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Ukraine exports to Baltic ports, just like Russia
Ukraine is looking at using Baltic Sea ports for grain exports. The agriculture ministry announced a similar move on Wednesday. Both sides are seeking alternatives to the Black Sea routes that were disrupted by their war. Sources have told us that Russian companies are repurposing terminals for fertiliser, coal and other cargo at their Baltic and Arctic ports in order to export grain after Ukrainian drones attacked the Black Sea and disrupted the shipments. After Russian attacks, 90% of Ukraine's exports, including grain, were redirected to the three Danube River ports. This adds around $50 per metric tonne?in logistic costs, making Ukrainian grains uncompetitive and creating bottlenecks. HIGH COST AND DIFFICULT TRANSPORTATION Ukraine's Agriculture Ministry?stated in a press release after a meeting between Estonian and Ukrainian agriculture ministers that Baltic ports could handle up to 20 millions tons of grain. The ministry stated that transport via the Baltic would increase export costs by about $100 per ton. It added that Ukraine could need international assistance of up to $2 billion. The ministry failed to identify any potential sources of funding or explain how the grain would be transported to Baltic ports. Ukraine is not near the Baltic States, so transiting through Poland would be the most likely route. In the early stages of the war, Ukraine transported grain through Poland between 2022 and 2023. Polish farmers protested the route, claiming that Ukrainian grain was cheaper and threatened their domestic production. Ukraine continues to export grain via its eastern European neighbours but volumes are still relatively low. According to Ukrzaliznytsia, only 340,000 tons of grain were transported through these routes in the first half September. By the middle of September, only 65 grain wagons per week were bound for Poland. Ukraine exports grain through Poland, Hungary and Romania.
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Germany plans to phase out fossil fuels and promote EVs and heat pumps
Germany's Cabinet approved on Wednesday a roadmap to phase out coal by 2045. The plan reaffirmed a climate strategy that focused on electrification, despite the minister's call for more flexibility in regards to cars, heating, and carbon pricing. A spokesperson for the Environment Ministry said that the plan will be presented to the United Nations General Assembly later this Wednesday in New York. The spokesperson added that Germany will be the third nation?after France?and the Netherlands?to adopt a national road map?as part of an international effort?to move away from fossil-fuels? Spiegel reported earlier that Wednesday, "under the plan, Germany will examine whether a deadline agreed to to end coal-fired electricity generation by 2038 could be brought forward to 2020." Spiegel reported that the plan envisages that by 2035 all new passenger cars will be battery-electric. This?contrasts to demands by some conservatives including Economy Minister?Katherina?Reiche, that a greater role be given to combustion-engine vehicles using alternate fuels. According to Spiegel, heat pumps will be the dominant heating system for buildings in Germany within the next few years. Oil?and gas boilers, which use a growing % of climate-neutral fuels, are only mentioned as a part of the transition. Politico has also covered the issue earlier.
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Germany's Uniper signss offtake agreement for synthetic green jetfuels
The companies announced on Wednesday that German state-owned utility Uniper had signed a contract to?purchase synthetic sustainable jet fuel from US-based eFuels. Uniper will 'buy 40,000 metric tonnes?of fuel?annually?"for more than ten years. This fuel is supplied by Arcadia eFuels Endor project in Denmark. The companies said in a joint statement that this was one of their largest eSAF-offtake agreements. Green fuels that emit less carbon dioxide than jet fuel are the only option to reduce air pollution. Uniper CEO, Michael Lewis, said that the key challenge is now to take sustainable aviation fuels beyond 'promising projects' to an industrial scale. "For Uniper it's?also a step towards building a position of strength in a market that has significant growth potential," said Lewis. The companies say that supplies are expected to start in the early 2030s. They will cover the fuel equivalent for around 1,000 Boeing 787-9 flights each year from Duesseldorf, Germany, where Uniper has its headquarters, to Abu Dhabi. Amy Hebert, CEO of Arcadia eFuels said: "eSAF fuel isn't just a fuel for the future - today's agreement is a 'present-day solution to the aviation industry's need to diversify supply. This brings us'significantly closer' to expanding production in the EU." In 2025, the EU requires that 2% of all fuel available at regional airports be SAF. This will rise to 6% in 2030. eSAF is required to account for 1.2% from 2030 and increase to 5% by 2035.
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Oil nears two-week lows as supply worries ease
The oil prices were near their lowest level in over two weeks on Tuesday, thanks to improved Gulf crude supplies and growing hope for a diplomatic solution to the US-Israeli conflict against Iran. Brent crude futures increased 16 cents or 0.16% to $99.41 per barrel at 0809 GMT, while West Texas Intermediate Futures dropped 50 cents or 0.55% to $90.02. Brent hit its lowest level since September 8 at $97.36 in the previous session. WTI hit its lowest level since September 1 on Wednesday. US President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that his envoys held productive discussions with Iranian mediators to end the conflict. OIL PRICE VOLATILITY RETAINS Nitesh Shah, a commodity strategist at WisdomTree, said that Trump is trying to send out a strong message of good talk. "But, I would caution that the price movements could suddenly change to positive." Three sources familiar with the situation said that Saudi Arabia resumed its East-West Pipeline operations to the Red Sea Tuesday. Saudi Arabia blamed Iraqi militia for drone attacks that forced it to stop crude loadings in Yanbu port on September 11. Since the Middle East conflict has disrupted oil supplies from Saudi Arabia?and their Gulf neighbours?through the Strait?of Hormuz. Riyadh is using the pipeline to reroute approximately 4 million barrels a day to Yanbu. This represents roughly 4% global supply. Saudi Arabia offered to lift more barrels from outside the Strait of Hormuz for Asian refiners on Tuesday. Iraq's oil minister announced on Tuesday that the country is also increasing its oil exports. He said that the country exports more than 3,000,000 bpd and plans to increase exports through Turkey to over 600,000 Bpd. SUPPORT FOR A BETTER OUTLOOK ON SUPPLY A senior Iranian official, who supports the 'improved supply outlook,' said that the Strait of Hormuz would reopen in seven days, if the United States eased military pressure and lifted its blockade of Iranian ports. Industry data revealed that US crude stocks rose by 1.8m barrels during the week ending September 18. This added downward pressure on oil prices. The analysts polled by?by expected a drop. The US Energy Information Administration will release its official weekly inventory numbers at 10:10 a.m. ET (1430 GMT). "A little more crude is making its way to the market, and the East-West Pipeline returning gives everyone some breathing room. The products issue hasn't gone away. Diesel is tight. Jet fuel is scarce. Matt Stanley, director of market engagement for?Kpler, said that the end-user will increasingly feel this. Trump said Tuesday that he supported the idea of a diesel import ban to help lower prices, which have reached record levels due to a global shortage. Analysts and market watchers say that such a ban would not do much to lower energy prices, and could even worsen economic and supply disruptions across the globe.
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Officials alter Danube entry procedure to address Ukrainian shipping queue
Shippers announced on Wednesday that authorities will clear?vessels bound to Danube ports through the Sulina Canal, while they are still in Black Sea, instead of processing them inside the canal. This is a?effort?to eliminate a two week queue. After Russian attacks, Ukraine's Black Sea port, which handled 90% of its exports, was effectively blocked. Benefits: More vessels can enter Sulina Canal during the day. Vessels are no longer dependent on berths at Sulina. There is less waiting time and less unnecessary maneuvering," said Katerina Kononenko. Due to bureaucratic procedures and the high volume of traffic, there are dozens of vessels waiting in line for the Sulina Canal. The wait times have exceeded two weeks. Ukraine is the largest grain exporter in the world. This month, shippers reported that the long waits and congestion to enter the Danube or return to the Black Sea extended the grain delivery time from Ukraine to Egypt, a major buyer, from 12 days to over a month, which threatened profitability. Consultancy ASAP Agri stated this week that coaster freight rates on grain shipments to Egypt from Ukraine's Danube ports had stabilized at about $100 per ton. On September 11, shipping costs were $105 per ton, compared to $30 on July 11 when Ukraine's Black Sea port was still operational. Ukrainian authorities said that the Danube port could export at least 500,000 tons per month. Official data shows that Ukraine exported?930,000 tonnes of grain in September, compared to 1.78 million tonnes in September 2025.
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Ethiopian Airlines suspends flight to Tigray after taking over Mekelle Airport
Local sources claim that Ethiopian Airlines halted flights to the northern Tigray region of Ethiopia on Wednesday, after Tigrayan troops seized the airport at Mekelle's regional capital from the federal police. State-owned carrier announced on social media the suspension of flights to Mekelle, Shire and Axum "due to current conditions in the Tigray Region," without providing any further information. Two local sources reported that Tigrayan fighters, who fought against the federal government during a civil war in 2020-2022 that resulted hundreds of thousands deaths, had seized control of the Mekelle Airport from federal police over night. Requests for comment from the Prime Minister?Abiy Ahmad, the federal government 'and the Tigray People's Liberation Front' (TPLF), a political party in Tigray that governs the country, were not immediately answered. The TPLF announced Sunday that it formed an alliance across?Ethiopia with six other armed group aiming to overthrow Abiy's Government. This move came after months of deteriorating relationships between the TPLF government and the federal government. Both sides signed a peace agreement in November 2022, to end the war. However, each side has accused the other of breaking the agreement. In May, the TPLF seized the control of the'region's government by the interim administration set up under the peace agreement. According to data from the Armed conflict?Location and Event Data project, the?Ethiopian army has conducted several drone attacks against Tigrayan troops in recent months. The federal government has not yet commented on the reported attacks, but last week the military announced that almost 300 Tigrayan combatants had surrendered.
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Denmark's central banks expects a 4% growth in GDP by 2026, driven by the pharmaceutical industry
The central bank of Denmark has raised its GDP forecasts for both this year and 2027 from 1.8% to 2.3%. Nationalbanken stated in a press release that "Growth was driven by an unprecedented increase in the pharmaceutical industries' output abroad during the first half of the year." Novo Nordisk has been an engine of the Danish economy since its peak in 2024. However, shares have dropped sharply ever since. The Danish government attributed the higher than expected growth in the Danish economy in August to the launch of Novo’s weight-loss Wegovy pills in the United States earlier this year. In a statement, Governor Christian Kettel Thomsen stated that the Danish economy has been able to withstand global turmoil so far. "We expect strong growth in GDP this year. But there are no signs that wage or price pressure will increase. This is because a significant part of the growth comes from overseas production, which only uses Danish labour and capital in a limited way. Denmark is home to global companies like Maersk Shipping, Carlsberg Brewery, Lego, and Vestas, among others.
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Wall Street Journal, September 23,
These are the most popular stories from?the Wall Street Journal. These stories have not been verified and?has no way of vouching for?their accuracy. - JPMorgan Chase has recently looked at a plan to help ease an old point of contention between credit-card partners like airlines and retailers. This plan would allow private?credits to obtain a new consumer debt. Volodymyr Zelensky, the Ukrainian president, said that he asked President Trump for a 'winter package' of new military equipment and believes that the US will pursue an agreement to stop attacks on energy infrastructure. Qantas Airways will launch a service that is nonstop between Sydney and New York by 2028. This will reduce the journey time from more than three hours. The activist hedge fund Jana Partners is urging Six Flags Entertainment, a theme park operator, to consider a possible sale. Since August, traders?on the Kalshi prediction market have traded almost one million times in the same?market. This unusual activity has attracted the attention of both federal regulators as well as traders.
What is the issue in US discussions with Ukraine and Russia
U.S. officials will meet with negotiators in Saudi Arabia from Ukraine and Russia to discuss details of the proposed 30-day ceasefire for strikes on energy infrastructure as well as an overall peace agreement. Negotiators from Russia and Ukraine will not be present in the same meeting room. On Sunday night, officials from Kyiv will meet with the U.S. delegation in Riyadh. Then, on Monday, the Russian and U.S. negotiators will meet. Last week, U.S. president Donald Trump met with Russian President Vladimir Putin as well as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy in order to promote his efforts to end the three year war in Ukraine. Here are some issues that Russia and the U.S. are currently discussing:
ENDING ATTACKS ENERGY INFRASSTRUCTURE
According to the White House, Trump and Putin agreed last week that "the movement towards peace will begin", with a 30 day pause on attacks against Russian and Ukrainian energy installations.
The ceasefire, which was narrowly defined, has been cast into doubt. Moscow claims that Ukraine struck an oil depot in southern Russia, while Kyiv says Russia struck hospitals, homes and knocked power out to some railways.
Zelenskiy stated that Kyiv will draw up a listing of facilities which could be included in the partial ceasefire. He said that the list could not only include energy infrastructure but also rail or port infrastructure. A moratorium on energy-infrastructure strikes may favour Moscow over Kyiv. This is because it will prevent Ukraine from launching long-range attacks on Russian oil installations, which has been a major way to inflict pain on its adversary.
NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS
In a U.S. press release, Trump said that during his phone call with Zelenskiy, he had suggested the U.S. might help manage, and even own, Ukraine's energy infrastructure and nuclear power plants.
Zelenskiy stated that he and Trump had discussed the Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia plant in Ukraine, Europe’s largest nuclear facility. Russia and Ukraine both accuse each other of putting the nuclear plant at risk by their actions.
Zelenskiy stated that Kyiv was ready to discuss U.S. participation in modernizing the facility if it returned to Ukraine.
Ukraine will benefit long-term from regaining the control of this facility that generated 20% of all its power production before the war.
Zelenskiy warned that it would take at least two and a quarter years to bring the plant up and running due to the numerous technical problems it faces. According to industry sources, it would take huge amounts of investment.
BLACK SEA SHIPPING The Kremlin stated that Putin had "responded in a constructive manner" to a Trump proposal on protecting Black Sea Shipping and they have agreed to start negotiations.
The United Nations and Turkey helped to mediate a deal in July 2022, the so-called Black Sea Grain Initiative. This allowed for the safe exportation of 33 million metric tonnes of Ukrainian grain across Black Sea despite war.
After a year of protesting that the exports of its food and fertilizer were severely hindered, Russia resigned from the agreement.
According to the World Bank's Global Commodities Outlook for April 2024, despite Black Sea shipping risk, both Russia & Ukraine shipped grain to global markets with no major issues. The World Bank also stated that the Black Sea Grain Initiative collapse had minimal consequences.
PRISONER EXCHANGES Russia & Ukraine each exchanged 175 prisoners-of-war on Wednesday. Russia also handed over 22 severely wounded Ukrainian prisoners as part of a gesture of goodwill, according to the Russian Defence Ministry.
Zelenskiy said that the exchange was one of the biggest of its kind, and the 22 Ukrainians who were involved in it were "severely injured warriors" and people whom Russia had persecuted because of fabricated crimes.
NATO MEMBERSHIP
Putin wants Ukraine to drop its official ambitions to join NATO.
In its constitution, Ukraine states that joining NATO is a priority and that this would be the most effective and efficient form of security that it could receive as part a peace agreement. John Coale said last month that the United States has not ruled out a potential NATO membership for Ukraine, or a negotiated re-entry to Ukraine's pre-2014 border. This contradicted comments made by Pete Hegseth, the U.S. defense secretary, a day before.
Hegseth told Ukraine's allies in Brussels that a return to Ukraine’s borders prior to 2014 was unrealistic, and that the U.S. didn't see NATO membership as part of a resolution to the war. This sparked concerns that the U.S. made concessions before the talks began.
Trump said that he did not believe Russia "would allow" Ukraine to join NATO. Trump has blamed Joe Biden, his predecessor for pushing this idea. However, it was originally backed by Republican president George W. Bush back in 2008.
UKRAINE POST-WAR SECURITY
Ukraine wants guarantees about its security in the future, but this is at odds with what Kremlin demands.
Kyiv, and its European backers, agree that the key to Kyiv's security is an unfettered Ukrainian army. Moscow has said that a reduced military in Ukraine is one of the conditions for a peace agreement. Britain and France have a plan for a deterrent force made up of foreign ships, planes and troops that will be stationed in or around Ukraine following the signing of a peace agreement. The details of the force's operation and its members are still unclear.
Some Russian officials, however, have stated that they would not be able to accept such a force.
WESTERN SANCTIONES, ELECTIONS Putin said that he wanted the Western sanctions to be eased as well as a presidential vote in Ukraine.
Kyiv is yet to hold any elections in 2019 due to the martial law that governs wartime. Ukrainian officials say that it would be impossible to hold elections during the war.
Officials in Ukraine say that they are a sovereign country and it's not Moscow’s place to tell them when their elections will be held.
Biden led the United States in broad sanctions against Russia. These steps include measures to limit its oil and natural gas revenues. They also include a $60 cap per barrel for Russia's oil. Sources say that since Trump returned to power, he has studied ways to ease sanctions in exchange for Moscow ending the conflict. Trump also hinted at the possibility of large-scale tariffs and banking restrictions on Russia until peace was achieved.
RUSSIAN HOLDED TERRITORY
Russia wants control of all four eastern Ukrainian regions that it claims as its own. It also wants the Crimean Peninsula, which it annexed and seized in 2014. Unnamed sources at a private business meeting with Putin in Moscow on Tuesday told Russia's Kommersant that Putin wants the U.S. formally to recognise Luhansk and Donetsk as part of Russia, along with Crimea.
Ukraine has already acknowledged that it is not possible to recapture some of the occupied Ukrainian territories by force, and that they will need to be returned diplomatically in due course. Kyiv, however, says that it will not recognise Russian sovereignty on Ukrainian territory.
On Sunday, Trump's National security adviser Mike Waltz answered a question about whether the U.S. was willing to accept a deal that allowed Russia to retain Ukrainian territory. He replied:
We must ask: Is it in our national interests? Is this realistic? "Are we going to force every Russian from every inch of Ukrainian territory?"
UKRAINIAN RESOURCES Kyiv has been in talks with Washington about a deal that would give the United States a financial reward for the development of Ukrainian resources, namely rare earths which are used to make electronics. The deal fell apart after the disastrous White House meeting that took place between Trump and Zelenskiy towards the end of the last month. Trump announced on March 21 that a rare earths deal would be signed in the near future. The White House may be interested in Ukraine's infrastructure for gas beyond that deal. Ukraine has the third largest underground storage capacity in the world. The country could import liquefied gas from the United States and store it before shipping it to Europe.
(source: Reuters)