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Gulf crisis affects Australian and New Zealand companies, from airlines to banks

The U.S. and Israel war against Iran is causing financial stress for companies in Australia and New Zealand. Higher fuel prices are stoking inflation, reducing consumer and business confidence and weighing on corporate earnings.

Some of the companies in Australia and New Zealand have made an impact.

Air New Zealand: New Zealand’s flag carrier predicted its largest annual pre-tax losses in four years. This was two months after withdrawing their earlier 2026 forecast, as the Iran War pushed up jet oil prices, increasing costs, and compounding the pressure of weak demand and fleet restrictions. Air New Zealand has forecast a loss of between NZ$340 and NZ$390 (between $201.8 million and $2231.5 million) for the year. This is a significant change from last year's NZ$189million profit. Air NZ announced in March that it had suspended its earnings forecast for the full year and raised fares because of volatility in jet fuel prices. It was one of first airlines to announce a price increase.

Auckland International Airport, New Zealand: Auckland International Airport reported that flights to the Middle East from Auckland were affected.

In March, the number of passengers on Middle Eastern routes dropped by 81% and seat capacity fell by 73% compared to a year earlier, according to airport operator.

a2 milk: New Zealand-based a2 Milch cut its profit forecast for fiscal 2026 as increased freight costs due the conflict and temporary disruptions in the supply chain affected the availability of the China-label formula infant milk product on its largest market.

Cleanaway Waste Management: The company has slashed the full-year forecast for operating earnings by approximately A$20,000,000 ($14.17million), due largely to higher costs, reduced activity, and differences in timing of cost recovery.

Cochlear, an Australian manufacturer of hearing implants, has lowered its profit forecast for 2026 due to a?weaker trade in developed markets', citing lower surgical volumes, less hearing-aid referrals, and softer consumer confidence.

The Middle East War has increased the risk of order cancellations and delivery delays, as well as a higher exposure to receivables. This will also worsen margin pressures and increase restructuring costs.

Fletcher Building

Fletcher Building in New Zealand said that it is 'indirectly exposed to the Middle East conflict through supply chains, freight lines, energy costs and the wider economic impact of construction demand throughout Australasia.

Construction materials manufacturer expects to increase prices in all divisions as a result of passing on costs to its customers. Plastics, where the company claims immediate exposure is present, will experience price increases of up to 36%. Other divisions will only see a 1%-5% increase.

Flight Centre Travel:

Flight Centre Travel, an Australian corporate travel manager, has lowered its profit forecasts for 2026. They cited a drop in international leisure travel due to the Gulf Conflict.

The company now expects to earn a profit before taxes of A$275 to A$295 millions for the fiscal year ending June 30. This is down from the previous target?of A$310 to A$345million.

The company revised its estimate for the leisure segment from A$10 to A$50, up from the original estimate made in April.

Fonterra: New Zealand dairy manufacturer Fonterra stated that the conflict is impacting their supply chain and could increase their inventory levels and costs during the second half of the year.

National Australia Bank: National Australia Bank expects to incur credit loss charges of A$706 ($504.44 millions) in the first fiscal half of 2026.

NAB stated that the volatility of interest rates in the second quarter, the weaker New Zealand Dollar and the increase in provisioning would result in a reduction of the common equity tier one capital ratio for the group by approximately 20 basis points on March 31.

The company also plans to apply a discount of 1.5% to its dividend reinvestment program for the first half to raise A$1.8 billion and help strengthen its balance sheet.

Orora Packaging Company: Orora has lowered its earnings forecasts for its French division Saverglass, and cancelled the share buyback program. The company cited the impact of war.

Due to the closures of shipping routes, the company also stopped bottle production in its glass production plant at Ras al-Khaimah (United Arab Emirates).

Qantas Airways: Qantas Airways is Australia's national carrier. It has raised its fuel costs outlook for the second half of the year up to A$800m. However, it still hasn't started the planned A$150m share buyback, citing the volatile and sharply increased jet fuel prices.

Qantas has raised fares to offset the rising cost of its flights and shifted them towards stronger routes, such as Paris or Rome, where demand is still strong. They have also reduced their domestic capacity in the second quarter by approximately 5 percentage points.

Qube Holdings: Qube anticipates that the Middle East conflict will have an impact on its?EBITA earnings of between A$10 and A$20 million in fiscal 2026.

The logistics firm stated that recent events could encourage an increase in investment in alternative energy projects. This could be beneficial for the company.

Virgin Australia: Virgin Australia said that it expected fuel costs to increase by around A$30 to A$40 Million ($21.39 to $28.52 millions) in the second half fiscal 2026. In mid-March, the airline announced that it would be adjusting its fares due to rising costs in the aviation industry.

Westpac: Westpac is Australia's second-largest bank in terms of assets. The lender said that the energy market shocks caused by the conflict led to profit pressures during the first half the financial year ending March 31. This prompted the lender to increase its credit provisions.

Westpac's net interest margin for its Treasury and Markets division has been weakened amid the interest rate volatility related to the conflict. A weaker outlook is already leading to higher credit provisioning.

Westpac has increased its provision for bad debts since the COVID-19 pandemic.

Woolworths Woolworths is the largest Australian supermarket. It said that the Middle East conflict had created uncertainty for both customers and suppliers, adding to the already high cost of living.

Fuel price pressures and investments in customer retention will also affect the firm's forecast for fiscal 2026.

Woolworths has also announced that it will freeze the prices of 300 household staples from May 1 for three months, as cost pressures imposed by conflict on Australian suppliers have pushed up prices across all supermarkets.

Worley: Worley, an engineering firm, said that it had nearly doubled the projected underlying operating income for its full-year due to project delays. The Sydney-based firm expects to take a A$60 million hit, up from a previous estimate of A$30-40 million.

(source: Reuters)