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Trans Mountain pipeline and Canada oil shippers are in discussions to resolve the shipping cost dispute

Oil shippers and the operator of Canada’s Trans Mountain Pipeline are currently in negotiations to resolve a dispute over shipping costs that has hampered the use of Canada’s only east-west pipe and slowed down government plans to sell it.

Trans Mountain Corp. and a group including Cenovus Energy and Canadian Natural Resources and ConocoPhillips Canada filed documents with the Canada Energy Regulator Tuesday stating that the parties were in "active commercial discussion."

The talks could settle how much the companies pay to ship oil on the expanded 890,000-barrel-per-day pipeline, which offers direct access to China and other Asian markets at a time Canada is trying to diversify oil exports away from the United States.

Trans Mountain confirmed via email that discussions are ongoing and requested the regulatory proceedings to be stopped in order to reach an agreement.

The Canadian Energy Regulator confirmed that it is reviewing this request. Shippers did not respond to an immediate request for comments. The dispute over tolls, which has lasted for more than two years, has made the Canadian government's plans of selling the Trans Mountain Pipeline uncertain.

Ottawa, which purchased the pipeline in 2018 for C$4.5billion ($3.21billion) to save the expansion project from years of regulatory delays, cost increases and cost increases, started informal talks with Indigenous groups in 2023 to explore their interest to a possible equity stake.

Analysts believe it will be difficult for a private or Indigenous group to purchase the pipeline until the dispute over tolling is resolved and Trans Mountain's revenue potential in the long term is known.

Uncertainty about the final toll

The C$34-billion expansion completed in 2024 tripled pipeline capacity but the price was almost quintuple of a 2017 estimate.

Trans Mountain Corp will cover approximately 70% of the cost overruns, but the remaining $9 billion is to be covered by tolls in accordance with a formula that was agreed upon by shippers and approved more than 10 years ago by the Canada Energy Regulator.

Trans Mountain estimated that contracted shippers would pay almost twice as much in 2017. Spot shippers are charged even more.

Shippers are pushing back on the higher tolls. They claim they're not responsible for construction cost overruns. Canada Energy Regulator was scheduled to hold an hearing on tolls in the next month. Trans Mountain has had less traffic than expected since the start of the expansion in May 2024. This is partly due to the higher tolls.

Analysts say that if the toll structure is lower than what Trans Mountain wants, it could affect the price of the pipeline and make it more difficult to recover its construction costs.

Mark Maki, CEO of Trans Mountain, said in June that he believed the Canadian government could recover its investment in pipelines but should delay the sale until the uncertainties surrounding tolling and usage are resolved.

(source: Reuters)