutdowns and runs below capacity.

Kuwait Petroleum Corporation CEO, Sheikh Nawaf Al-Sabah, told the Atlantic Council Global Energy Forum that "we are in discussion with our brothers in Saudi Arabia and the emirates about how to expand their pipeline system to accommodate Kuwaiti barges."

Two sources stated that the expansion could be between 1 and 2 million bpd. Refined products are also being considered. Another source stated that it would take years and cost billions to change the Saudi crude pricing mechanism.

Iran's blockade forced Gulf producers shut down as much as 12,000,000 bpd. Prices soared. After a preliminary U.S./Iran agreement last month, flows?have partially resumed but remain below prewar levels.

Kuwait declared force majeure back in March, and Bahrain's refinery Sitra was hit by Iranian missiles multiple times.

The recent talks between Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Qatar about new pipelines reflect a broader strategic reality. "The conflict has focused regional minds on the dangers of relying on Hormuz alone," said Zaid Bebagi, managing director at Hardcastle Advisory in London.

Aramco refused to comment, while the Saudi Arabian and Bahraini government communication offices,?the Iraqi Oil Ministry and QatarEnergy didn't respond to immediate requests for comments.

Qatar, which exports primarily LNG, faces greater technical obstacles and is looking at several alternatives, including Saudi Arabia, according to three sources.

The UAE has finished half of the 'new West-East Pipeline, which will double crude oil capacity from Fujairah to Fujairah once it is operational in next year. The existing Abu Dhabi pipeline can carry up to 1.8 millions bpd.

One industry source stated that an expansion by Saudi Arabia could indicate the next phase in the Saudi-UAE rivalry will be a race for the top of oil production and, therefore, a race towards the bottom prices.

(source: Reuters)