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Air Canada's core profit for 2026 is slightly higher than expected due to international demand

Air Canada's forecast for 2026 core profits was marginally higher than Wall -Street expectations on Thursday. The company attributed this to a strong demand on international routes outside of the U.S., and an increase in premium travel.

International travel remains a relative bright light, even as domestic demand is showing signs of slowing down. This has cushioned carriers with large overseas networks.

The Canadian carrier has been able to offset the softness on U.S. Canada routes with strong long-haul bookings, and a resilient demand for premium cabins.

Analysts expect the Canadian flag carrier to achieve adjusted earnings before taxes, interest, depreciation, and amortization of C$3,35 billion ($2,46 billion),?to C$3,75 billion annually, as opposed to an average expectation of C$3.5billion.

The airline anticipates that its?seat mile capacity, which is a key measure for passenger capacity, will rise between 3.5% to 5.5% by 2026.

The company noted that it had a strong booking momentum for 2026, as well as opportunities from future fleet investments.

Analysts at TD Cowen stated that "Inflation due to its labor agreements and delayed aircraft deliveries" will put pressure on CASMex (cost-per-available seat mile excluding the cost of fuel) by 2026.

Air Canada announced plans last month to expand its winter schedule in Europe and Latin America, as the demand for these regions remains strong, despite some parts of North America losing momentum.

As part of the fleet renewal, earlier this week it ordered eight widebody 'Airbus A350-1000' jets with an option for eight more. The aim was to improve its long-haul offering and fuel efficiency.

The Canadian carrier reported net?income for the fourth quarter of C$296million, or C$1per share. This compares to a loss in the previous year of C$644million, or C$1.81per share.

Air Canada reported total operating revenue of C$5.77billion, up from C$5.40billion a year ago. (1 Canadian dollar = 1.3616 dollars) (Reporting and editing by Sriraj Kalluvila, Krishna Chandra Eluri and Shivansh Tiwary in Bengaluru)

(source: Reuters)