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EasyJet's outlook is uncertain as fuel prices rise and bookings decline

EasyJet, a British budget airline, reported a loss of £552 million ($741.39 millions) in the first half on Thursday. However the outlook for the full year remains uncertain due to the Iran War driving up fuel prices and bookings slipping during the summer peak season.

The warning comes at a time when the Iran conflict is continuing to "disrupt" global aviation. Jet fuel prices have risen by more than 80% in the last few months, forcing airlines to raise fares or cut capacity, and even absorb margin pressure, as flow through the Strait of Hormuz has been constrained.

In recent weeks, European airlines have reduced their profit expectations as fuel prices rise due to the possibility of a prolonged war and as hedges expire. Easyjet's 552 million-pound first-half loss was in line with the 540 to 560 million-pound loss that it warned about in April. EasyJet's Chief Executive Kentonjarvis stated that "our strategy is clear" - we will bounce back this year from the Middle East related setbacks through accelerated upgrades, disciplined growth and continued expansion of easyJet Holidays.

The FUEL COST SURGE Tests Outlook

Fuel costs were flagged by analysts as a "major risk".

This is where things are dicey. The 72% hedge of $726 provides some protection but not immunity. EasyJet's spot price is $1,350, and every $100 change in the fuel cost amounts to approximately PS35m. Duncan Ferris, an investment writer for Freetrade, wrote in a report that EasyJet was "a little exposed".

The second-half bookings accounted for 58%, a sign of a change in consumer behavior as travellers choose to book nearer their departure date and select destinations closer to home.

In-month bookings were strong on an annual basis. This indicates a continuing shift towards later booking patterns.

It has already started'reallocating capacity towards domestic and city routes' to respond to the weaker demand for long-haul destinations in eastern Mediterranean. The airline also plans to launch in 2027 a loyalty program aimed at retaining customers.

(source: Reuters)