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Spot premiums on Russian June ESPO blend decline amid OPEC-driven increase in supply

Four traders reported that spot premiums for Russian ESPO blend crude oil dropped in June compared to May, amid abundant supply following OPEC+'s agreement to increase output for a 2nd month.

They said that the premiums for June-loading shipments fell to between $1.50 and $1.70 per barrel compared to ICE Brent, on a basis of delivered cargoes in Chinese ports. Two traders reported that May-loading crude oil cargoes were trading at premiums of up to $2.50 against ICE Brent despite a large export plan.

Early in May, the producer group OPEC+ decided to increase oil production for a second month in a row. The output will be increased by 411,000 barrels / day in June.

ESPO Blend, a lighter Russian oil grade that is loaded from the port of Kozmino in the Pacific to Asian markets is favored by Chinese refineries.

Two traders stated that the demand for June-loading ESPO blend was somewhat reserved. Cargoes were estimated to be plus $1.50-1.70 a barrel over ICE Brent.

A trader pointed out that the regional Murban oil grades prices were also weakening amid increased OPEC+ production plans and expected increases in supplies.

Third trader: plus $1.50 per barrel to ICE Brent at Chinese ports is a "reasonable price" for volumes of ESPO blend in June.

ESPO Blend Oil is traded 1.5 months before loading. This means that June cargoes will soon be sold out.

One of the traders stated that private Chinese refineries were the biggest buyers of Russian ESPO Blend loading from Kozmino at the moment, as state oil companies continued to show a cautious approach towards Russian oil purchases on the spot market.

Another trader on the ESPO Market said that the reason for the lower than expected demand in June for ESPO blend oil loading was the high amount of oil purchased for storage during the spring months. He said that demand for ESPO blend could increase after the summer holidays start due to increased fuel consumption in Asia. (Reporting in MOSCOW by Siyi Liu, and additional reporting in SINGAPORE by Aizhu Chan; editing by Jan Harvey).

(source: Reuters)