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Gulf crisis affects Australian and New Zealand companies, from airlines to banks

The U.S. and Israel war against Iran is causing financial stress for companies in Australia and New Zealand. Higher fuel prices are causing inflation, affecting consumer and business confidence and weighing on corporate earnings.

Some of the companies in Australia and New Zealand have reported an impact on their business from the Middle East conflict.

Air New Zealand

New Zealand's Flag carrier predicted its largest annual pre-tax loss in four years two months after withdrawing their earlier 2026 forecast, as the Iran War pushed up jet oil prices, increasing costs and adding pressure from weak demand, fleet constraints, and increased costs.

Air New Zealand forecasts its annual pre-tax losses between NZ$340 and NZ$390 ($201.8 million-$231.5 millions), a change from last year's NZ$189million profit.

Air NZ announced a price increase in March after suspending its 'earnings forecast for the full year.

Auckland International Airport

Auckland International Airport in New Zealand said that flights to the Middle East from Auckland were affected.

In March, the number of passengers on Middle Eastern routes dropped by 81% and seat capacity fell by 73% compared to a year earlier, according to airport operator.

a2 Milk:

New Zealand's A2 Milk has cut its profit forecast for fiscal 2026 as higher freight costs resulting from the conflict, and temporary disruptions in the supply chain have affected the availability of the infant formula under the China label on its largest market.

Cleanaway Waste Management:

The company's full-year earnings forecast was cut by A$20,000,000 ($14.17million), due mainly to higher costs, reduced activity and timing differences of cost recovery.

Cochlear:

Cochlear, an Australian manufacturer of hearing implants, has lowered its profit forecast for 2026 due to a?weaker trade in developed markets'. The company cited slower surgical volumes and consumer sentiment as reasons.

The Middle East War has increased the risk of order cancellations and delivery delays, as well as a higher exposure to receivables. This will also worsen margin pressures and increase restructuring costs.

Fletcher Building

Fletcher Building in New Zealand said that it is 'indirectly exposed to the Middle East conflict through supply chains, freight lines, energy costs and the wider economic impact of construction demand throughout Australasia.

Construction materials manufacturer expects to increase prices in all divisions. Plastics, where the company claims immediate exposure is present, will experience price increases of up to 36%. Other divisions can expect a 1%-5% increase.

Flight Centre Travel:

Flight Centre Travel, an Australian corporate travel manager, said that hostilities in Middle East temporarily disrupted international travel patterns. It estimated a profit impact of A$10,000,000 on its leisure segment in April.

The firm expects foreign exchange headwinds to occur in the fourth quarter due to the translation of overseas profits, given the strength the Australian dollar. Its cost margin also fell from 9.2% during the third quarter, as it implemented measures such as freezing support roles.

Fonterra:

Fonterra, the New Zealand dairy company, said that the conflict could impact its supply chain and increase its inventory and costs during the second half of the year. It also contributed to the volatility in global commodity price.

National Australia Bank

National Australia Bank expects to incur a credit impairment charge of A$706 ($504.44 millions) in the first fiscal half of 2026.

NAB stated that the volatility of interest rates in the second quarter, the weakening New Zealand dollar, and the increase in provisioning would result in a reduction of the common equity tier one capital ratio for the group by approximately 20 basis points on March 31.

The company also plans to apply a discount of 1.5% to its dividend reinvestment program for the first half to raise A$1.8 billion and help strengthen its balance sheet.

Orora:

Orora, a packaging company, has lowered its earnings forecasts for its French subsidiary Saverglass. It also cancelled its share-buyback program citing war impacts.

Due to the closures of shipping routes, the company also stopped bottle production in its glass production plant at Ras al-Khaimah (United Arab Emirates).

Qantas:

Qantas Airways is Australia's national carrier. It has raised its fuel costs outlook for the second part of the year by up to A$800m. However, it says that its planned A$150m share buyback program has yet to begin, citing the volatile and sharply increased jet fuel prices.

Qantas has raised fares to offset the rising cost of its flights and shifted them towards stronger routes, such as Paris or Rome, where demand is still strong. They have also reduced their domestic capacity in the second quarter by approximately 5 percentage points.

Qube Holdings

Qube estimates that the Middle East conflict will have an impact on its EBITA of between A$10 and A$20 million for fiscal 2026.

The logistics firm stated that recent events could encourage an increase in investment in alternative energy projects which would be beneficial to the company.

Virgin Australia

Virgin Australia expects a rise in fuel costs of between A$30 and A$40million ($21.39 to $28.52million) during the second half fiscal 2026.

In mid-March, the airline announced that it would be adjusting its fares due to the rising costs in the aviation industry.

Westpac:

Westpac, Australia’s second largest bank by assets, has said that energy market shocks were causing profit pressures in the first half the financial year ending March 31. This led the lender to increase its credit provisions.

Westpac's net margin for its Treasury and Markets division has been?weaker due to interest rate volatility related to the conflict. A weaker outlook is already leading credit provisioning up.

Westpac has increased its provision for bad debts since the COVID-19 pandemic.

Woolworths:

Woolworths, Australia's largest grocery store, has said that the Middle East conflict is creating significant uncertainty for both customers and suppliers. This will increase the already high cost of living.

Fuel price pressures, customer retention investments and fuel price increases will all affect the firm's forecasted growth in the domestic food segment for fiscal 2026.

Woolworths has also announced that it will freeze the prices of 300 household staples from May 1 for a period of three months. This is due to cost pressures imposed by Australian suppliers as a result conflict.

Worley:

Worley estimated that the negative impact of the Middle East Conflict on its underlying EBITA in fiscal 2026 will be between A$30 and A$40 Million.

The Australian engineering company warned that it would not be able to grow its underlying EBITA by more than 5% in fiscal 2026 but it continued to aim for higher revenue growth than fiscal 2025.

(source: Reuters)