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US and China agree to reduce tariffs temporarily, assuaging slump fears

On Monday, the U.S. announced that it and China had agreed to temporarily reduce their high tariffs against each other. This sent global stocks and the U.S. Dollar surging. The world's two largest economies were putting a halt to a trade conflict which had fueled fears of global recession.

Both sides agreed that the U.S. would reduce the extra tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30 % for the next 90-day period, and Chinese duties on U.S. imported goods will drop to 10%, from 125%.

The financial markets welcomed the end of a conflict which had brought two-way trade worth nearly $600 billion to a halt, disrupting supply chain and causing layoffs. Investors were also concerned about stagflation - a combination of high inflation with weak economic growth.

Wall Street stocks rose and the dollar grew, while gold prices in safe havens fell. This news helped ease investor concerns about Trump's potential trade war causing global economic collapse.

Trump, in an effort to reduce the U.S. deficit on trade, imposed a variety of tariffs around the world, with China being his most aggressive. The financial markets plummeted, which led him to suspend most "reciprocal tariffs" on dozens countries last month.

Trump's erratic behavior has weakened his approval rating among U.S. citizens who are worried that tariffs could increase the price of everything from cars to toys.

The remaining U.S. duty on Chinese imports is still piled up on top of previous U.S. duties. Before Trump's January inauguration, China had to pay 25% U.S. duties on many Chinese industrial products he had imposed during his first term. Lower rates were applied on consumer goods.

The announcement on Monday leaves unchanged these duties, as well as the tariffs of 100 percent on electric vehicles and 50 percent on solar products that were imposed by former Democratic president Joe Biden.

According to a source with knowledge of the negotiations, the accord does not include "de minimis exemptions" for low-value ecommerce shipments coming from China and Hong Kong. The Trump administration ended these exemptions on May 2.

The deal was more than analysts expected after weeks of aggressive rhetoric about trade. Trump floated last week the idea of lowering the tariffs to an 80% rate, which is still a high figure.

This is better than what I expected. Zhiwei Zhang is the chief economist of Pinpoint Asset Management, Hong Kong. She said: "I thought tariffs would have been cut by around 50%."

Trump's allies hailed Monday's agreement as a political victory for Trump, who ran in 2024 in support of unfair trade practices to resurrect U.S. production capacity that had been exported overseas. Blue collar workers from "Rust Belt states" like Michigan and Pennsylvania, which have been losing manufacturing jobs for decades, gave him a lot of support.

"The President is doing what he promised." It's about fixing the disparities between trading relationships, said Kelly Ann Shaw. She was a senior U.S. government official in Trump's term from 2017-2021 and is now an attorney at Akin Gump Strauss Haauer & Field.

She warned that 90 days is not enough time to address the major concerns of the United States regarding non-tariff obstacles such as subsidies on capital and labor.

They've got a lot of work to do.

"THE EQUIVALENT TO AN EMBARGO"

After talks in Geneva with Chinese officials, U.S. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent stated that "neither side" wants to decouple. "And with these high tariffs, it was like an embargo and neither side wanted that."

The first time senior U.S. officials and Chinese economists have met face-to-face since Trump's return to power, the meetings marked a significant milestone.

He Lifeng, China's Vice Premier, told reporters on Sunday at China's World Trade Organization mission that the talks had been "frank, thorough and constructive".

"The meeting was a success and achieved important consensus", He said.

China retaliated after Trump raised tariffs on Chinese products to 145% by placing export restrictions on certain rare earth elements. These are vital for U.S. producers of electronic consumer goods and weapons. Beijing increased tariffs on U.S. products to 125%.

Andrew Gossage is the CEO of Ultimate Products. The company owns brands for homewares and appliances that are manufactured in China and sold primarily to Europe and the UK. He said Chinese manufacturers would still give priority to European customers, even if U.S. Tariffs dropped to levels before Trump.

He said that the U.S. had entered unreliable territory in terms of its attitude towards the Chinese market. "So, they see European and UK markets as being more rational, reliable, and less volatile."

After the agreement, shares of European companies that were hit by the trade conflict rallied. Maersk, the shipping company, was Europe's biggest gainer with a rise of more than 12%. Last week, it warned that the U.S.-China dispute had caused container volumes to plummet.

Maersk stated in a press release that "we hope this can lay the groundwork for parties to reach a permanent agreement which can create the long term predictability our clients need."

Luxury firms' shares rose with LVMH up 7.4%, and Gucci-owner Kering rising 6.7%.

Bessent said to U.S. Media that there was still much work to be done and no date or time had been fixed for the next meeting.

He told MSNBC that "we have a mechanism in place to meet the Chinese trade delegation over the next 90-day period." We will discuss tariffs, nontariff trade barriers and currencies, as well as their subsidies for labor and capital.

He said Chinese officials understood the importance to address the fentanyl crises and appeared for the first to be working on halting the flow of precursor drug into the U.S.

Trump imposed the tariffs after declaring an emergency national over the fentanyl that was entering the U.S.

(source: Reuters)