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Oil prices rise on US-Russia supply concerns; the market wants clarity about Ukraine talks

The oil prices rose on Wednesday as investors awaited clarification on the Ukraine peace negotiations and amid concerns about disruptions to the supply of crude oil in the U.S.

Brent crude futures rose 14 cents (0.2%), or $75.98 per barrel, at 0450 GMT. This could be the start of a third consecutive day of gains.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures for March gained 16 cents or 0.2% to $72.01, an increase of 1.8% over the Friday close. The contract did not settle on Monday due to the Presidents' Day holiday. The March contract expires Thursday, and the more actively traded April contract rose 14 cents or 0.2% to $71.97.

Tony Sycamore, IG's market analyst, said that the psychologically significant $70 level has held. This is due to the Ukrainian drone attack against the Russian oil pumping stations and the fear of cold weather in the U.S. curtailing supply.

There is speculation that OPEC+ could decide to increase production.

He said that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies had planned to increase their supply in April.

After a drone attack by Ukraine on a pumping facility, Russia reported that oil flow through the Caspian Pipeline Consortium was reduced between 30% and 40% on Tuesday. According to calculations, a 30% cut would equal a loss of 380,000 barrels of oil per day to the market.

The cold weather has also threatened the U.S. supply of oil. According to the North Dakota Pipeline Authority, production in the No. The third-largest oil producing state could see production drop by up to 150,000 barrels per day.

The administration of U.S. president Donald Trump announced on Tuesday that it would continue to talk with Russia about ending the conflict in Ukraine. A deal may ease or remove sanctions that have disrupted Russian oil shipments.

Goldman Sachs analysts said that a possible Ukraine-Russian peace deal, and the associated relaxation of sanctions against Russia, is unlikely to increase Russia's oil flow.

The report stated that "we believe the Russian crude oil production is restricted by the OPEC+ target of 9 million barrels of oil per day, rather than the current sanctions which affect the destination but do not affect the volume"

Officials said that Israel and Hamas would also start indirect negotiations about a second phase of the Gaza ceasefire agreement.

Trump stated on Tuesday that he plans to impose auto import tariffs "in and around 25%", as well as similar duties on semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals. Tariffs can increase the price of consumer goods, weaken an economy, and reduce fuel demand. Reporting by Arathy S. Somasekhar, in Houston; and Emily Chow, in Singapore. Editing by Christian Schmollinger & Kim Coghill.

(source: Reuters)