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India's largest refiner is looking to buy stakes in US gas carriers, as it prepares for higher US imports
According to a document describing a bid, India's largest refiner, the Indian Oil Corp. (IOC), wants to buy a 50% stake in large gas carriers. IOC will be the first refiner in India to own VLGCs. The company relies on LPG and crude oil tankers that are leased for a specific period of time. IOC did not respond immediately to an email request for comment. Indian state-owned fuel retailers will increase their purchases of U.S. cooking gas (LPG) from 2027. A trader in Asian LPG said that U.S. LPG was typically more expensive to Indian?buyers due to the longer journey and higher freight 'costs. The trader stated that the biggest problem in purchasing U.S. LPG was not the availability, but rather freight rates. According to the tender document that was sent to a small number of companies, IOC is looking for VLGCs of between 80,000 and 93,500 cubic meters, with a maximum age of 12 years. The document stated that bidders could offer up to two VLGCs. However, IOC did not specify how many vessels they intend to purchase. The document stated that IndianOil LNG is an IOC joint venture and reserves the right of acquiring one or more vessels through the tender. IOC will host a pre-bid meeting on August 5. Commercial and technical bids are due by September 7. The document also stated that the vessels would be re-flagged in India following the acquisition. (Reporting and editing by Kevin Buckland; Nidhh Verma)
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Adani Ports' first-quarter profits rise on strong cargo volumes
Adani Ports &?Special Economic Zone announced a 9.2% increase in its first-quarter profit on Wednesday. The net profit for the quarter ended June 30 rose from 33.15billion rupees to?36.2billion rupees (?378.37m) compared with a year earlier. The positive results are amidst a challenging global?shipping climate, where uncertainty in trade flows clouds the 'outlook for the logistics sector as a whole. The ports and logistics industry has been supported by a steady domestic demand despite disruptions in global trade flows. In afternoon trading, shares of Adani Ports (which operates 19 ports in four countries) were down 2.1%. Adani Ports 'forecast a slower growth rate in 2027 for April. They expect core earnings to increase?9%-14%, and revenue to rise 11%-16% due to disruptions of global trade caused by the?U.S. - Iran conflict and the Strait od Hormuz Blockade.
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Iran rejects regional management of the Hormuz Strait, destroying hopes for a breakthrough
A senior Iranian official said that Iran had rejected Oman's proposal to manage the Strait of Hormuz regionally. This quashed hopes of a quick diplomatic breakthrough. Official: The plan has no chance of success. The official said that Iran and Oman should manage the Strait of Hormuz in their own respective control areas, without other powers' involvement. He spoke after sources reported that Gulf states had supported the Omani plan. The plan suggested that voluntary fees could collected for the use of the strategic waterway to?end disruptions in trade caused by conflict. Officials from the United States, Saudi Arabia, and Oman are 'trying to pressure Oman to accept what they call unrealistic plans. They said that the Strait of Hormuz inbound and outbound routes would all be under Iranian control. He said that Iran respected Oman as a valuable neighbor and mediator but that a 50/50 agreement under which both countries would have equal control was not in Iran's best interests. He said that Oman should supervise the section of the Strait under its control. Southern routes through the Strait which pass through Omani waters could be dangerous to shipping. The U.S. and Iran war has been stalled by the struggle to control the Strait. This narrow waterway connects the Gulf with the Indian Ocean and is the main shipping route for a fifth or more of the world's oil and other essential goods. Since the beginning of the war, it has been blocked in large part. A Gulf source and an?Western diplomatic told us on Tuesday that Oman proposed putting the Strait under regional control with voluntary fees to help pay for navigation, environmental protection and search and rescue services. Plan is based upon similar arrangements made for the Strait of Malacca, which connects the Indian Ocean with the Pacific Ocean, where Indonesia Malaysia and Singapore ask for voluntary contributions to pay for service. Prior to the war, shipping was allowed through the Strait. It is located in the territorial waters of Iran and Oman, but is regarded by most as a 'international waterway. As the war continues, Iran, along with Oman, has claimed a right it claims to have to control the Strait of Hormuz and impose shipping fees. (Written by Elwely Elwelly, James Mackenzie and Andrew Heavens; edited by Muralikumar Aantharaman)
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Aena increases traffic forecast due to Middle East unrest re-directing travellers to Spain
Aena, the Spanish airport operator, raised its forecast for 2026 passenger traffic growth to 3% on 'Wednesday. This was due to higher first-half profits and a surge in tourist arrivals as Middle East unrest diverted travelers to destinations along the southern Mediterranean. Aena predicted a 1.3% annual passenger traffic increase for 2026, up from 3.9% in 2017. Aena released a statement that said, "Since the beginning of (Strait of Hormuz), we have observed an increase in travel demand to Spain. It is perceived as being a safe destination for tourists." In the first six months of this year, the company's Spanish airports welcomed?156.2 millions passengers, an increase of 3.7% over the same period last year. Spain is the second most visited country in the world after France. Aena's performance was in line with analyst expectations. The increased passenger traffic helped to boost the first-half revenue by 10%, or EUR3,28 billion. Due to the increased uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict, the operator said it would have limited visibility in the second half of the year.
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Portugal is awaiting binding bids from Air France-KLM and Lufthansa for TAP
Portugal will?receive binding offers on Wednesday from 'Air - France-KLM and Lufthansa to acquire a minority stake of TAP. This is the beginning of the final battle over one Europe's last remaining independent flag carriers. Lisbon has relaunched the long-delayed TAP privatisation, with a view to selling a 44.9% share to a strategic partner that can boost TAP's global reach and competitiveness. TAP should be part of an airline group. The government says that EU rules on state aid prevent the company from receiving further public funding, leaving it vulnerable to global shocks in future. Air France-KLM and Lufthansa were the only contenders in the April non-binding bids. The government described both offers as "largely equal?and extremely ambitious" from a strategic, industrial, and financial perspective. Wednesday,?5 pm (1600 GMT), is the deadline for binding offers. The latest target of Europe's airline merger drive is TAP's 'CONSOLIDATION WINDS'. This year, Lufthansa acquired a stake of 41% in Italy's flag airline ITA Airways. It joins a stable which includes SWISS Austrian Airlines, Brussels Airlines, and SWISS. Air France-KLM expanded its investment portfolio to include Scandinavian airline SAS. Both groups said that they were interested in buying TAP, and their experience of integrating airlines and preserving brands and hubs will help secure TAP’s future. Beyond the highest bidder TAP's main attraction is the lucrative and prized slots that link its Lisbon hub to?Brazil and Portuguese-speaking African Countries?and U.S.A., which are key routes for Portugal’s diaspora and tourism, as well as investment. In contrast to a traditional privatisation, Infrastructure minister Miguel Pinto Luz stated this?month "this is a strategy decision that shouldn't be reduced merely?to the price". The Government wants TAP to be the next partner in supporting growth in Portugal. This includes Porto, Faro, Azores, and Madeira. Bernstein analysts valued TAP's stake of 44.9% at approximately EUR700 million ($798m), based upon a valuation for the airline of EUR1.5billion. The government hasn't disclosed the values of non-binding offers.
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Martin Vladimirov: The race for economic security is driving Europe's energy transformation.
Europe is less vulnerable to disruptions in energy supplies since the Russia crisis of 2022, but the region still faces a new threat: high energy costs that are destroying the industrial base on the continent. Europe has fared relatively well so far in the global energy crunch caused by the Iran War that began on 28 February. This is largely due to massive investments made in LNG terminals, mandatory storage, and an increased reliance on U.S. Liquefied Natural Gas. The price of?gas in Europe has risen but the region is not yet in crisis mode, like it was after Russia invaded Ukraine. The conflict in Iran has shown that Europe is vulnerable to geopolitical instability, shipping disruptions and the competition from Asian LNG buyers. Since imported fossil fuels are the main factor in determining electricity prices, any external shock could lead to higher costs for European consumers and industry. By the end of 2025, European electricity and natural gas prices had fallen by 34% and 14 %, respectively, compared to their averages in 2022. But they were still about 50% and 38% higher than pre-war prices. The impact of higher energy prices on the European economy has already been significant. Between 2019 and 2023, the continent lost over one million industrial jobs. According to Handelsblatt, Germany, which was once considered "Europe's growth motor", will lose another 143,000 jobs in 2025. The reasons for this include pandemic-related disruptions and higher inflation, as well as increased competition in advanced manufacturing from China. However, the high energy prices played a significant role because they made it harder for European manufacturers compete. If electricity is not affordable, Europe risks a faster deindustrialisation. AFFORDABILITY CRISIS The Center for the Study of Democracy's 2026 Energy and Climate Security Risk Index shows that affordability is now the biggest source of energy security risks for most European economies. The affordability risk fell 13% on an annual basis in 2025, but was still much higher than it was in 2021. Over the long term, countries that are most dependent on fossil energy sources, such as Poland, Bulgaria and Romania, will face higher energy costs, and a lower level of industrial competitiveness. Sweden, Finland and France are among the most resilient energy-producing countries in Europe. These countries combine low-carbon energy, such as nuclear and hydropower with rapidly growing solar and wind power and high levels of electrification. According to Electricity Maps, when the Iran War disrupted LNG flow through the Strait of Hormuz, in March, the average wholesale electricity price in Germany was higher than that in Finland, Sweden, and France, by EUR61 per megawatt-hour, EUR33 per megawatt-hour, and EUR35 for each, respectively. Gas is rarely the main factor in setting power prices for these highly electrified systems. In Finland and Sweden electricity already makes up around 30% of the final energy consumption, which is far higher than in most of Europe. France's electric system receives over 70% of it from nuclear power. The long-standing debate in Europe over nuclear energy versus renewables may not be the right one. Combining both produces the best-performing electricity system. GROWING PAINS Unfortunately, Europe lacks the necessary institutional framework to quickly and reliably deploy a more efficient energy system across the continent. It is true that Europe's electric system is changing with unprecedented speed. According to Eurostat, the installed solar capacity of several Central and Eastern European nations almost quadrupled from 2021-2025. The EU battery storage also increased by 10 times. The rapid growth of renewables that are intermittent puts increasing pressure on the electricity grids and storage systems. Last year's Iberian Blackout highlighted these vulnerabilities. Countries that combine renewables with reliable, low-carbon generation, stronger interconnections and greater investment ?in grid infrastructure appear to be significantly more resilient than their more fossil-fuel-dependent peers. The new nuclear project is also plagued by fragmented regulations, long permitting processes, financial constraints, and supply-chain bottlenecks, which drive up construction costs and cause delays. What can you do? Instead of treating each project as an individual national undertaking, the EU should develop common deployment programs based on standard procedures and commercially viable funding models, which would allow for successful designs and delivery methods to be quickly replicated across multiple countries. Keep up in the?AI Race This race for energy security is being accelerated by the race to create a competitive AI eco-system. AI data centres and advanced semi-conductor manufacturing require huge quantities of reliable low-carbon energy. Also, they rely on a secure supply chain for raw materials such as batteries, semiconductors, and advanced grid equipment. These are areas in which Europe is heavily dependent on Chinese manufacturers. If Europe does not diversify these supply chains, then it runs the risk of replacing one strategic dependence with another. Energy security in the AI era is not just about supplying energy. It is about whether or not the continent has enough clean, affordable and reliable electricity to maintain industrial competitiveness, technology leadership, and economic sovereignty. The countries who understand this shift will define Europe's future decade. Those who do not understand this shift will be left behind. You like this column? Check out Open Interest, your new essential source for global financial commentary. Follow ROI on LinkedIn and X. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast daily on Apple, Spotify or the app. Subscribe to the Morning Bid podcast and hear journalists discussing the latest news in finance and markets seven days a weeks. (By Martin Vladimirov, Edited by Margueritachoy and Anna Szymanski).
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AI race replaces e-commerce growth engine in Asian air cargo
As cross-border ecommerce loses steam, the global race to develop artificial intelligence is changing Asia's air freight map. Airlines are redesigning their networks to focus on growing semiconductor manufacturing centers. Airlines and logistics companies claim that unlike the parcel boom following the pandemic, the 'demand for AI infrastructure' is backed by multi-year orders of advanced memory chips and processing units and hundreds of millions of dollars in?planned? investment into data centres. Moreover, the tighter import regulations in the U.S.A. and Europe that have been affecting the recent growth of the e-commerce industry are dampening it. When Xeneta's freight analytics company released its mid-year forecast this month, Niall van de Wouw said that e-commerce used to be the single largest growth pillar for air freight. Korean Air Lines is one of the most obvious examples of this transition. Cargo revenue grew 46% to 1.54 trillion won ($1.07billion) in the second quarter, driven by AI chips and server racks. The airline said that these items had replaced ecommerce from China as their primary growth engine. Jaedong Eum is the executive vice president of Korean Air and head its cargo division. He said that high-tech advanced cargo has "rapidly expanded" as a key growth driver. He said that the demand is unusually obvious, as orders for high-bandwidth processors and memory chips are already two to three year out, even though supply continues to be insufficient. According to Xeneta, global semiconductor sales in April more than doubled from the previous year. This is the strongest growth in records dating back to 1986. China's low value and ecommerce exports, on the other hand, fell 7% in may, marking its sixth consecutive month of decline. Last year, the U.S. stopped granting duty-free treatment to low-value imports coming from China. This month, the European Union also eliminated its own threshold for duty-free goods. Shein, a fast-fashion retailer, said that the changes have hurt its U.S. operations and are expected to cause further headwinds in Europe. Japan's ANA ?Holdings said in a statement that the EU move was ?a downside risk for the broader cargo market even as semiconductor-related shipments remained strong. REDRAWING TRADE ROUTES Changes in the cargo mix are also changing trade routes throughout Asia. Japan exports semiconductor production equipment, South Korea makes advanced memory chips, and Taiwan is the center of cutting-edge chip manufacturing. Vietnam, Malaysia and Thailand are becoming increasingly important hubs of manufacturing and assembly for AI servers that will be shipped to North America and Europe. The first-half freight throughput at Singapore Changi Airport increased 8.7% on an annual basis, mainly due to the strong demand for semiconductors in the world, according to Lim Ching Kiat. He is the executive vice president of the airport group responsible for air hubs and cargo development. The airlines are reorganizing themselves around these flows. Japan Airlines reported that technology products accounted?for about 80% of a rise in air exports out of Asia, excluding China during the last year. This highlights how semiconductors and AI-related equipment are reshaping the regional cargo flow. It has increased freighter services connecting semiconductor hubs like Taipei and Bangkok with Tokyo Narita Airport. ANA announced that it would be integrating Nippon Cargo Airlines in order to move more large freighters - on to trans-Pacific and European route while using its Asian Network to funnel semiconductor cargo out of manufacturing hubs throughout the region. China Airlines, a Taiwanese carrier, has increased its Southeast Asia freighter flights as manufacturers diversify their production. The demand for AI-related cargo helped to increase cargo volumes by 8.1% during the first half year. EVA Airways reported that AI-related shipments account for as much as half of their cargo revenue. AI hardware, according to airlines, requires different handling than traditional air freight, because it often includes high-value semiconductor manufacturing gear, graphics processors, and complete server racks. IATA, the airline group, estimates that AI-related cargo will account for 53.5% in value of all goods transported by air in 2025. However, it will only make up 7% of total cargo volume. AI hardware, unlike much of the e-commerce goods, is small, valuable, and can be time-critical for data centres to stay on schedule. This makes air transportation worth it. Cathay Pacific Airways has announced that it has introduced a software program to automatically determine how sensitive semiconductor equipment and AI Hardware should be loaded into aircraft. This surge is also straining the cargo infrastructure. Dimerco Express Group reported that AI and semiconductor shipments filled Taiwan's Taipei airport cargo hub in July to capacity, causing freight space to be tight on routes into the U.S. Eum, Korean Air's CEO, said that the demand for cargo would continue to be strong through 2026. Reporting by Julie Zhu and Lisa Baertlein, Los Angeles. Editing by Jamie Freed.
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Sources say Iran will receive shoulder-launched Chinese missile systems within weeks.
Three sources with knowledge of the deal said that Iran will receive a first shipment within weeks out of 400 shoulder-fired air defence missile launchers made by China, as they rebuild their defenses in the midst of war with the United States. The purchase is valued between $60 and 70 million and represents one of Tehran's most visible efforts to improve its short-range defences following the start of the 'war' with Israel and the U.S., which revealed gaps in Iran’s ability to defend military sites and strategic assets. Sources said that the contract includes the purchase of 300 to 400 man-portable Air Defence Systems (MANPADS), which include QW-12 and FN-16 Chinese missiles. Sources say that Zhongqing Baoshang International Investment in Hong Kong acted as an intermediary for the Iranians and the Chinese supplier. IRAN MUST REARM AFTER WAR FOR MONTHS Sources spoke under condition of anonymity due to the sensitive nature of the subject. The Iranian Foreign Ministry did not respond immediately to a request for comment. The Chinese Foreign Ministry stated: "The reports in question are totally unfounded." China has always played an important role in ending conflict and promoting peace. The parent company of Zhongqing Baoshang International Investment, Zhong Qing Bao Shang Group based in Beijing, did not respond immediately to an email on Tuesday. After months of conflict in which the U.S., Israel and other countries have attacked Iran's missile, drone, and air-defence programs, Tehran has responded with a barrage of ballistic missiles, drones, and other weapons. The conflict has brought to light the difficulty of defending strategic and military sites from advanced aircraft and precision guided weapons. Washington suspended its bombardment of Syria for two weeks on Saturday. But President Donald Trump said that if the conflict was not resolved through negotiations, then strikes would resume. The five-month conflict has been in a ceasefire in theory since April. The delivery of hundreds?MANPADS will significantly increase Iran's short-range air defence weapons and highlight the deepening military ties between China and Iran. Sources warned that even though the agreement was signed, details such as delivery schedules and quantities could change. According to sources, the parties have agreed that deliveries will be made by air, first from Urumqi, in western China. Then, the delivery will transit through Pakistan and then to Iran. ISPR, Pakistan's military-affiliated public relations arm, said that the rumours about Pakistan supplying Air Defence arms to Iran via China were "absolutely concocted" and "false." The Pakistani Foreign Ministry spokesperson did not respond when asked for comment. Sources say that China and Iran should explore land routes for delivery. Military experts claim that Iran has made significant investments in missiles, radars and drones over the last two decades. However, they also say that portable air defence systems are more important than fixed batteries because they can easily be moved, operate by small teams, and be relocated. A?European source of security said that authorities in his country knew of several contracts being discussed involving possible sales of QW-series MANPADS systems to Iran. These included?QW-12 QW-18 QW-19. Second security source in the Middle East said Iran was seeking to buy QW-12 and QW-18 rockets but were unaware of a deal already being concluded. QW-12 and FN-16 surface-to-air missiles with infrared guidance are shoulder fired, designed to target low-flying aircraft such as helicopters, drones, etc. They can be quickly deployed around sensitive sites, such as energy infrastructure or military installations. Defence analysts consider the QW-12 to be 'less capable' than the newer QW versions, such as the QW-18 or QW-19. However, they say that the system can still provide a layer of protection at short range against drones and low flying targets. Iranian officials and two Western intelligence sources said that Tehran was also exploring the use of overland route to move Chinese military supply and dual-use components in a more discrete manner and with less disruption risk. The purchase highlights the Islamic Republic's continued reliance on domestic weapons production as well as foreign suppliers, despite sanctions and restrictions imposed on defence imports for years. According to sources familiar with the negotiations, it was reported previously that Iran and China were close to signing a separate deal to purchase anti-ship cruise weapons. Could not determine if the agreement was completed.
Sources say that China has been in contact with the Houthis of Yemen to allow ships to pass through the Red Sea.
Six sources familiar with the situation said that China held direct discussions with Yemen's Houthi movement to allow its tankers to navigate through the southern Red Sea, without being attacked. The Iran-aligned group had pledged to block access to Saudi ports.
The Houthis announced their 'blockade' on July 20th, opening a?new front?against U.S. allies and the Iran war? and expanding attacks on oil tankers transporting energy and other supplies beyond the Middle East.
According to sources, including a senior Iranian official, Beijing asked the Houthis to guarantee safe passage for their tankers.
Sources who declined to identify themselves due to the sensitive nature of the issue said that China was one of the first countries to directly contact the Houthis about transits across Bab el-Mandeb. Bab el-Mandeb is the strait between the Red Sea and Yemen, located on the eastern bank.
Sources say that China cleans vessels individually with a mouthhie.
Beijing wants to ensure that oil is exported from Saudi Arabian Red Sea terminals like Yanbu to plug the supply gap caused by Iran's effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz as it exits the Gulf.
Requests for comments from the Houthis media office, China's Transport Ministry and Iran's Foreign Ministry were not immediately responded to.
China's Foreign Ministry said that it closely follows developments in the Red Sea without confirming any talks with the Houthis. It added that sovereignty and security should be respected by all countries in the area, and the safety and free flow of international shipping should be maintained.
Mao Ning, the spokesperson for China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, said in a press conference on Wednesday that the country calls on all parties to resolve their differences and conflicts through dialogue and consultation and to de-escalate situations on the Red Sea.
According to Kpler analysis, LSEG and MarineTraffic data on ship tracking, at least four tankers loaded crude oil from Saudi ports bound towards China and transited Bab el-Mandeb after the Houthis declared their restrictions.
Two officials briefed on the situation by Tehran said that both sides had informed Iran about their actions. According to one source, Chinese officials cleared each vessel with the Houthis individually.
Houthis sent an email to international shipping companies warning that they may be attacked by the Houthis if their vessels load or discharge cargo in Saudi Arabian ports.
Two separate Chinese sources confirmed that some tankers trying enter the Red Sea via Bab el-Mandeb changed their course due to safety concerns.
TWO TANKERS CUT OFF THE STRAIT TO AVOID IT
According to an analysis of data from MarineTraffic and Lloyd's List Intelligence, both the New Champion and New Prime supertankers sailed out of the Gulf of Aden and into open water.
According to Kpler, and other ship tracking and industry data, the New Champion was 'due' to call at Yanbu to load oil. The New Prime, however, had already been loaded with oil.
The Hong Kong-based operator of the vessels, Associated Maritime did not respond immediately to a comment request.
Last week, the Houthis claimed that they carried out drone and missile strikes on two Saudi oil tanksers -?the Encelia' and?the Layla. The Encelia was confirmed by maritime security sources, but the Layla attack could not be immediately confirmed.
Average time to travel from Yanbu, through Bab el-Mandeb, to Asia is 16 days. The ship would take 50 days to sail around Africa and the west and south of Africa after turning north for the Suez Canal.
Two sources close to Houthis said that the Houthis maintain good relations with China, and they have worked closely together in the past, particularly on oil shipments from Saudi Arabia to China. Reporting by Jonathan Saul; Parisa Hafezi; Mohammed Ghobari; Timour Azhari; Florence Tan; Aizhuchen; Siyi Liu; and Sam Li. Additional reporting by Ethan Wang, Beijing; Editing and Kevin Liffey, Kevin Buckland.
(source: Reuters)