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Sources say that Russia's oil exports to western ports will remain near record levels in October.

According to industry sources, calculations and sources, oil exports and transit through Russia's western port are expected to remain close to the record levels of September due to increased refinery activities.

According to industry estimates, the number of barrels shipped of Urals, Siberian Light and KEBCO grades in the ports of Primorsk and Ust-Luga, as well as Novorossiysk could drop by around 200,000 bpd from last month, to approximately 2.3 million bpd.

The growing OPEC+ quota in Russia and the ongoing refinery repairs support exports despite a projected increase in domestic processing. The October OPEC+ quota for Russia increased by 93,000 bpd compared to September, reaching 9.457 millions bpd.

Sources said that the record-breaking refinery outages of August and September drove last month's exports up to a new high of 2.5 million bpd. Meanwhile, Russia's idle refining capacities in October are expected to fall below August levels allowing for a higher throughput at home.

However, drone attacks on refineries -- including a fire at Kirishinefteorgsintez on October 4 -- may prompt upward revisions to export plans, while attacks on pipeline infrastructure could limit export capacity.

Interfax reported that the Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak stated on Wednesday that Russia had been steadily increasing its oil production, and was close to meeting the output quota set by the OPEC+ oil producing group last month. (Reporting and Editing by Susan Fenton).

(source: Reuters)