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Fed policy decision generates most governor dissents since 1993

Federal Reserve Governors have voted in the most dissenting manner since the beginning of the U.S. Central Bank's policy meeting, which lasted two days.

Governor Christopher Waller, and Fed Vice-Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman, voted against the decision of the central bank to keep its benchmark overnight rate at 4.25% to 4.50%. They preferred to lower it by a quarter percent.

According to the St. Louis Fed, this was the first time since December 1993 that two members of Washington's Board of Governors dissented from a policy decision made by the Federal Open Market Committee.

Fed governors rarely express formal opposition, and the majority of FOMC dissenting vote stems from disagreements between regional Fed bank presidents. Last September, Bowman dissented from the FOMC consensus because she wanted a smaller cut in rates than her colleagues. In October 2019, two regional Fed presidents were the last to vote against the FOMC consensus.

Dissenting votes at the FOMC tend to be rare. Up until Wednesday, there had been no Fed meeting in this year that generated formal opposition. Only two dissents occurred in 2024, and none in the years 2023.

Waller and Bowman both indicated their willingness to ease rates ahead of the policy gathering. Waller's desire to lower borrowing costs for short-term loans was justified in a July 17 speech when he stated that "the economy continues to grow, but the pace has slowed considerably, and risks to the FOMC’s employment mandate are increasing."

Bowman dismissed concerns that President Donald Trump’s import tariffs will drive up inflation in her remarks on June 23. She said that as long as inflation was contained, it would be "time to consider" lowering interest rates at the July 29, 30 meeting.

Trump has criticized Fed chair Jerome Powell, for not heeding the White House's demand that interest rates are cut immediately. Waller and Bowman are both members of the Fed board appointed by the current President.

Contrary to Waller's and Bowman's approach, the majority of Fed policymakers are waiting and watching to see what happens with economic and monetary policies. Although inflation pressures are lessened, many officials worry that Trump's tariffs could increase price pressures in the future, which would argue against easing policy.

Waller has made a number of public comments arguing that any increase in inflation caused by tariffs is a temporary problem that central bankers can ignore. He is increasingly concerned that the job market will stagnate and wants the Fed's help to prevent that.

The Fed's policy setting committee is notable for its dissenting votes, which show the depth of debate between central bankers. Fed officials say that they are an indication that policymakers do not get stuck in groupthink as some critics claim. The number of dissenting votes tends to rise during times when the economy is uncertain and facing challenges. (Reporting and editing by Paul Simao, Andrea Ricci, and Michael S. Derby)

(source: Reuters)