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Ukraine will survey farmers about winter sowing plans for 2027
The Ukrainian agriculture ministry announced on Wednesday that it would conduct a survey among?farmers to determine their plans for winter?crops sowing for the harvest of 2027 and their capacity for storing?crops?for 2026. The Russian attack on Ukrainian Black Sea port has effectively stopped maritime exports. This leaves farmers unable sell their grain or prepare for and carry out a sowing campaign, primarily for winter Wheat. The?ministry announced that the survey was designed to collect up-to date information about the areas that farmers plan to sow in the fall, the progress made on the final stages of the harvest campaign for 2026, and the crop storage capacity available at agricultural enterprises. Last month, Agriculture Minister Taras Vysotskyi said that farmers would reduce the area they sowed for the winter wheat harvest of 2027 because they could not export the wheat harvested. According to the ministry, the risk is that the area that will be sown in 2027 could decrease between 5 and 7 million acres. Ukraine has sown around 20 million hectares (mostly wheat,?corn, and sunflower) of grains and oilseeds in preparation for harvest 2026. The?ministry said that the disruption of grain exports via Black Sea ports could result in a shortage of storage capacity for up to 11 millions tons. The'shortfall' was about?15 millions tons in 2022.
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Haldia Petrochemicals plans to use more LPG in the face of the Iran war threatening feedstock supplies
Haldia Petrochemicals, a company in India, is planning to increase the use of liquefied petroleum gases at its naphtha fueled?cracker by up to 30%. This will help to mitigate supply risks from the Middle East due to the U.S. - Iran 'war. Navanit Narayan said on the sidelines the APPEC Industry Conference that "we are working with Lummus" to retrofit the cracker to allow for LPG flexibility up to 30%. Naphtha & LPG are key feedstocks for petrochemicals that are used in the production of plastics & automotive parts. Narayan stated that "the (naphtha supply) shock from Gulf War was a wake-up call for us. We will have a plan ready at the end of this year." Haldia had term contracts for the supply of naphtha with QatarEnergy and?Kuwait Petroleum Corp. Narayan stated, "We are still working to remove the Qatari volumes." A medium-range tanker can transport up to 35,000 tons of oil products. Narayan stated that the company will source LPG from Indian Oil Petronas Limited, which operates next to a plant at the same site as?HPL. He added, "We also look to import LPG at every possible source." Haldia's ethylene plant in West Bengal, a state in eastern India, has a capacity to process ethylene at a rate of?700,000. It also processes polymers at a rate of?1 million tons per year. It plans to inaugurate a phenol and acetone plant in October. The Chatterjee Group, a private equity firm based in the United States, owns the majority of this company.
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Kremlin: cheaper Russian gas can ease Europe's pain amid rising costs
On Wednesday, the Kremlin said that European countries were paying a high price for avoiding Russian gas due to rising energy prices and could instead be purchasing cheaper supplies from Moscow. The war in Iran has caused European gas prices to soar. They reached their highest level since the end of 2022 when the Ukraine conflict forced Europe to cut imports?of Russian pipe gas. Last week, the benchmark European gas price climbed to EUR75 a megawatt-hour. This is more than double what it was a year earlier. Dmitry Peskov, Kremlin spokesperson, said that Europe hurt itself by purchasing expensive?gas at the spot market rather than opting for cheaper Russian alternatives. "Europeans are well advised to look for cheaper energy sources. "Russian gas, whether it is piped or liquefied, would have been a more affordable option for them long ago, even though LNG is always priced at the spot market," he said to reporters in a daily call. Gas Infrastructure Europe has reported that Europe's gas storage is 67% full compared to nearly 80% last year. HSBC predicts European inventories to reach 73% on November 1, the lowest level since data collection began. According to calculations, the Russian pipeline gas exports into Europe dropped by 44% to 18 billion cubic meters last year, the lowest level since the mid-1970s, after the closure the Ukrainian transit route. calculations. In 2018 and 2019, Russian pipeline gas exports into Europe reached a peak of around 180 bcm annually. The explosions that occurred in 2022 on the 'Nord Stream' undersea pipelines also reduced Russian gas shipments to Europe. Unharmed is one leg of Nord Stream 2's pipeline in the Baltic Sea. Nord Stream is a natural product that Europeans could have used long ago, if they had used common sense. Peskov stated that one of the strings is still intact and functional, and could be put back into service very quickly.
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Dutch public transport stopped by strike over welfare cuts
A nationwide strike on Wednesday against the government's proposal to cut welfare spending halted public transport in The Netherlands. A 24-hour strike affected train services in the entire country, including international trains to Belgium, Germany France and Britain. The strike was organised by the unions against plans to reduce welfare spending up to EUR6.5billion ($7.6billion) annually, mainly through limiting unemployment benefits. The strike is a further obstacle to the centre-right minorities government that was installed in this year's parliament. The coalition is in need of outside support, as it lacks a majority. The opposition's leading left-wing Pro Party has joined the unions to demand that any proposals for welfare cuts be removed from the table. To gain support, the government has already backed down from a plan that would have raised retirement age. Last week it also agreed to soften some other proposals. The Pro party, however, has stated that this is likely not enough and will be requiring 'further negotiation after the official presentation of government budget on 15 September.
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Merz: Drone attack on airport by Russia prepared for by Merz narrowly avoided disaster
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz stated on Wednesday that an attempted drone attack at Leipzig/Halle airport?had been 'prepared in Russia for a long time and a disaster had only just been avoided. Merz, a member of the lower house of parliament, said that this attack had been 'planned in Russia over months' and was targeted specifically at Germany. It was only by chance that major material damage was prevented and harm to people was avoided. Merz made his remarks after the far right Alternative for Germany won a major state election 'in Saxony Anhalt' on Sunday. The platform of the party included?calls for a closer relationship with?Moscow. Russia has denied any involvement in the drone incident at Leipzig Airport, and its foreign minister said that these accusations are "the start of a real war".
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Ivory Coast cocoa producers struggle to use the new traceability system
Ivorian cocoa buyers, traders and cooperatives are struggling to implement a new national traceability system that was introduced in advance of upcoming European Union regulations banning the importation of commodities produced on land recently deforested. Exporters say that problems with the system may slow down purchases and deliveries for the season 2026/27, increasing the risk of disruptions in supply through November. Ivory Coast exports?about 40 percent of the world's cacao and disruptions in its exports could affect cocoa prices. From January 1, 2027, the EU's antideforestation regulations will be in effect and require that commodities like cocoa are fully traceable to their origin. From the start of 2026/27 on September 1, all purchases of cocoa must be made using an electronic producer card. The card allows cocoa to be tracked throughout the supply chain and is verified that it meets?the EU sustainability requirements. The Coffee and Cocoa Council has been promoting the new system for months, but today we find that many people are still unaware of how to use it. The main problem is that buyers, co-operatives and agents on the ground haven't yet mastered?new digital tools for purchasing and tracking," stated a director of a European export firm in Abidjan. Exporters reported that many cooperatives and agents still had not received the equipment. This was slowing down deals in rural cocoa growing areas. Our suppliers do not have payment terminals, bags or seals for rural purchases. "The CCC did not provide all the equipment needed, which is prolonging purchasing times and causing delays in deliveries," said the director of another European export company based in Abidjan. The CCC announced that it had finished setting up payment terminals, and was now distributing equipment in accordance with the previous season's purchases. It claimed to have purchased 20,000 new terminals. CCC Director Yves Brahima Kone admitted that there were some problems, but said they weren't serious. We expect that sales will pick up in the future, and we will work out any problems that arise. We'll be there in a few months.
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Fire disables several merchant ships in the Gulf of Oman and Gulf of Qatar
The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations said that several merchant vessels?in northern Gulf?and Gulf?of?Oman?were hit by disabling?fire during military activity overnight in the area. The UKMTO, a British-affiliated organization that is closely associated with the?navy, said it could not confirm any 'casualties' or?environmental impact. UKMTO also reported another incident, 'on Wednesday, 24 nautical mile from Port Rashid in the United Arab Emirates. The report said that a vessel?was sighted listing at anchor, possibly as a result of an attack from an unknown projectile. U.S. Central Command forces attacked five Iranian crude oil tanks on Tuesday after two days of?attempted rocket attacks against a U.S. Navy ship. Iran's Revolutionary Guards announced on Wednesday that they had attacked two U.S. vessels in the Gulf and eight oil tanks as a response to U.S. attacks?on Iranian tankers. The Guards claimed that the 10 vessels had attempted to cross an area of the Strait of Hormuz they described as being "prohibited" and "unsafe".
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Saudi Arabia lifts alert for southern city after Houthi strike
Saudi Arabia's Civil Defense lifted the alert they had issued in the southern city Khamis Mushait on Wednesday. A day earlier, Houthi attacks in Khamis Mushait and?three other cities nearby injured 73 people and ignited?oil? installations. On Tuesday, Yemen's Houthis who are aligned with Iran struck an airbase at Khamis Mushait as well as oil infrastructure in nearby cities. This was one of the largest attacks on Saudi Arabia since the U.S. and Israel launched their war against Iran in February. Saudi authorities have not provided?details' for the reasons why Wednesday's alert was issued in Khamis Mushait. The fighting between Saudi Arabian and the 'Houthis' has intensified in recent months. This has raised fears that a wider conflict will return after a truce brokered by the U.N. in 2022, which largely ended years of war. Saudi Arabia is the leader of an Arab coalition backing a government based in Yemen’s south that was forced out of Sanaa 12 years ago by the Houthis. The conflict is now a part of a wider regional war. Both Saudi Arabia and the Houthis are close allies with Iran. In July, the Houthis announced a naval blockade in the Red Sea against Saudi Arabia. This prompted the Saudi-led Coalition to attack?what they said were Houthi Military Facilities in Yemen. Saudi-backed Yemeni forces launched an offensive in recent days on Houthi-held territories after the group tried to advance against government positions. The government claims it is aiming to recapture the entire Houthi-held area. Al Masirah TV of the Houthi group, citing its health ministry, reported that Saudi airstrikes on Yemen's Al Jawf in the last two days had killed at least '21 people. Saudi Arabia has neither announced nor confirmed that it is carrying out attacks?there. Saudi Arabia described the Houthi attacks as a dangerous escalate, and the Saudi-led coalition said they would take steps to prevent further attacks. The Houthis claim that their attacks are a response to Saudi Arabia's escalation of violence in Yemen.
Asian spot LNG prices fall on abundant supply and weak demand
The Asian spot LNG prices fell slightly this week due to high storage inventories and continued low demand, as well as the lack of progress in peace talks with Ukraine.
Average LNG price for delivery to North-East Asia in October
Go Katayama is an LNG and gas analyst with Kpler. He said, "We expect further downward pressure on Asian LNG prices as storage levels continue to be elevated while the supply situation continues to firm up."
The demand for heating in November is still low, despite the continued summer heat in Japan. China relies less on LNG spot and more on pipeline and domestic gas imports. South Korea has a large stock, which puts further downward pressure.
Katayama said that, "under these conditions," spot prices could need to fall below $10/mmBtu to revive significant buying interest.
Martin Senior, head LNG pricing at Argus, said that the prices were affected due to the lack of immediate progress in peace talks with Ukraine. This could lead to a potential unsanctioning just over 15 million tonnes per annum of LNG export capability.
Senior stated that in China, the National Oil Companies (NOCs), were re-offering their cargoes. Higher stocks are also limiting demand for injections. Meanwhile, strong hydro generation has affected gas generation costs.
He added that the cooler summers in South and Southeast Asia have impacted on demand for spot.
Gas prices in Europe were stable on Friday, around the firmer levels achieved in the previous session. Attention is now focused on upcoming maintenance in Norway, and the need to fill gas storage tanks before winter.
Alex Froley is a senior LNG analyst with ICIS. He said, "The market feels fairly comfortable as European storage is filling up steadily, Chinese consumption remains low, and new projects such as U.S. Plaquemines, and LNG Canada are building up production."
Froley said that if the first half of the winter is comfortable, then the market could start to slide further into the summer of 2026.
Aly Blakeway is the manager of Atlantic LNG for S&P Global Commodity Insights. He said that despite the lacklustre US demand, Europe continues to be the main recipient of US LNG supply.
He added that LNG imports to the continent are still healthy, and that he expects a rise in the purchase of super-chilled fuel before the heating season.
S&P Global Commodity Insights estimated its daily North West Europe LNG Marker price benchmark (NWM) for cargoes to be delivered in October, on an ex ship (DES) basis, at $10.857/mmBtu as of August 21. This represents a discount of $0.525/mmBtu from the September futures prices at the TTF Hub.
Spark Commodities set the price at $10.809/mmBtu while Argus put it at $10.87/mmBtu.
The U.S. Arbitrage to North-East Asia via Cape of Good Hope still encourages U.S. cargos for delivery to Europe. Spark Commodities analyst Max Glen Doepel said that the arbitrage via Panama marginally points to Europe.
He added that the global LNG freight rates increased marginally this week. The Atlantic rates were assessed at 36,500 dollars per day, while Pacific rates were set at 35, 000 dollars. (Reporting and editing by Leroy Leo; Marwa Rashad)
(source: Reuters)