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Trump and Zelesnkiy talk about weapons and escalating Russian attacks
According to a report by Axios, U.S. president Donald Trump and Ukrainian president Volodymr Zelenskiy discussed Friday air defence weapons as well as the escalating Russian attacks on Ukraine. The call came a day following Trump's claim that he had an unsatisfactory conversation with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Hours after Trump's meeting with Putin, Russia pounded Kyiv in the capital with the biggest drone attack since the war began. Zelenskiy described the attack as "deliberately mass and cynical." Kyiv warned that Washington's decision to stop some weapons shipments to Ukraine would erode its defenses against airstrikes intensifying and battlefield advances. Germany has said that it is currently in negotiations to buy Patriot air defence systems as a bridge. Spiegel, citing sources in the government, reported that Trump spoke to German Chancellor Friedrich Merz Thursday. Spiegel reported Friday that the two leaders had discussed trade and Ukraine's situation, including its air defence. Reporting by Doina chiacu and Tim Gardner, Editing by Louise Heavens & Peter Graff
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The discount on Russian Urals oil sent to India has been the lowest since 2022.
Three traders on the Urals crude oil market reported that discounts for Russian's flagship Urals crude for delivery to Indian ports in August have decreased to their lowest levels since 2022 due to high demand and a shrinking supply. Traders said that the lower supply and narrowing discounts of Russian spot barrels will force Indian refiners into looking for alternatives like United Arab Emirates Murban or U.S. West Texas Intermediate grades. The shrinking discount shows that Moscow has managed to maintain its oil sales despite Western sanctions. However, its discounted oil becomes more expensive, even though it is still cheaper than alternative oil. The traders reported that spot discounts for Urals crude for cargoes arriving to India in August were reduced to an average of $1.70-2 per barrelle to Brent dated on delivery ex ship (DES) basis, down from $2.50 to $2.50 a barrel for Brent dated on DES basis for July. This is the smallest discount on Urals oil cargoes compared to Brent dated in Indian ports, since the Ukraine War broke out in the year 2022. Since April of this year, the Russian oil grade has traded at a price that is largely below the $60 price per barrel cap set by the West. This allows Western companies to offer shipping and insurance services for the barrels. The traders stated that the high demand for Urals oil in India and Turkey - the two biggest buyers of this grade - is supporting the price. LSEG data shows that Turkey's imports from Russia of Urals crude reached their highest level in June since May 2024, due to healthy refinery margins as well as seasonal demand for motor gasolines. In July, the Urals oil loadings will decline from June due to increased refinery production in Russia. The Russian oil supply will also decline in August due to a planned shutdown of the Sakhalin-1 Project, which exports Sokol Oil. India is the biggest buyer of Russian crude oil after Moscow diverted energy away from the European Union which imposed an import ban in late 2022. Sources claim that several Indian refineries, which normally purchase Russian oil at the spot market, will not receive enough Urals oil to deliver in August. India is looking at building three new strategic reserves of oil to increase its emergency stockpile, and improve energy security. The deal signed between India's largest refiner Reliance Industries and Russian oil giant Rosneft in 2013 saw large volumes of Urals oil shipped to India. This has limited the amount of crude oil available on the spot market.
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French air traffic controllers strike for second day disrupts flights
The strike of French air traffic controllers is now in its second day, and many passengers are left stranded as Europe's busy travel season begins. The civil aviation agency DGAC has told airlines that 40% of flights will be cancelled at three of Paris' main airports this Friday due to the strike. Air traffic controllers claim the strike is caused by a lack of staff and outdated equipment. DGAC also said that up to half of the flights at France's airports in other regions, mainly the south, had been affected. Mariano Mignola said, "We are hostages to Paris", an Italian tourist stuck in Orly Airport with his two children. "Today, we had to return home. The first flight available is on July 8." He said, "We have no apartment, hotel, car, train or anything else. We can't even find a place to stay." "We're in a panic. The children are afraid and we don’t know what to say." The strike was deemed unacceptable by the French Transport Minister Philippe Tabarot, as well as Ryanair's boss Michael O'Leary who called it "another recreation strike of French air traffic controllers's unions". DGAC also warned that delays and disruptions could affect passengers in addition to cancellations. Airlines for Europe (A4E), a lobby group, announced late Thursday that 1,500 flight cancellations had occurred during the two-day walkout, affecting 300,00 passengers and causing delays. Reporting by Makini Brice, Conor Humphries Inti Landauro and Lucien Libert. Makini Brice, Ingrid Melander and Makini's team wrote the article. David Goodman, Mark Potter and Mark Potter edited the book.
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The June Russian Urals oil supply to SOCAR's STAR Refinery in Turkey reached a record high.
LSEG data and traders reported that Russian Urals oil supplied to Turkey's STAR refining facility, controlled by Azerbaijan SOCAR in June, reached a record high of 800,000 metric tonnes (about 195,000 barallons per day). STAR has a capacity exceeding 200,000 bpd, making it the largest refinery in Turkey. SOCAR and Russia's Lukoil signed a long-term contract in 2023 for oil supplies. Traders said that the STAR refinery receives the majority of its crude oil from Lukoil. SOCAR did not immediately respond to an inquiry for comment. LSEG data shows that Turkey increased its purchases of Urals Oil in June to 1.6 millions tons - the most since May 2024. The rise in prices is due to the return of Turkish refiner Tupras to the Russian market. They had stopped buying Urals earlier in the year because of sanctions but resumed their purchases when Russian oil started to trade below $60 per barrel, the price cap set by Western countries. According to LSEG, the purchases by Tupras refineries in Izmit & Izmir accounted approximately the same volume of the STAR refinery – about 200,000 bpd per month in June. Azerbaijan has accused Moscow of extrajudicial killings, and arrested Russians as a tit-fortat response. Moscow has called on dialogue and diplomatic solutions. In recent years, the cooperation between Russia and Azerbaijan on oil and gas has decreased. Azerbaijan halted the transit of its oil through the Russian port of Novorossiysk several years ago. This oil was transported as Siberian Light. Due to sanctions, Lukoil halted its oil transit through the Baku-Tbilisi - Ceyhan oil pipeline by 2022. Mark Potter is responsible for the editing and reporting.
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Operator reports that parts of the Czech grid are affected by outages
Grid operator CEPS reported that a Friday outage affected parts of the Czech National Power Grid. It said that "part of the transmission system was without voltage. The event also affected a greater part of transmission substations," adding that the cause of the incident is being investigated. CEPS confirmed that a high-voltage line in the north and east of the country had been affected by an outage. Czech Television reported the outage had affected several regions in the north and east, as well as some parts of the capital. Some areas were quickly restored to power. The DPP, the transport company in Prague, said that underground trains briefly stopped running in the capital but soon resumed. The right bank of Prague was also affected by the suspension of tram traffic. E.ON, who operates a part of the grid south and south-eastern Czech Republic said that its supply area had not been affected. The CTK news agency reported that the Prague outage was caused by a failure at a substation in Prague. (Reporting and editing by Mark Potter.)
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Asian spot prices drop on weak demand, rising supply
The price of Asian spot LNG (liquefied natural gases) fell this week due to a combination of factors: a weak demand, a rising supply, and an abundance in inventories. Meanwhile, the risk premiums were reduced by reducing the ceasefire between Israel & Iran. Average LNG price for August deliveries into North-east Asia Industry sources estimate that the price per million British Thermal Units (mmBtu) was $12.70, down from $13.10/mmBtu in the previous week. The market was under pressure from a combination of factors, including the rising Pacific supply, the high LNG stocks in China and South Korea and the weak industrial demand throughout China and India. "The Iran-Israel ceasefire has further lowered geopolitical risks premiums", said Kpler analyst Go Katayama. He added that production from Australia, Malaysia, and Nigeria have increased. The bearish outlook continues, as initial LNG Canada exports add to the supply length. Further price drops could encourage restocking in Japan, especially if soft fundamentals continue. The data from the Industry Ministry showed that LNG stocks held by major Japanese utilities had fallen to 2,15 million tons on June 29 due to hotter weather driving cooling demand. The previous week, the stockpiles were 2.27 million tonnes. However, the current level is slightly higher than the average five-year volume of 2.1 millions tons. Katayama added that despite the steady nuclear output of Japan, the rising temperatures outpace non-gas production capacity. This could lead to increased spot purchases if this heatwave continues. S&P Global Commodity Insights, a commodity research firm in Europe, assessed the daily North West Europe (NWM) LNG Marker price benchmark on a basis of ex-ship (DES), for August cargoes at $11.142/mmBtu. This represents a $0.435/mmBtu reduction from the gas price at TTF's hub. Spark Commodities set the price at $11.175/mmBtu for August, while Argus estimated it at $11.119/mmBtu. The lack of a strong demand catalyst on the global LNG market did not result in strong price movements this week. However, the supply picture balanced out due to increased liquefaction by the U.S.A. and Qatar which helped improve supply fundamentals," stated Aly Blakeway. As a result of a closed arbitrage with Asia, and the heatwaves in Europe that drew in LNG waterborne cargos, Europe continues to receive the bulk of LNG cargoes. Xiaoyi Deng is deputy head of LNG prices at Argus. She said that European prices are limited because demand has been weak in other regions, and the European Union storage targets, which have become less strict, have shifted risks from summer to winter. Deng said that the recent increase in winter premiums for prompt deliveries reflects this. According to Spark Commodities analyst Qasim Afghan, the U.S. Arbitrage to Northeast Asia via Cape of Good Hope has been pointing towards Europe for the past five weeks, while the arbitrage through Panama continues to point to Asia. He said that the Atlantic LNG rates have fallen to $42,000/day while Pacific LNG rates are down to $40,000.
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INDIA RUPEE: Rupee little changed at the end of week, but looming deadline for tariffs in focus
The Indian rupee ended the week with little change as traders awaited the outcome of the U.S. India trade talks. A positive result could help the local currency overcome a stubborn resistance level. The rupee ended the day at 85.3225, down by about 0.1% on both a weekly and daily basis. The currency had risen to a one-month peak of 85.25 in the previous session but pared gains on Friday after traders scaled back wagers on rate cuts by the Federal Reserve following a stronger-than-expected U.S. labour market report. A trader from a foreign bank stated that the rupee was impacted by the dollar demand of importers. Market participants avoided aggressive bullish bets on the local currency in order to reduce the risk carried over the weekend. The rupee has been unable to hold above the technical resistance around 85.35-85.40 in recent sessions. However, a favorable trade agreement with the U.S. could help the currency overcome this hurdle. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, has announced that Washington will begin sending letters to other countries specifying what tariffs they will be facing on their imports into the United States on Friday. In a note referring to these letters, MUFG stated that "if Trump's remarks prove to be accurate, investors will begin to downgrade their growth expectations and increase their inflation expectations. This will only encourage more dollar selling." Trump announced an agreement with Vietnam earlier this week and the White House hinted at a future deal with India. Talks with Japan, the U.S. closest ally in Asia, have also appeared to be hitting a snag. Analysts have noted that despite the uncertainty, India's rising foreign exchange reserves as well as the central bank's declining forward book is helping to strengthen the rupee.
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Russia strikes Kyiv hours after Trump and Putin's call with the largest drone attack
Officials said that Russia pounded Kyiv in the biggest drone attack of the conflict, causing at least 23 injuries and damaging buildings throughout the capital just hours after Donald Trump had spoken with Vladimir Putin. Air raid sirens reverberated throughout the night, as did the whine and boom of detonations. According to Ukraine's Air Force, Russia had launched 539 drones with 11 missiles. Residents and their families sought shelter in the underground metro stations. The city centre was engulfed in a thick, acrid smoke. The attack was described as "deliberately cynical" by President Volodymyr Zelenskiy who will speak with Trump on Friday evening about the war, and the U.S. decision to halt some air defence missile deliveries. Zelenskiy, on X, said: "Notably the first air-raid alerts were sounded in our cities yesterday almost simultaneously with news reports about a telephone call between Trump and Putin." He added that "Russia is once again showing its inability to end the war and terror", and called for more pressure and air defence equipment on Russia. Officials in Kyiv said that the attack caused damage to about 40 apartment buildings, passenger rail infrastructure, five kindergartens, cafes, and many cars, spread across six of Kyiv’s 10 districts. Poland confirmed that the consular section at its embassy in central Kyiv was damaged, but added that no staff members were injured. Mayor Vitali Klitschko stated on Telegram that 14 of the injured had been hospitalised. Ukrzaliznytsia (Ukraine's state-owned railway), the largest carrier in the country, announced on Telegram the attacks on Kyiv had forced it to divert several passenger trains, which caused delays. Klitschko reported that damage was seen on both sides the Dnipro River, which bisects the city. Falling drone debris also set a medical center on fire in Holosiivskyi District. In recent weeks, Russian air attacks on Kyiv intensified and included some the deadliest attacks of the war against the city of 3 million people. CALL FOR SANCTIONS Trump claimed that his call with Russian President Vladimir Putin resulted in little progress on the efforts to end war. The Kremlin, however, reiterated its commitment to solving the "root causes" of the conflict. Kyiv warned that Washington's decision to stop some critical weapons shipments to Ukraine earlier this week would weaken the country's ability to defend itself against airstrikes intensifying and battlefield advances. Zelenskiy demanded on Friday that Moscow change its "dumb and destructive behavior". He said that "for every such attack against human life and people, they must feel appropriate sanction and other blows" to their economy, revenues and infrastructure. SHELTERED Ukraine's Air Force stated that it destroyed 478 air weapons launched by Russia overnight. It added that air strikes had been recorded at eight different locations in the country, with nine missiles as well as 63 drones. Videos on social media showed people fleeing for shelter, firefighters fighting fires in the darkness and destroyed buildings with blown-out windows and facades. Both sides deny that civilians were targeted in the war which Russia started with its full-scale invasion in Ukraine in February 2022. The conflict has claimed the lives of thousands of civilians, mostly Ukrainians. Although neither side has released military casualty numbers, it is believed that many more soldiers have perished on the frontlines. Five people were killed by Russian shelling late on Thursday in the city of Pokrovsk and its vicinity, Ukraine reported. Pokrovsk has been a target for Russian attacks since months. Reporting by Olena Hartmash, Pavel Polityuk and Valentyn Ogirenko; Writing by Ronald Popeski and Lidia Kelly; Editing and proofreading by Stephen Coates; Raju Gopalakrishnan and Alexandra Hudson
Platts removes three floating storage units in its Asia fuel oil assessment
S&P Global Platts, a commodities pricing agency, has informed its subscribers that it will no longer include three floating storage units in its assessment of Singapore fuel oil and bunker fuel ex-wharf cargoes.
Platts stated in a July 3 note that the vessels CS Innovation and CS Brilliance would no longer be reflected in its process of market-on-close assessments as additional loading points.
The vessels are operated as floating storage units by CSZ Shipping CSHA Shipping and CSHB Shipping at Tanjung Pelepas within the Tanjung Pelepas Port Limits, in southern Malaysia’s Johor State.
Platts stated that the exclusion was a result of a review on market participants' abilities to make offers during the assessment process when product is being loaded from these vessels.
The number of floating storage units has been reduced to 11 from 14. (Reporting and editing by Christopher Cushing; Jeslyn Lerh)
(source: Reuters)