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Wall Street futures fall as JPMorgan begins earnings season; inflation tests loom.
U.S. Stock Index Futures fell on Tuesday, as investors awaited a key inflation report to get fresh clues about where interest rates will go next. JPMorgan Chase's earnings for the fourth quarter kicked off earnings season. JPMorgan Shares were up by 1.1% during choppy trading in the premarket after Goldman Sachs' quarterly profit exceeded estimates. However, a one-time fee associated with its deal to take over Apple’s credit card partnership was also weighing down on them. There are many other big banks that will be reporting later this week. Expected to Post a Stronger Quarterly Results S, helped by a pick-up in dealmaking. BNY increased its target for an important profitability measure but shares of the custodian banks fell 0.6%. Delta ?Air Lines Shares fell by 5.6%, despite the fact that the airline had projected a 20% increase in earnings by 2026. United Airlines and American Airlines both fell by about 3%. At 6:55 am. At 6:55 a.m. ET, Dow Eminis had fallen 11 points or 0.01%. S&P Eminis had dropped 7.5 points or 0.11%. Nasdaq Eminis fell 67.25 or 0.26%. Focus on the Interest Rate Outlook The markets are preparing for the next inflation report at 8:30 a.m. The December data is expected to show a rise in consumer prices, which would support the Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates when they meet later this month. Wall Street began the week in a bad mood after U.S. authorities opened a criminal probe into the Fed chair Jerome Powell. This sparked new concerns about the central bank’s independence, and drew sharp criticism from prominent Republicans. Markets bounced back in the afternoon session as tech giants and Walmart gained, sending the S&P 500 to new record closings. Investors have shrugged off geopolitical worries, such as U.S. military actions and the capture of Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro ten days ago. Instead, they are focusing on artificial intelligence, and their expectations for strong earnings, which has propelled the indexes up to new heights. Since the start of this year, investors have been attracted to small-cap stocks due to their high valuations. However, it is yet unknown if the trend will continue. BlackRock Investment Institute's strategists predict that the gap between the "Magnificent 7" tech giants, and the rest, will continue to narrow. They also expect a rise in economically sensitive sectors. Productivity gains from AI may help offset earnings downgrades. Russell 2000 gained 6.2% during the first seven days of trading in 2026 compared to a S&P 500 rise of 1.9%. KeyBanc upgraded the shares of both chipmakers to "overweight" and Intel shares gained 3.4%. (Reporting and editing by Maju Samuel in Bengalur; reporting by Medha Singh, Pranav Kashyap).
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CPC Blend oil loadings resumed after the storm, but January exports were 70% behind schedule according to sources
Four sources claim that January exports are already 70% behind schedule after the weather-related suspension of the Caspian Pipeline Consortium terminal. The interruption to CPC oil exports limits supply for the vast Tengiz oil fields and Kashagan oil field operated by U.S. oil majors and European oil companies. The CPC Blend oil loadings may be further complicated by a drone attack that took place on Tuesday near the CPC terminal. The CPC pipeline, which handles more than 80% of Kazakhstan's oil exports, transports oil to the Black Sea terminal at Yuzhnaya Ozereyevka, near Novorossiysk. Two sources claim that the 'CPC' has already cancelled 19 oil cargoes originally planned to be loaded in January, as its terminal operations are still restricted to a single mooring (SPM), and winter storms disrupted loadings. One of them stated that the exports had been at just 500,000 barrels per day in January, which is about 70% less than the initial loading schedule. CPC has been working to resume SPM 3 operations for the past few months, but the winter storms have made it difficult to complete repairs. This has delayed the completion of the work. SPM 3 and SPM 2 were still not operational as of Tuesday. CPC's terminal can only work at half its capacity with SPM 1 - and bad weather is also a constraint. The weather forecasts indicate that storms will return after January 17, complicating loading. One source involved with CPC exports stated that it was difficult for the terminal to keep up with the plan because there is only one SPM operational. CPC suspended oil exports at the Black Sea terminal on December 30 of last year. Loading resumed on January 5 for two days. CPC's representative refused to comment on terminal operations.
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Oil prices spike on potential Iranian supply disruption
The oil prices continued to rise on Tuesday as heightened concerns about the major Iranian producer and possible supply disruptions overshadowed the?prospects of an increased crude supply coming from Venezuela. Brent futures rose $1.20 or 1.9% to $65.07 per barrel at 1150 GMT. This is the highest Brent has been since mid-November. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude climbed $1.23 or 2.1% to $60.73. John Evans of PVM Oil Associates said, "The oil markets are building some price protection to counter geopolitical factors." Evans highlighted the possible exclusion of Iran’s?exports as well as the problems in Venezuela, the talks about the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the Greenland issue. Iran, one the largest producers of oil in the Organization?of Petroleum Exporting countries, is currently facing its most violent anti-government protests in many years. Donald Trump warned of possible military action after a government crackdown on protesters led to thousands of arrests and hundreds of deaths, according to a rights group. Trump said on Monday that any nation that conducts business with Iran would be charged a 25% tariff on all business done with the United States. Iran exports most of its oil to China. Unidentified drones also struck four Greek-managed tankers on Tuesday. Eight sources said that the tankers were on their way to the Caspian Pipeline Consortium terminal near the Russian coast. Janiv Shah of?Rystad said that for the moment, concerns over a glut in supply have been put on hold. He added that excessive refinery output in Europe is weighing down the gasoil markets. Unrest supports Brent's Premium Brent crude oil's price premium over Middle East benchmark 'Dubai' rose to its highest level since July on Tuesday as geopolitical tensions between Iran and Venezuela boosted the global 'price marker', LSEG data revealed. Barclays stated in a note that "unrest in Iran added approximately $3-4 per barrel to the geopolitical premium of oil prices." The markets are also concerned about the additional crude oil supply that will hit the market with a return of Venezuelan exports. Trump announced last week that Caracas was ready to 'hand over to the U.S. up to 50 million barrels oil subject to Western sanctions. Oil trading houses from around the world have beaten U.S. energy giants in the race to control Venezuelan oil flows. Reporting by Seher DAREEN in London, Anushree MUKHERJEE in Bengaluru, and Jeslyn LERH in Singapore. Editing by Bernadette BAUME and David GOODMAN
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Delta places Boeing 787 in order to forecast earnings growth on premium travel demand
Delta Air Lines, on Tuesday, forecast a 20% increase in earnings by 2026, citing strong corporate and consumer demand, as well as rising sales for premium travel. The airline also announced that it had agreed to purchase 30 Boeing 787-10 aircraft to bolster its long-haul fleet. The shares of the airline fell by nearly 5% during premarket trading, as the forecasts were largely "below" estimates. As lower-income consumers are under pressure due to inflation and a weaker purchasing power, the airline is benefiting from a resilient demand from higher-income travelers. This divergence was apparent in the December quarter when the overall passenger revenue increased by just 1%. However, this masked a growing gap within the cabin. The revenue for main-cabin tickets fell by 7% compared to a year ago, but revenue from premium products grew by 9%. Delta CEO Ed Bastian stated that the majority of Delta's seat expansion is planned for premium products. The main cabin will see little growth. The airline's long term strategy is reinforced by the fact that new aircraft are configured with more premium seats. Bastian said that the outlook was "upbeat," noting the record bookings at the beginning of the year. However, the airline maintains a range in its forecast because of ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and policy-related uncertainties. Delta, based in Atlanta, expects a full-year adjusted earnings per share between $6.50 and $7.50 as well as free cash flow between $3 billion and $4 billion. Delta expects revenue growth between 5% and 7% for the March quarter. It also forecasts adjusted earnings per share of $0.50-$0.90. LSEG surveyed analysts who expect earnings per share of $7.25 for the year, and $0.72 for each quarter. INTERNATIONAL RECOVERY - UNVEIL Bastian stated that the international demand is still strong, despite markets like Canada and China not yet fully recovering. Capacity to China remains well below pre-pandemic levels. He said that the World Cup soccer tournament could be a catalyst for inbound travel and ease a blockage in international demand. In 2025, the airline had its highest ever level of premium revenue and diversification. Nearly 60% of its total revenue came from premium cabins and loyalty programs, as well as other non-ticket revenue sources such as its long-standing relationship with American Express. Bastian, a Delta spokesperson, told reporters that Delta's customers prioritize travel and high-quality experiences. The disparity in consumer spending has also changed the shape of the U.S. aviation industry. Low-cost and Ultra-low-cost Carriers, who rely heavily upon price-sensitive travellers, have struggled with weak profitability and excess capacities, leading to consolidation and retrenchment. Allegiant announced plans to purchase Sun Country Airlines while Spirit Airlines filed for bankruptcy. Bastian stated that "the lower-end consumers are struggling." We are fortunate to not live in that area. BOEING ORDER DIFFERSIFIES LONG HAUL FLEET Delta's adjusted fourth-quarter earnings of $1.55 per share barely beat analyst's expectations. However, results were affected by the longest U.S. government shutdown in history, which caused tens and thousands of flight disruptions, and reduced quarterly profits by about $200 million. In 2025, the airlines also suffered a drop in demand due to the sweeping U.S. Tariffs that eroded consumer confidence. Delta's outlook for 2026 assumes that these disruptions won't be repeated. Delta, as part of its long-term fleet plan, will purchase 30 Boeing 787-10 widebody planes, with an option for another 30, and deliveries are expected to begin in 2031. Delta will have a brand-new aircraft with the 787-10. Bastian explained that the aircraft was chosen for its efficiency and flexibility in mid-range international routes. This includes those across the Atlantic, to South America and other destinations where ultra-long range capability is not needed. He said that the 787-10 was cheaper to operate than larger widebodies like the Airbus A350 on many missions. Delta Airlines has been a strong proponent of Airbus for the last 15 years. Its fleet is centered around the A220, A320, and A350 narrowbody aircraft, as well as its flagship A330 widebody. Bastian explained that the Boeing order was a deliberate attempt to diversify the suppliers and reduce reliance on one manufacturer, as the airline expanded internationally. He said that it was difficult to run a business if the airline relied on a single supplier. (Reporting and editing by Jamie Freed; Reporting by Rajesh Kumar Singh)
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Delta's Boeing 787 order is a bet on the premium travel market and its positive outlook.
Delta Air Lines, which has a long-haul fleet, forecast a 20% increase in earnings by 2026. It cited strong corporate and consumer demand, as well as rising sales. As lower-income customers are under pressure due to 'inflation' and a weaker purchasing power, the airline is benefiting from a resilient demand from higher-income travellers. This divergence was apparent in the December quarter when the overall passenger revenue increased by just 1%. However, this masked a growing gap within the cabin. The revenue for main-cabin tickets fell by 7% compared to a year ago, but revenue from premium products grew by 9%. Delta CEO Ed Bastian stated that the majority of Delta's seat expansion is planned for premium products. The main cabin will see little growth. The airline's strategy is reinforced by the fact that new aircraft are equipped with more premium seats. Bastian described the outlook for the airline as "upbeat" pointing out record booking trends at the beginning of the year. However, the airline maintains a range in its forecast because of ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and policy-related uncertainties. Atlanta-based Delta Airlines expects adjusted earnings per share for 2026 to be between $6.50 and $7.50, with free cash flow between $3 billion and $4 billion. Delta expects revenue growth between 5% and 7% for the quarter ending March, with adjusted earnings per share ranging from $0.50 to $0.90. LSEG surveyed analysts who expect earnings per share of $7.25 for the year, and $0.72 for each quarter. International Recovery Uneven Bastian stated that the international demand is still strong, even though some markets, such as Canada and China, have not recovered fully. Capacity to China remains well below levels before the pandemic. He said that the World Cup soccer tournament, which is coming up in a few months' time, could unlock international travel and ease a blockage. The airline ended 2025 having the highest premium and diverse revenue of its history. Nearly 60% of its total revenue came from premium cabins and loyalty programs, as well as other non-ticket revenue sources such as its long-standing relationship with American Express. Bastian, a Delta spokesperson, told reporters that Delta's customers prioritize quality travel experiences and continue to value them. The imbalance of consumer spending has also changed the shape of the U.S. aviation industry. Low-cost and Ultra-low-cost Carriers, who rely heavily upon price-sensitive travellers, have struggled to maintain profitability due to excess capacity and weak profits, leading them into consolidation and retrenchment. Allegiant announced plans to purchase Sun Country Airlines while Spirit Airlines filed for bankruptcy. Bastian stated that "the lower-end consumers are struggling." We are fortunate to not live in that area. BOEING ORDER DIFFERSIFIES LONG HAUL FLEET Delta's adjusted fourth-quarter earnings of $1.55 per share barely beat analyst's expectations. However, results were affected by the longest U.S. government shutdown in history, which caused tens and thousands of flight disruptions, and reduced quarterly profit by about $200 million. In?2025 airlines also suffered a drop in demand due to the sweeping U.S. Tariffs that eroded consumer confidence. Delta's outlook for 2026 assumes that these disruptions won't be repeated. Delta will purchase 30 Boeing 787-10 Widebody Aircraft as part of its fleet strategy. It has options to buy an additional 30 aircraft. Deliveries are expected to begin in 2031. Delta will be introducing a new aircraft with the 787-10. Bastian stated that the aircraft was chosen for its efficiency and flexibility in mid-range international routes. This includes across the Atlantic, to South America and other destinations where ultra-long range capability isn't required. He said that the 787-10 was cheaper to operate than larger widebodies like the Airbus A350 on many missions. Delta Airlines has been a strong Airbus supporter for the last 15 years. Its fleet is based on Airbus' A220, A320, and A350 narrowbody aircraft, as well as its flagship A330 widebody. Bastian explained that the Boeing order was a deliberate attempt to diversify the suppliers and reduce reliance on one manufacturer, as the airline expanded internationally. He said that it was difficult to run a business if the airline relied on a single supplier. (Reporting and editing by Jamie Freed; Reporting by Rajesh Kumar Singh)
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Air India faces UK lawsuits from the estates of those who died in a 2025 plane crash
Air India is facing a London suit from the 'estates' and relatives of some of the deceased in relation to the crash of the passenger jet that occurred on June 20, 2025, which resulted in the death of 260 people. According to court records, 11 plaintiffs filed a personal injury lawsuit at the High Court on December 18. Further details were not immediately available. A Boeing 787-8 Dreamliner carrying 242 passengers bound for London Gatwick Airport 'lost height seconds' after take-off from the western city of Ahmedabad, on June 12. It erupted into a fireball when it struck a medical school hostel. The crash killed 19 people at the ground and one person on the plane. Air India, and the lawyers who represent?the claimants? did not respond immediately to a request for comment. Families of the four victims are notified separately. suing Boeing In the United States, the claim was that the accident was caused by allegedly defective fuel switches. The lawsuit, filed in September blames Boeing, Honeywell and the switch manufacturers for the crash. (Reporting and editing by Sarah Young, Muvija M, Sam Tobin)
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Aena Spain records record 332,6 million passengers by 2025
Aena's Spanish Airports tallied 321.6 million passengers? in 2025. This marks a third consecutive annual record. The company has exceeded its February forecast by?320 millions. This represents a 3.9% rise from 2024. These gains highlight Spain's appeal as a European tourism center, even though the global airline industry is struggling with delays in aircraft deliveries, labor shortages and rising operating costs which have?limited capacity growth elsewhere. The operator reported that the airports in Spain with the most passengers are Madrid's Adolfo Suarez Barajas, Josep Tarradellas Barcelona El Prat, and Palma de Mallorca. Aena stated that it is developing its investment plan to accommodate the increasing demand for 2027-2031. In a statement, the company stated that "Traffic records for recent years are a clear indicator of this need as well as of a situation which will 'arise in future years regarding infrastructure." The company has not provided an updated outlook beyond 2026. (Reporting and editing by Matt Scuffham in Gdansk)
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South Korea's NOFI buys estimated 130,000 tons corn, traders say
European traders reported that the leading South Korean animal feed manufacturer Nonghyup Feed Inc., (NOFI), bought an estimated 130,000 metric tonnes of animal 'feed -corn? in a Tuesday international tender. The bid was for up to 207,000 tons. Two 65,000-ton corn consignments were purchased. They could have come from either the United States, South America or South Africa. They said that a third consignment, which was also requested in the tender and due to arrive on May 20, did not get purchased. The first consignment of corn was purchased at an estimated price of $241.50 per ton, including freight (c&f), plus an additional $1.50 surcharge for port unloading. The seller is believed to be Zen-Noh trading house, with corn arriving in South Korea on April 30. The second consignment, valued at $240.50 per ton c&f was purchased with an additional $1.50 surcharge per?ton for port unloading. Trading house Agrex was thought to be the seller, with?corn arriving in South Korea on or around May 10th. The reports reflect the assessments of traders and it is still possible to estimate prices and volumes later. The Traders say that Asian import demand has been sparked by the U.S. corn futures falling to near 12-week-lows on Monday due to estimates of "large U.S. stocks". Cargill Agri Purina, a South Korean importer, has launched an international tender for the purchase of up to 140.000 tons corn. The deadline is Wednesday. Michael Hogan is reporting from Hamburg. Mark Potter (Editing)
How Biden's Gaza pier project unwinded
The first time President Joe Biden's administration considered buying the U.S. armed force to build a drifting pier off Gaza to deliver help in late 2023, it was put on the backburner.
The United States was under pressure to alleviate the humanitarian crisis in the war-torn Palestinian enclave, which had been worsened by Israel's closure of many land border crossings, and sea deliveries were viewed as a possible service.
U.S. Admiral Christopher Grady, the vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Personnel and a career Navy surface area warfare officer, told a conference that he was very worried that the sea could end up being too rough for a pier to provide humanitarian help and laid out weather-related risks, a former U.S. authorities and an existing U.S. official said.
It wasn't until early 2024 that the idea showed up again as the scenario in Gaza grew more desperate and aid organizations alerted that mass starvation among Palestinian civilians was looming.
We sort of reached a point where it appeared proper to take more risk due to the fact that the need was so excellent, a former senior Biden administration official said.
The resulting pier objective did not work out.
It included 1,000 U.S. soldiers, provided only a portion of the promised aid at an expense of nearly $230 million, and was from the start beleaguered by bad luck and mistakes, including fire, bad weather condition and dangers on coast from the fighting in between Israel and Hamas.
Biden, after assuring a massive increase in help, acknowledged that the pier had disappointed his goals. I was enthusiastic that would be more successful, he told reporters on July 11.
The internal discussions about the Gaza pier, consisting of discarded alternatives to briefly deploy soldiers to the enclave, have not been previously reported.
The pier objective, which was officially ended recently, was the most controversial of the U.S. military's attempts to help include the fallout from the Israel-Hamas war that appeared on Oct. 7, 2023, and has actually drawn criticism from Biden's Republican critics and numerous present and former help employees.
The effort also underscores the humanitarian crisis in Gaza and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's battles to bring the conflict to a close, both of which are in focus during his see to Washington today.
The Pentagon referred questions about the pier to remarks made at a July 17 rundown with Vice Admiral Brad Cooper, the deputy leader of U.S. Central Command. In it, Cooper said the mission was a success, delivering the largest quantity of help ever into the Middle East.
Mike Rogers, the Republican who leads the Pentagon's. oversight committee in your house of Representatives, called the. pier a humiliation.
The pier was an ill-conceived political computation by the. Biden administration, Rogers told .
NO BOOTS ON THE GROUND
With alarm rising over the humanitarian crisis in Gaza in. 2023, Curtis Reid, chief of staff at the White Home National. Security Council, was tasked with creating a working group with. various government firms to take a look at ways to increase help. into Gaza.
( It) was an ask for firms to put whatever you got. on the table, the previous senior official said. The Pentagon. then started taking a look at alternatives.
Requested comment, the NSC acknowledged inter-agency. conversations on possible policy choices.
Due to the fact that of this work, we had the ability to advance the delivery. of humanitarian assistance into Gaza, making use of every tool. possible, stated Adrienne Watson, an NSC representative.
When the head of the armed force's Central Command, General. Michael Erik Kurilla, at first briefed Defense Secretary. Lloyd Austin about the pier objective, his very first proposition included. a minimal variety of U.S. soldiers on the ground, briefly, to. attach the pier to the shore, the previous authorities stated.
Austin knew that the White Home was opposed to. releasing U.S. forces to Gaza and asked Kurilla to go back and. rework it, a current U.S. official and the previous authorities said.
Kurilla produced a plan to train Israeli forces to do the. setup of the pier on the shore, the former authorities. added. Israeli forces later carried out the plan. The Israeli. prime minister's workplace and defense ministry referred '. concerns about the pier to the U.S. military.
Kurilla's Central Command declined to discuss the record. A U.S. defense official, speaking on condition of privacy,. rejected the account and said boots on the ground was never a. factor to consider.
Present and former officials explained Central Command as. incredibly positive the pier task would succeed.
CENTCOM and General Kurilla, from Day 1, they were. consistent in stating: 'We can do this,' the previous U.S. official stated.
The first turn of misfortune began April 11, when a fire. broke out in the engine room of the USNS 2nd Lt. John P. Bobo, a. Navy ship transferring part of the pier system to the. Mediterranean.
The team put out the fire but the ship had to reverse to. the United States.
THREE FOOT WAVES
Weather condition was an even larger issue.
An early warning of the difficulties from rough seas came last. summertime, when U.S. troops attempted to set up the pier on an. Australian shore during a military workout.
The sea was too rough, a military officer who straight. dealt with the pier workout told .
In the end, the soldiers could not connect the pier to the. beach itself, and rather brought products ashore utilizing boats to. bridge the gap in between completion of the drifting pier and the. beach.
U.S. officials acknowledge that the Mediterranean weather. was a worry. However they were unprepared for how bad the sea. conditions turned out to be.
The forecast that they had (was) essentially that the sea. state was going to be three or less up till around September,. said one senior U.S. defense official, referring to sea state. three, when waves do not go beyond three feet.
Instead, waves broke the pier simply 9 days after it became. operational on May 16. The damage was so bad that it had to be. relocated to the Israeli port of Ashdod for repair work.
The occurrence would be show the norm, with bad weather condition. keeping the pier inoperative for all but 20 days-- half as long. as it required to bring the system across the sea to Gaza.
While there were no deaths or understood direct attacks on the. pier, three U.S. soldiers suffered non-combat injuries in assistance. of the pier in May, with one medically left in crucial. condition.
OVER-ESTIMATING DISTRIBUTION
Providing the food, shelter and medical care that was. brought onshore through the pier likewise proved more difficult than. expected.
The U.S. military aimed to increase to as many as 150 trucks. a day of help coming off the pier.
However since the pier was just operational for a total of 20. days, the military says it moved an overall of only 19.4 million. pounds of help into Gaza. That would have to do with 480 trucks of help. provided in total from the pier, based upon estimates by the. World Food Programme from earlier this year of weight brought by. a truck.
The United Nations states about 500 truckloads of aid are. needed everyday to deal with the needs of Palestinians in Gaza.
Simply days after the very first deliveries of aid rolled off the. pier in Gaza, crowds overwhelmed trucks and took a few of it.
Israel's killings of 7 World Central Cooking area employees in. April and its usage of an area near the pier as it staged a. hostage rescue healing objective in June also dented the. self-confidence of help companies, on whom the U.S. was relying to. bring the supplies from the coast and distribute to citizens.
A senior U.S. defense authorities acknowledged that aid. delivery showed to be possibly more difficult than the. organizers anticipated.
One previous authorities said Kurilla had actually raised distribution as. an issue early on.
General Kurilla was also really clear about that: 'I can do. my piece of this, and I can do circulation if you task me to do. it,' the former authorities stated.
However that was clearly scoped out of what the job was. Therefore we were reliant on these global companies.
Present and former U.S. officials informed that the. United Nations and help companies themselves were always cool. to the pier.
At a closed-door conference of U.S. officials and aid. companies in Cyprus in March, Sigrid Kaag, the U.N. humanitarian and reconstruction coordinator for Gaza, offered. tacit support for Biden's pier project.
But Kaag worried the UN preference was for land, land,. land, according to two people familiar with the discussions.
The United Nations decreased to talk about the meeting. It. referred to a rundown on Monday where a spokesperson for the. company said that the U.N. appreciated every way of getting. help into Gaza, consisting of the pier, but more gain access to through land. routes is needed.
The hidden concern for aid companies was that Biden,. under pressure from fellow Democrats over Israel's killing of. civilians in Gaza, was pushing a service that would at finest be. a short-term fix and at worst would take pressure off Netanyahu's. federal government to open land routes into Gaza.
Dave Harden, a previous USAID objective director to the West. Bank and Gaza, explained the pier project as humanitarian. theater.
It did ease the pressure, sadly, on having the.
(source: Reuters)