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UPS maintains full-year revenue targets, but says that fuel prices spike from the Iran war could affect demand

United Parcel Service reiterated on Tuesday its full-year target for revenue despite a projected?return of growth in the?June quarter. This was due to soaring fuel costs resulting from?the U.S. war with Israel in Iran, which put an improvement in their business at risk.

The largest parcel delivery company in the world forecast revenue of $89.7 Billion for 2026, an increase of 1.2%. UPS shares, which are regarded as economic indicators because they include customers such as retailers, factories, and prescription drug manufacturers, fell by 5.2% during early trading. Shares of rival FedEx fell?1%.

"It's early in the year, and there's a war in Middle East." Carol Tome, CEO of Carol Tome Inc. said that high gasoline prices may?potentially affect demand towards the year's end". UPS charges a fuel surcharge for packages moving on planes and vehicles, protecting its profits from price increases.

Brian Dykes, CFO, said that the surcharges would boost revenue, but costs are also higher.

Dykes stated that "we don't view this as a windfall." UPS and FedEx, two U.S. logistics firms, have seen their volume drop due to changes in U.S. Trade Policies. This includes tariffs on products from China and key exporting nations as well as the removal of duty-free treatment "de minimis", which was previously applied to low-value ecommerce shipments linked to China-linked discount retailers such as Shein or Temu. UPS has decided to deliver millions of packages fewer for Amazon.com as it eliminates work that is 'weakening profits.

UPS CEO Tome stated that the company will return to revenue growth and profit growth in the second quarter, due to the transition from lower-paying shipments to higher-paying premium shipments as well as the cost-cutting measures it has taken recently.

UPS has been cutting thousands of jobs over the past year as it increases automation at sorting centers in an effort to reduce operating costs.

Atlanta-based UPS reported Tuesday adjusted net income per share of $1.07, compared to $1.49 a share a year earlier, but surpassed analysts' expectations of $1.02 according to data compiled LSEG.

The quarterly revenue dropped 1.6% to $21.2 Billion. The core domestic segment saw a 6.5% increase in revenue per unit.

Analysts have said that the domestic segment of the company, which is its top revenue generator, has missed their expectations. Jefferies stated that the segment's operating margin was 4%, which is at the lower end compared to its expectation of 4%-5%.

(source: Reuters)