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Air Canada cancels its 2026 fuel demand forecast due to the Iran War

Air Canada lowered its full-year profit forecast for the year on Thursday as the war in Iran increased jet fuel prices and clouded the outlook.

Fuel prices have almost doubled since the start of the conflict, trapping airlines between rising expenses and tickets purchased months in advance with 'fixed fares.

The surge in demand has forced airlines to adopt a mitigation strategy, resulting in capacity cuts, fare increases, and increased fees for services like checked baggage.

Air Canada also reduced some flights to New York in the future to cut fuel costs.

The carrier announced a core profit forecast for the second quarter and said it expected to report an adjusted EBITDA of between C$575m and C$725m.

Air Canada CEO Michael Rousseau stated that, "Supported with solid demand, we expect to offset between 50-60% of the estimated additional fuel expenses through various commercial and costs actions."

It reported a first-quarter net income of C$48m, or C$0.16 per share. This compares to a loss of C$102m, or C$0.40 a share, one year earlier. The?carrier's adjusted loss per share was C$0.05

The Canadian flag carrier estimated its 2026 adjusted earnings, before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, in the range C$3,35 billion ($2,47 billion), to C$3,75 billion. (1 Canadian dollar = 1.3584 dollars) (Reporting and editing by Sriraj K. Kalluvila in Bengaluru)

(source: Reuters)