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Maguire: Five charts to explain the current energy market.
It's the latest Energy Institute data dump, and it is as always an energy analyst's delight: expansive, consistent, and full of signals about the direction the global system will take. The 75th edition of Statistical Review of World Energy does not present a neat narrative. The data instead reveals that the system is pulling in many directions, both geographically and technologically. Five charts tell the story best. CHINA: THE ULTIMATE "ENERGYMAXXER" The term "maxxer", which comes from the?internet?culture, means that someone or something is "maximizing" an aspect to a high level. China has taken this concept to heart. China's dominance is highlighted by the contrast between the energy and electricity produced in China and the U.S. China's energy production will rise from 100 exajoules per year in 2010 to 165 exajoules per year by 2025. The United States barely progresses beyond the mid-90s. This gap is staggering. The electricity is the area where there are significant differences. China's power generation has risen to 10,500 terawatt-hours, more than twice the U.S. production which is now approaching 4,800 TWh. Takeaway: Global energy, and especially power, has already experienced a shift in the center of gravity. DATA CENTERS ARE NOW a?FIRST ORDER DEMAND DRIVER The surge in power consumption in data centers is one of the most "new" trends in the dataset. North America is leading, with a jump from 185 TWh to nearly 320 by 2025. Asia is climbing fast towards 270 TWh while Europe lags behind at around 145 TWh. Even more impressive are the growth figures: North America will add more than 60 TWh by 2025. Takeaway: Digital infrastructure is the main driver of electricity demand in advanced economies. The Battery Storage Industry is Growing -- But Asia Dominates In just a few short years, battery energy storage has gone from a niche technology to a system-critical one. After 2020, global capacity will increase sharply to around 300,000. Megawatts in 2025. The geography is lopsided. Asia has installed more solar panels than the rest. North America and Europe continue to grow rapidly, but they remain in the second place for cumulative capacity. Takeaway: Although the tools for energy transition are distributed more evenly, they are not scaled. CLEAN POWER LAGGARDS AND LEADERS The chart "clean vs. dirty" shows how inconsistent progress is in different countries. France is at the top of the list, with its nuclear fleet generating 95% of clean energy. Brazil and Canada are not far behind. Most of Europe is clustered between 50% and 80%. On the other hand, many major systems are still largely fossil fuel-based. Saudi Arabia produces?only a fraction of its electricity from clean sources. Meanwhile, economies such as Indonesia, South Africa, and Malaysia are also heavily carbon intensive. Takeaway: There are many different national transitions, not just one global transition. EMISSIONS CUTS and GROWTH Finaly, the data on emissions shows a clear division between those who are cutting back and those who are?adding. Since 2010, the United States has been the biggest cumulative reduction in energy-related CO2 emissions. However, there have also been significant declines across Europe and Japan. These gains are offset by other increases. China is the largest emitter of greenhouse gases, followed by India and then a number of other emerging economies. Takeaway: It's not about if or where there are emissions cuts, but rather when. BOTTOM LINE The Energy Institute dataset is rarely loud -- it's more like a accumulator. What it shows is that the system is evolving along several fault lines. China is gaining more ground in terms of scale. North America generates new demand for data centers. Asia is leading the development of infrastructure and storage. The countries differ sharply in their approach to power sector cleanliness. In some areas, emissions are falling while in others they are rising. The transition is real and it's accelerating in some places. It's fragmented and may define global energy for years to come. These are the opinions of the columnist, who is also an author. This column is great! Open Interest (ROI) is your new essential source of global financial commentary. Follow ROI on LinkedIn, X and X. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast daily on Apple, Spotify or the app. Subscribe to the Morning Bid podcast and hear journalists discussing the latest news in finance and markets 7 days a weeks.
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Fuel crisis hits Russia and causes Russian frustration
Farmers in Russia's grain belt are worried that they won't be able to harvest crops due to a fuel shortage caused by Ukraine's drone strikes on oil refineries and storage depots. Fuel supplies in oil-rich Russia have been squeezed by Kyiv's attempts to pressurize Moscow to make 'peace' with strikes on its energy infrastructure. This has led to fuel restrictions and public unrest across the country. The shortage has also prompted drivers to share maps and tips on which stations offer fuel and have shorter lines. In social media footage, drivers have been seen fighting as they wait for fuel. In a video titled "The Ultimate Luxury 2026," a man pours gasoline into his lawnmower slowly from a jerrycan and jokes, "What riches." Who can afford it now?" Searches for "how to siphon" online jumped from 697 a few months earlier to 9,300 searches by the 21st of June, according to Yandex data cited by iPhones.ru. Since launching its so-called special military operation, in 2022 Russia has attacked Ukraine's energy infrastructure repeatedly. This has left many Ukrainians without heat or power during the winter. The Russian authorities are uncomfortable with the evidence of the wider impact of Ukraine's war, as they initially downplayed fuel shortages. A social media post describes farmers in fertile Black Earth?region as struggling to pay for fuel to?harvest. Another tells of a farmer who had to drive his combine to a regular gasoline station because he wasn't allowed to fill a?can. Could not independently verify the account. On Sunday, President Vladimir Putin acknowledged that there were problems and promised to take measures to stabilize the market. He stressed the importance of maintaining fuel supplies for the agricultural sector, "because the harvest is dependent on it". Alexander Novak said that his energy point man, Deputy Premier Alexander Novak, stated on Wednesday that the problems were being addressed. Exclusively, it was reported that Russia has begun to import seaborne gasoline from India. Kazakhstan also agreed to provide 50,000 metric tonnes of gas to Russia between July and August. A poll conducted this week showed that Russians felt more pessimistic than ever before about the economy, even before the shortages escalated last month. In some areas, basic services are being cut. In the Zabaikalsky Region, near China and Mongolia on the border, authorities have cancelled bus routes, and a waste collection firm has suspended service in four districts citing fuel shortages. "More frightening is how much groceries are going to cost." "All deliveries are made by road," a?person commented on an article on the website regional news outlet Chita.ru about the cuts. The comment was "liked" by more than 100 people. Fuel shortages may erode public support as strikes continue. The war began in February 2022, when Russia invaded Ukraine, and now is in its fifth year. Tatiana Sedykh, who was waiting in line for diesel at a fuel station in Rostov on Don in southern Russia, said she was happy she had chosen it. The line at the gas station is insane. "I'm beginning to wonder if I should start walking to work." (Additional reporting in Rostov on Don, edited by Mark Trevelyan & Alexander Smith).
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Wall Street Journal, July 2,
These are the most popular?stories from the Wall Street Journal. ? This?story has not been verified and we cannot vouch for its?accuracy. Takeda, a Japanese pharmaceutical giant, has formed a partnership with InSilico to develop AI-based drugs. The initial potential value is $600.0 million. Northern Star has chosen the former head of Glencore’s Nickel and Zinc Industrial?Assets as its new chief executive. This is because it faces pressure from activist investors Elliott Investment Management to make changes. The United States did not agree to renew the USMCA under its current form, U.S. Trade Rep Jamieson Greer stated on Wednesday. This was the deadline by which the three countries had to extend the USMCA to 16 years. Canada and Mexico were keen to do this. CMA CGM of France, the third largest container line in the world by capacity, has acquired FedEx Supply Chain for $1.4 billion. This deal will allow CMA CGM to expand its reach in the growing market for third-party logistic services. (Compiled by Bengaluru newsroom) (Compiled by Bengaluru Newsroom)
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RPT-LME is considering easing rules in order to promote Hong Kong as a metals hub
Four industry sources have said that the London Metal Exchange may ease rules to boost Hong Kong's status as a "metals location", including allowing aluminium storage outside. This is in line with China's "drive" for greater influence on global metals markets. Hong Kong was designated as an LME warehouse in July 2025. However, very little metal has actually been deposited since then. Two sources claimed that HKEx executives asked warehouse companies to remove any barriers in order to make Hong Kong a viable storage location. In a consultation paper published in March, the 149-year old LME suggested outside storage for aluminum "on a site-by-site basis". Four sources claimed that this was intended for Hong Kong where space is scarce. The exchange in the consultation that closed on May 8 said: "Conversations about space availability at certain places have raised the question of whether outside storage can alleviate space concerns." The consultation has not yet received any responses. The exchange has been working to secure LME-approved metal storage facilities on the mainland of?China. This is the largest industrial metals consumer in the world. China is also keen to play a larger role. This includes Chinese brokers who are lining up to join the LME. Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing owns the LME, which is the oldest and largest metals exchange in world. The exchange briefly allowed the outside storage of aluminium in the mid-1990s, but stopped the practice due to concerns about weather damage and safety. LME Chairman John Williamson stated in May that LME had expanded its warehouse network into Hong Kong. This "reinforced" the exchange's role as a "hub with unparalleled connectivity to the Chinese continental". Sources said that as part of this effort, the LME is approving warehouses in any location within Hong Kong. This is unlike other locations where storage facilities are typically required to be near the port. The most expensive location LME warehouses tend to be located in areas where there is a high demand for physical metal by manufacturers. Hong Kong is not in that mould. Services account for more than 90 percent of its revenue. Rents are 66 U.S. Cents per metric tonne per day. This is 21% higher than the average. Hong Kong also has 21% higher rents for nickel and copper. Hong Kong's multi-storey warehouse space makes it unsuitable for heavy metal storage, as the higher floors can't support its weight. Hong Kong only accounted for 1.7% of the total LME warehouse stock in May. LME data from May shows that warehouses in Hong Kong held 24,665 tons of metal compared to 483,381 in Singapore, 286,646 in South Korea, and 265,345 in Taiwan. "We are pleased with the success of Hong Kong warehousing... The LME responded to a comment request by saying that Hong Kong is our?ninth largest location in terms of stock, and many warehouses are approaching capacity. The addition of Hong Kong strengthens our commitment to provide LME warehousing along key global trade routes. In the next few weeks, we will be sharing our feedback on warehousing with the market.
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SGE, a Polish developer of small nuclear plants, targets a fleet worth PS35 billion in Britain
SGE, a Poland-based company, plans to build a fleet containing '14 small nuclear reactors for a total cost of PS35billion ($46.5billion), the company announced on Thursday. The first project is expected to be completed by 2034. The UK has supported the development of small-modular reactors (SMRs), to help increase energy security and achieve climate targets. This year, an Advanced Nuclear Framework was launched to support the development of privately funded projects. SGE plans on hosting six 300 megawatts reactors at its initial site. Two?further locations will accommodate four units each. These are capable of producing total 4.2 gigawatts of electricity, enough to power?about eight million homes. Michal Solowow (founder of SGE) said that Britain is an attractive regulatory market for nuclear power and the company will seek investors once it has secured government support through contracts for difference (CfD). The CfD scheme allows project developers to take on the construction risk, but receive a guaranteed price for electricity produced. If wholesale power costs fall below this level, the government will cover the difference. The money is usually recovered by electricity bills. Producers can deduct money from invoices if prices are higher than the strike price. Solowow stated that "we are not making any money on the construction, but only when the?electrons are connected to the grid." Solowow stated that the company had?identified? three possible locations. Great British Nuclear, a British company, owns both the Wylfa and Oldbury sites in England. The Wylfa Site has already 'been selected to host a Rolls Royce SMR Project. Solowow stated that the company is in advanced talks with an operator to?the plants, and will announce a decision later this year. The project?will use GE Vernova Hitachi BWRX300 technology that is being evaluated by Britain's Office for Nuclear Regulation. SGE also plans to build an extensive fleet of SMRs.
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The largest US power grid warns of record demand and price spikes
PJM, America's largest?electric grid operator?, warned on Wednesday of price spikes and massive transmission line congestion, as it?prepared? for record-breaking demand fueled by a heatwave ahead of the July 4th celebrations. In PJM’s Virginia zone - home to the largest concentration of data centers in the world - spot wholesale electricity prices soared Wednesday afternoon to over $600 per megawatt. Prices were around $40 per megawatt hour earlier in the day before temperatures rose to 100 degrees Fahrenheit. On Wednesday afternoon, the demand on the grid reached 160 gigawatts. This is close to an all-time record. PJM forecasts indicate that the 165.5 GW record set by PJM will be surpassed on Thursday evening. PJM provides electricity to 67 million residents in the Mid-Atlantic, South, and Washington, D.C. regions. Even before the heatwave this week, PJM was 'working to overhaul a system that had been pushed to its limits by data centers and electric cars. On Wednesday afternoon, the grid operator issued an "alert" asking power plants maximize their output. They were also asked to check whether generators that had been taken out of service could be brought back into service. PJM’s low-voltage warning signaled a higher risk of rotating power outages as?voltage on transmission lines weakens. Grid operator has also warned power plants that they should bring their generators back into service to be able to meet the surge in demand. Gridraven's CEO, Georg Rute, stated that extreme heat, low winds and surging demand coincide at a moment when transmission lines are least safe. This is contributing to the spikes in electricity costs, as power moving costs are increasing amid heavy congestion. The temperatures are expected to be around 100 F this week from Boston to Washington, D.C., close to Northern Virginia's vast hub of data centers. This will cause a surge in demand for air conditioning, which will put additional strain on PJM, and other regional grids. New York ISO, the grid operator for New York State, has asked customers to reduce their air conditioning use and large appliances. NYISO has prepared for a demand of over 32 GW on Thursday, which is just short of the 34 GW record set in 2013. PJM will be put to the test at 6 pm EDT, Thursday, when demand for grid power is expected to reach 166.3 gigawatts. According to PJM, this would be a record-breaking demand. PJM has 18 GW in reserve that can be turned on within 30 minutes to meet any unexpected power shortages. The spot electricity price?will probably spike to over $1,000 per MWh on Wednesday evening, as PJM operators deal with congested powerlines around a Virginia data center hub. They will also dispatch expensive power plants mainly fueled primarily by coal and gas to meet the highest electricity demand of the day. This week, coal plant production has accounted for up to 22% of PJM’s electricity supply with a total output of around 28?GW. According to PJM's generation data, this is about 75% more than the average for?2026. Another record in the Midwest could be broken Wednesday evening. The Midcontinent Independent System Operator, the regional grid operator of 15 U.S. States in the Midwest and South, has forecast that the record demand of 127.1 GW may fall. (Reporting by Tim McLaughlin, Editing by Mark Porter & Edmund Klamann).
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Corpus Christi Ship Channel Closed After Pickup Truck Enters Waterway
The U.S. Coast Guard announced that the Corpus Christi'ship channel' in southern Texas had been closed on Wednesday after a vehicle was found to have entered the waterway. Port Aransas South Jetty reported on Facebook that a man drove into the ocean between 5:30 a.m. (1130 GMT), and 6 a.m. while doing donuts at the beach. Police were preparing to remove a pickup. According to LSEG ship tracker data, as of Wednesday afternoon there were no tankers transporting crude oil, refined products of petroleum, or liquefied gas through the 'channel. Another 11 tankers waited at anchorage. Port?currently handles half of U.S. crude exports, and is the leading LNG export point. The Coast Guard reported that responders were working on recovering the vehicle and that they expect the channel to open by the end of the day. The Port of Corpus Christi remained open. It is one of the largest export hubs for petroleum products in the United States, and especially crude oil. The Permian Basin, which spans Texas and New Mexico, is America's top shale-basin. The company also handles a significant amount of liquefied gas and ships crude oil from the Eagle Ford shale in South Texas. Many refineries in the area of Corpus Christi process crude oil into gasoline, diesel, and other fuels. Much of this is exported via the channel. Reporting by Stefanie Eschenbacher, Curtis Williams, and Arathy Sommesekhar from Houston. Editing by Nathan Crooks & Stephen Coates.
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Judge rejects US Postal Service's proposal to restrict mail-in voting
A federal judge blocked the U.S. Postal Service's proposed limitations on mail-in votes were blocked by a federal judge Wednesday, who found that they violated an agreement with a major civil rights group which required that mail-in ballots be handled expeditiously. The Washington-based U.S. district judge Emmet Sullivan's decision marked the second court defeat for U.S. president Donald?Trump in just a few weeks, as his Republican Party is locked in a tight fight to maintain control over both houses of Congress. Trump has said for years, without any evidence, that mail-in voting was prone to fraud. This assertion is a pillar in his campaign to undermine confidence in U.S. election, along with his false claim that his defeat at the 2020 elections was due to widespread voter fraud. Postal Service proposed in May a rule that states must provide voter lists and adopt new voting procedures before they can make delivery. The Postal Service refused to deliver ballots if states didn't comply. Sullivan, appointed by Democratic President Bill Clinton to the bench, sided the NAACP right group in arguing that the new rule was against a 2021 'legal settlement' that required USPS officials take "extraordinary steps" to ensure timely mailing of ballots through 2028. The Justice Department, who represents the administration before the court, did not immediately respond to requests for comments. Sullivan's decision prevented the Postal Service implementing the 'proposed regulations', which'stemmed' from Trump's executive order in March directing the Department of Homeland Security compile a list of U.S. citizens confirmed to be eligible to vote for each'state' and requiring that the USPS only deliver mail-in ballots to those voters listed on each'state's approved list of mail-in ballots. U.S. district judge Indira Talwani, based in Boston, blocked Trump's implementation of the "entire executive order" ahead of the midterm elections. The judge sided with the coalition of Democratic-led states in ruling that Trump exceeded his authority by trying to overhaul election procedures, which have been managed by local and state governments since 1789 when the republic was founded. (Reporting and editing by Franklin Paul, Cynthia Osterman, and Luc Cohen from New York)
As anti-migration sentiment grows, EU lawmakers have approved tougher asylum laws
On Tuesday, European legislators approved changes to the European Union's asylum?system?. This will allow for faster asylum rejections, and possible transfers of asylum seekers into countries where they have no or little connection. It also highlights the rise of anti-immigration policies over the last decade.
The text is subject to final approval by the 27 EU member countries. It marks a sharp 'hardening' of EU migration policy, which has been taking shape ever since a massive influx of refugees and migrants in 2015-16.
Humanitarian groups have criticized the move, saying it could lead human rights violations and a reduction of asylum rights. A 1951 convention prohibits returning asylum seekers to countries in which they may be at risk.
The European Parliament has approved changes to Asylum Procedures Regulation that will introduce a?list of countries deemed'safe' to which asylum seekers who fail to be granted asylum can be sent. List includes Egypt and Tunisia, whose human-rights records have been scrutinized.
According to the new rules the EU can reject an asylum request if the individual could have been protected in a safe country.
The Risk of Prison Terms
The new rules also allow EU countries to establish "return hubs" in other EU member states, such as those established by Italy.
The Migration Pact is a set of EU rules and processes that govern migration. It was approved in 2023, but will not be fully implemented until June 2026.
Since 2015, when more than one million migrants, mostly from Syria, crossed the Mediterranean, anti-immigration rhetoric is gaining momentum in the EU. This?sentiment? has increased public support for right wing nationalist parties and pushed governments to adopt increasingly restrictive migration policies focusing on returns.
Melissa Camara, a French Green legislator, said: "These texts are a further step towards dehumanising the?migration policies of the European Union. They violate fundamental rights and individuals' dignity."
The text regarding safe countries of origin puts hundreds of thousands in grave danger. Third countries are deemed safe, despite a very worrying human rights situation. (Reporting and editing by Mark Heinrich; Amina ismail, Amina)
(source: Reuters)