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Sources say that Russia's daily oil exports to its western ports will drop by 3% in July.
Calculations based on two sources indicate that Russia's daily oil output from its western ports is expected to be 1.93 million barrels a day in July. This is a slight decrease from the plan for June, due to an anticipated increase in refinery runs. Daily oil loadings in Russia from Primorsk and Novorossiisk, as well as from Kazakhstan's KEBCO, and Siberian Light grades of oil, will decrease by 3% from this month. According to calculations based upon data from industry sources, the offline primary oil refinery capacity of Russia is expected to fall by 3.7% from June to 3,21 million metric ton (about 23.4 million barrels) in July. The data are provisional, and will be updated at the end of each month. The Russian oil companies are able to export more crude oil because of the higher refinery run in July. While oil exports to the Far East from Russia's Kozmino Port are expected rise in July, they will likely be a smaller percentage. (Reporting and Editing by Louise Heavens).
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Middle East flights suspended by airlines
There are still many airline services that have been disrupted across the Middle East as a result of the 12-day air conflict between Iran and Israel, which ended on Tuesday with a ceasefire brokered by the United States. Safety concerns and airspace closures continue to impact airline traffic in the area. Here are some airlines that have canceled flights from and to the region. AEGEAN AIRLINES The Greek airline has cancelled flights to Tel Aviv and Beirut as well as to Amman and Erbil until the early flight on September 8th. AIRBALTIC AirBaltic, a Latvian airline, announced that it had cancelled all flights from and to Tel Aviv up until September 30. AIR CANADA The Canadian carrier suspends its flights between Toronto and Dubai until the 4th of August. The Canadian carrier had already delayed the resumption to service between Canada & Israel until September 8. AIR EUROPA Spanish airline cancels flights from and to Tel Aviv through July 31. AIR FRANCE-KLM Starting July 7, the French flag carrier will resume its flights between Paris-Charles de Gaulle to Tel Aviv. The French flag carrier plans to resume flights between Paris-Charles de Gaulle, and Beirut on June 28. KLM has cancelled all flights from and to Tel Aviv, until at least the 31st of July. AIR INDIA It said that the Indian airline would "gradually" resume flights from and to the Middle East beginning June 24, and it will also resume flights between the East Coast of the U.S.A. and Canada at the "earliest possible opportunity." The Indian airline will resume flights to and from Europe from June 24. All flights from and to Israel, except for New York, are being cancelled by the Israeli airline until June 30. Flights to Eilat have been cancelled until June 28. DELTA AIR LINES Travel to, from or through Tel Aviv could be affected between June 12 and July 31. EL AL ISRAEL AIRLINES The Israeli airline increased flight frequencies and added more flights from major destinations as of June 24. It added that flights will continue to operate according to schedule, with the exception of a few cancelled ones, starting next week. ETIHAD AERWAYS Etihad has announced that it will no longer be operating flights between Abu Dhabi, Tel Aviv and Tel Aviv after July 15. EMIRATES Emirates has temporarily suspended its flights to and out of Iran and Iraq, until June 30. FINNAIR Finnair has cancelled all flights from and to Doha until June 30 as well as flight AY1982 for July 1. Finnair also added that they would not be flying over the airspaces of Iraq, Iran or Syria. FLYDUBAI The UAE airline announced that it plans to resume its full network schedule on July 1, 2019. On June 26, it will resume flights to Tel Aviv and Damascus. British Airways, a subsidiary of IAG, has announced that flights to Tel Aviv will be suspended until July 31, and flights to Amman or Bahrain will be suspended up to June 30. British Airways also suspended flights from and to Doha until June 25. Iberia Express' low-cost airline IAG had announced that it would cancel its flights to Tel Aviv up until June 30. Iberia resumes its Doha flights on the 27th of June. ITA AIRWAYS Italian Airlines announced that it will extend the suspension of Tel Aviv flight until July 31. This includes two flights scheduled for August 1. JAPAN AIRLINES The Japanese airline has cancelled all flights to Doha from July 2 until July 2. LUFTHANSA GROUP Lufthansa has suspended flights from and to Tel Aviv, Tehran and Beirut until July 31. Amman and Erbil flights are cancelled through July 11. German Airlines added that they would not use the airspace of these countries until further notice. PEGASUS Turkish Airlines has announced that they have cancelled all flights to Iran, Iraq, Lebanon, and Jordan until the 7th of July. QATAR AIRWAYS Qatar Airways has temporarily canceled flights from and to Iraq, Iran and Syria. RYANAIR Ryanair has cancelled all flights from and to Tel Aviv, and Amman up until October 25. Romania's flag airline said that flights from Tel Aviv to Beirut would resume on the evening of June 27 and 28. TUS AIRWAYS Cypriot Airlines has announced that it will resume flights to and from Israel. UNITED AIRLINES According to the U.S. airline, travel from and to Tel Aviv could be affected between June 13, and August 1, 2013. There may be problems with flights to and from Dubai between June 18th and July 3th. WIZZ AIR Wizz Air announced that it would suspend its flights to Tel Aviv, Amman and the United Arab Emirates from June 30 to September 15, and cancel all other flights until then. Hungarian Airlines will not overfly Israeli, Iraqi and Iranian airspaces until further notice. (Reporting and compilation by Bureaus, Elviira Louma, Tiago Brandao; Editing by Matt Scuffham and Alison Williams.
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Germany is considering a law reform to stop the Russians from acquiring Nord Stream
A document published on Friday revealed that Germany may change its foreign trade laws to prevent the Nord Stream 2 company from being takenover. This is part of Berlin’s efforts to stop any resumption in Russian gas imports. Since the beginning of the Ukraine conflict, Germany has been looking for alternatives to cheap Russian gas. The German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said he would ensure that Nord Stream 2, a project the country had once backed, wouldn't go into operation. However, the country currently has no legal way to stop the sale of assets owned by Russian giant Gazprom. The Nord Stream system consists of two double pipelines that cross the Baltic Sea and go to Germany. It was the largest route for Russian gas entering Europe. It could deliver 110 billion cubic meters of gas per year. The second Nord Stream 2 link was completed in 2021. The project never reached its operational phase due to the deteriorating relationship between Russia and Western countries. In 2022, it was also hit by mysterious explosions that destroyed one of two lines. The Swiss-based Nord Stream 2 is going through an insolvency procedure that could result in asset sales. The Wall Street Journal reported in November that U.S. Investor Stephen P. Lynch attempted to purchase Nord Stream 2. The Russian government denied this report. In a response to a question from the German Parliament dated 24 June, the German Economy Ministry stated that the government is discussing a potential amendment in this legislative session to the Foreign Trade Law as it currently does not provide any investment review if a takeover occurs. Der Spiegel published the first news. Michael Kellner, former state secretary of the economy ministry and Green legislator Michael Kellner, said that this loophole must be closed by the government. He said that Russian and American companies should not be allowed to own pipelines in Germany or Europe. Gazprom has not responded to our request for comment. (Reporting from Riham Alkousaa in Berlin and Andreas Rinke; additional reporting by Vladimir Soldatkin, editing by Ludwig Burger & Barbara Lewis.
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Asian spot LNG prices drop as the supply disruption risk fades
The price of Asian LNG spot fell from its four-month peak this week, as the threat of a supply disruption was reduced by a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran. Average LNG price for August deliveries into North-East Asia According to industry sources, the price was $13,10 per million British Thermal Units (mmBtu), a drop from $14.00/mmBtu a week ago. This was the highest rate since February 21. "We have a slightly negative outlook for Asian prices (which is stable)." "A sustained Iran-Israel truce would reduce geopolitical risks, and refocus on the weak demand in China, South Korea, and Japan," said Charles Costerousse senior LNG analyst of data analytics firm Kpler. The Asian price premiums for Europe rose over the last week despite the possibility of the Strait of Hormuz closing down. However, a rise of charter rates in the Atlantic basin curbed a swathe of mid Atlantic diversions. Gas prices in Europe have fallen this week. The focus is now on weather conditions, as warmer temperatures are expected in Europe. The filling of the gas inventories continues to go relatively smoothly, but will continue to be a focus in the months ahead," said Hans Van Cleef. He is the head of EqoLibrium's energy research. Aly Blakeway is the manager of Atlantic LNG for S&P Global Commodity Insights. She said that a steady supply of LNG cargoes along with a healthy pipeline gas supply will meet power generation requirements and contribute to replenishing Europe's underground storage of gas ahead of winter. S&P Global Commodity Insights estimated its daily North West Europe LNG Marker price benchmark (NWM) for cargoes to be delivered in August ex-ship on a DES basis at $11.362/mmBtu, a $0.365/mmBtu reduction from the August futures prices at the TTF Hub. Spark Commodities set the price of July at $11.320/mmBtu. Argus, on the other hand, assessed the August price at $11.380/mmBtu. Costerousse, from Kpler, said that the outlook for Henry hub prices in the U.S. remains bearish. Traders are looking beyond the current heatwave to a more milder forecast for early July. Qasim Afghan, an analyst at Spark Commodities, says that the U.S. Arbitrage to North-East Asia via Cape of Good Hope points to Europe by a small margin, whereas the arbitrage via Panama still points to Asia, for the fourth consecutive week. Afghan said that on the LNG market, Atlantic rates were relatively stable at $48,750/day last Friday. Meanwhile, Pacific rates increased and are now at $42,500/day. (Reporting and editing by Nina Chestney; Marwa Rashad)
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Middle East flights suspended by airlines
There are still many airline services that have been disrupted across the Middle East as a result of the 12-day air conflict between Iran and Israel, which ended on Tuesday with a ceasefire brokered by the United States. Safety concerns and airspace closures continue to impact airline traffic in the area. Here are some airlines that have cancelled flights from and to the region. AEGEAN AIRLINES The Greek airline has cancelled flights to Tel Aviv and Beirut as well as to Amman and Erbil until the early flight on September 8th. AIRBALTIC AirBaltic, a Latvian airline, announced that it had cancelled all flights from and to Tel Aviv up until September 30. AIR CANADA The Canadian carrier suspends its flights between Toronto and Dubai until the 4th of August. The Canadian carrier had already delayed the resumption to service between Canada and Israel until September 8. AIR EUROPA Spanish airline cancels flights from and to Tel Aviv through July 31. AIR FRANCE-KLM The French flag carrier has suspended flights to Tel Aviv up until July 14. The airline plans to resume flights between Paris-Charles de Gaulle airport and Beirut on June 26, and flights to and out of Dubai and Riyadh from June 25. KLM has cancelled all flights from and to Tel Aviv, until at least the 31st of July. AIR INDIA It said that the Indian airline would "gradually" resume flights from and to the Middle East beginning June 24, and it will also resume flights between the East Coast of the U.S.A. and Canada at the "earliest possible opportunity." The Indian airline will resume flights to and from Europe from June 24. All flights from and to Israel, except for New York, are being cancelled by the Israeli airline until June 30. Flights to Eilat have been cancelled until June 28. DELTA AIR LINES Travel to, from or through Tel Aviv could be affected between June 12 and July 31. EL AL ISRAEL AIRLINES The Israeli airline increased flight frequencies and added more flights from major destinations as of June 24. It added that flights will continue to operate according to schedule, with the exception of a few cancelled ones, starting next week. ETIHAD AERWAYS Etihad has announced that it will no longer be operating flights between Abu Dhabi, Tel Aviv and Tel Aviv after July 15. EMIRATES Emirates has temporarily suspended its flights to and out of Iran and Iraq, until June 30. FINNAIR Finnair has cancelled all flights from and to Doha until June 30 as well as flight AY1982 for July 1. Finnair also added that they would not be flying over the airspaces of Iraq, Iran or Syria. FLYDUBAI The UAE airline announced that it plans to resume its full network schedule on July 1, 2019. On June 26, it will resume flights to Tel Aviv and Damascus. British Airways, a subsidiary of IAG, has announced that flights to Tel Aviv will be suspended until July 31, and flights to Amman or Bahrain will be suspended until June 30, inclusive. British Airways also suspended flights from and to Doha until June 25. Iberia Express of IAG, the low-cost airline that IAG owns, announced previously that it would cancel its flights from Tel Aviv to June 30. Iberia resumes its Doha flights on the 27th of June. ITA AIRWAYS Italian Airlines announced that it will extend the suspension of Tel Aviv flight until July 31. This includes two flights scheduled for August 1. JAPAN AIRLINES The Japanese airline has cancelled all flights to Doha from July 2 until July 2. LUFTHANSA GROUP Lufthansa has suspended flights from and to Tel Aviv, Tehran and Beirut until July 31. Amman and Erbil flights are cancelled through July 11. German Airlines added that they would not use the airspace of these countries until further notice. PEGASUS Turkish Airlines has announced that they have cancelled all flights to Iran, Iraq, Lebanon and Jordan up until July 7. QATAR AIRWAYS Qatar Airways has temporarily canceled flights from and to Iraq, Iran and Syria. RYANAIR Ryanair has cancelled all flights from and to Tel Aviv, and Amman up until October 25. Romania's flag airline said that flights from Tel Aviv to Beirut would resume on the evening of June 27 and 28. TUS AIRWAYS Cypriot Airlines has announced that it will resume flights to and from Israel. UNITED AIRLINES According to the U.S. airline, travel from and to Tel Aviv could be affected between June 13, and August 1, 2013. There may be problems with flights to and from Dubai between June 18th and July 3th. WIZZ AIR Wizz Air announced that it would suspend its flights to Tel Aviv, Amman and the United Arab Emirates from June 30 to September 15, and cancel all other flights until then. Hungarian Airlines will not overfly Israeli, Iraqi and Iranian airspaces until further notice. (Reporting and compilation by Bureaus, Elviira Louma, Tiago Brandao; Editing by Matt Scuffham and Alison Williams.
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Ivory Coast targets 50% cocoa production locally within two years
The head of the national regulator announced that Ivory Coast will increase its domestic cocoa production to 50% within two years. This is up from the current 42%, he said. Yves Brahima Kone, the managing director of Ivory Coast’s Coffee and Cocoa Council, said that cocoa processing was essential to boost local industry and support economic growth. Kone, who spoke at the opening of the Abidjan plant in Abidjan, the commercial capital of Ivory Coast's country, said that the Ivory Coast has invested to boost the domestic industry. He said that five plants will be completed and operational in two years. Older facilities will also be upgraded. Kone said that "thanks to our investment and others in progress, our installed grinding capacity is 1,06 million tons which is more than 50% of our total production." The Abidjan Grinding Plant was inaugurated by the regulator on Thursday, in partnership with a Singaporean affiliate of Malaysian chocolate group Guan Chong Berhad. In two years, it will be increased to 110,000 tonnes. The warehouses of the top cocoa producer have a capacity to store 150,000 tons. In two years, the San Pedro plant, located at the port of the southwest part of the country will double its storage capacity to 100,000 tonnes and be able to match Abidjan. Transcao, the grinding company of the regulator, will be able to grind 210,000 tons of cocoa and store 300,000 tonnes of beans in two warehouses. We needed to invest in this sector in order to accelerate the processing of cacao beans in Ivory Coast. Kone stated that this gives others confidence, as they know we are also committed and taking the same risk. (Editing by Ayen deng Bior and Anait Miridzhanian, editing by David Evans).
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Sources say that Kazakhstan's TCO has shipped the first oil from Kazakhstan to Germany via Druzhba.
Two industry sources said that Kazakhstan's Tengizchevroil exported 100,000 metric tonnes of oil to Germany via Russia's Druzhba pipe last month, as it ramped up production. TCO is 50% owned by Chevron, 25% by ExxonMobil, 20% KazMunayGaz, and 5% Lukoil. Tengiz is the largest oilfield in Kazakhstan. The consortium declined comment. The Caspian Pipeline Consortium is Kazakhstan's primary oil export channel. It ships around 80% via Russia's Black Sea Terminal. The world's biggest landlocked country, however, is trying to diversify its routes of export. Chevron announced in January that it had started a $48 billion expansion at Tengiz. This is due to the high levels of sulphur and harsh weather conditions. KazMunayGaz reports that the production on the field between January and May was 15.9 millions tons. The Kazakhstani oil exports via the Druzhba pipeline (Friendship), built by the Soviets, will increase this year from 1.5 million to 2,000,000 tons or 40,000 barrels a day. KEBCO is the name given to Kazakhstan's oil that comes via Russia. This distinguishes it from Russia’s Urals blend, which has been sanctioned by Western countries. Mark Potter is responsible for editing and reporting.
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The rupee has its best week for over two years, as the dollar struggles to recover.
The Indian rupee has had its best week in January 2023 as an Iran/Israel ceasefire reduced oil prices, and slashed demand for safe-haven dollars. Worries about the Federal Reserve's independence have also added pressure to the greenback. The rupee rose 1.3% in a week, the best performance it has had in over two years. It closed at 85.4750 per U.S. Dollar on Friday. Crude oil prices fell by more than 11% in the past week, after Iran and Israel agreed to a ceasefire at the end of a 12-day conflict that included U.S. involvement. The dollar index fell 1.5% for the week, as investors were unnerved at the recent signs of a deterioration in the independence of the U.S. Central Bank. They pushed the greenback to its lowest level in more than three years. "A part of the dollar's decline is due to Washington's inability to predict policy, and this is not likely to change," MUFG said in a recent note. The rupee has risen this week, but continues to trail behind its Asian counterparts due to persistent dollar weakness that is expected over the next 2025. The rupee has not changed much this year, despite currencies such as the Korean won or offshore Chinese yuan being up between 2% to 9%. Analysts and bankers believe that, while rupee underperformance will likely persist, a weaker dollar along with portfolio inflows in the short term should support the currency. In the past few sessions, foreign investors have been buying Indian government bonds. Block trades and Initial Public Offerings have also attracted global interest. Investors will try to gauge future policy rates by focusing on the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Inflation data and remarks from Fed policymakers later on Friday.
Shipping companies pull out of Hong Kong to avoid US-China risks
Some shipping companies move their operations discreetly out of Hong Kong, and remove vessels from its registry. Some shipping companies are making contingency planning to do this.
Six shipping executives have said that these low-profile actions are motivated by a fear that their vessels could be seized by Chinese authorities, or face U.S. sanction in the event of a clash between Beijing and Washington. The people said that the growing U.S. scrutiny over the importance of China’s commercial fleet to a potential military conflict, such as one over Taiwan, and Beijing's emphasis of Hong Kong's role in serving Chinese interests is causing concern in the shipping industry. Last month, the U.S. Trade Representative proposed imposing steep U.S. fees on Chinese shipping firms and other companies that operate Chinese-built ships to counter China's "targeted dominant" in shipbuilding and maritime logistic. Washington warned American companies in September about the growing risks associated with operating in Hong Kong. The U.S. has already imposed sanctions on officials who are involved in a crackdown.
Hong Kong has been the hub of shipowners for over a century, as well as brokers, financiers underwriters, and lawyers who support them. Official data shows that its maritime and port industries accounted for 4,2% of the GDP in 2022.
VesselsValue - a subsidiary company of Veson Nautical, a maritime data group - reports that the city's flag was flown on eight out of ten ships in the world.
Interviews with two dozen people familiar with Hong Kong including shipping executives and lawyers revealed a growing concern about the possibility that commercial maritime operations in Hong Kong could be caught up by forces outside their control if a U.S. - China military conflict occurs.
Many pointed out China's increased focus on national security goals, trade frictions, and Hong Kong's leader's broad powers to take control of shipping if necessary, as he is accountable to Beijing.
One executive who, like many others, was allowed to remain anonymous to discuss this sensitive subject said: "We do not want to be in the position where China is knocking on our door, requesting our ships, while the U.S. targets us from the other side."
Previously, the concerns of shipowners as well as their efforts to limit exposure to Hong Kong were not reported. In recent years the perception of risk has increased, in line with the tightening security environment in the Chinese-ruled area and the tensions between two of the largest economies in the world.
Turning Tide
To comply with safety and environment rules, commercial ships must be registered or flagged with a specific country or jurisdiction.
VesselsValue, an independent research firm, found that despite the influx of Chinese ships on Hong Kong's register, the number oceangoing vessels registered in the city dropped by more than 8% in January, from 2,580 in January 2004. Government data show a similar drop.
In 2023 and 2024 74 ships, mostly dry-bulk carriers, were re-flagged for Singapore and Marshall Islands. These vessels transport commodities like coal, iron ore, and grain. VesselsValue reports that 15 tankers and 7 container ships left Hong Kong's registry to fly these flags.
Hong Kong's ship registry has seen a dramatic decline in the last two years. Official data shows that it grew by 400% over the past 20 years.
Hong Kong's Government responded to questions by saying that it is normal for shipping companies, given the changing geopolitical, trade and economic circumstances, to review their operations. It is also normal for the numbers of ships registered to fluctuate over the short-term.
A spokesperson stated that Hong Kong will "continue to excel" as an international shipping center, highlighting a variety of incentives, such as profits tax breaks and environmental subsidies, for shipowners.
The spokesperson stated that neither the laws governing registry nor the emergency provisions empower Hong Kong's leader in commandeering ships to serve as part of a Chinese merchant navy.
When asked to comment on the concerns of industry players about how emergency powers from colonial times might be used during a conflict between the U.S. and China, the spokesperson declined. The provisions give the leader of the city "any regulation whatsoever", which includes taking control over vessels and property.
China's commerce and defence ministries did not respond to questions regarding the role of the merchant fleet in Beijing’s warfighting plan, the possible involvement of Hong Kong flagged vessels, or the concerns of commercial shipowners.
The U.S. Treasury declined to comment on potential sanctions, concerns of shipping executives, or the role played by Hong Kong-registered ships in a Chinese commercial fleet.
Lawyers and executives agree that ships can be reflagged in a variety of ways, including through the sale, chartering or redeployment on different routes.
Basil Karatzas of Karatzas Marine Advisors & Co in the U.S. said that Singapore was becoming the preferred domicile for businesses with less exposure to Chinese shipping or cargo trade. It offered many efficiencies including its legal system but also a lower risk than Hong Kong.
Singapore's Maritime and Port Authority stated that decisions regarding domiciles and flags were based on business considerations. The Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore said it had not noticed any "significant changes" in the number Hong Kong shipping companies moving operations or reflagging vessels to Singapore.
MERCHANT FLEEET
Executives and lawyers agree that Hong Kong's registry for shipping is highly regarded by the industry because of its high safety and regulatory standards. This allows its ships to easily pass through foreign ports. Many of China's international state-owned vessels now fly Hong Kong's banner.
According to PLA military studies and four security analysts, in a conflict these tankers and bulk carriers would be the backbone of the merchant fleet that supplies China's oil and food needs.
The U.S., on the other hand, has a very small shipbuilding industry. It also has far fewer vessels under its flag. Three analysts say that while China's growing state-owned fleet would be a target of the U.S. during a military conflict, Beijing would need other vessels in order to supply its needs, given its reliance on international shipping lanes and vast needs.
Donald Trump has been keeping a close eye on strategic maritime operations. Trump said in his January inauguration address that he would "take back" control of the Panama Canal from China. Trump did not provide specifics but his remarks focused on two Panama port operated by a Hong Kong conglomerate CK Hutchison Holdings subsidiary. The group did not respond to any questions regarding Trump's remarks, but agreed to sell the majority of the subsidiary's shares to a consortium led by BlackRock this week, giving U.S. interest control over the port. Trump said to Congress that his administration would create a shipbuilding office in the White House, and provide new tax incentives.
In a study conducted by the U.S. Congress in November 2023, it was stated that "cargo vessels typically transport 90% of military equipment required in overseas conflicts". The report noted that Chinese shipyards ordered 1,794 ocean-going large ships in 2022 compared to five in the U.S.
Merchant vessels played a crucial role in Britain's 1982 long-range operation to retake Argentina's Falkland Islands. Declassified CIA files show that UK-flagged ships operated out of Hong Kong, many of which were owned or controlled by Chinese firms, supplied communist Hanoi in the Vietnam War.
In 2013, President Xi Jinping outlined the need for a Chinese merchant fleet that would help to build China's maritime strength in a Politburo session.
In the past decade, Chinese military and government documents and studies have emphasized the dual-use value of China’s merchant ships.
According to state media, regulations enacted in 2014 required Chinese builders to build five types of commercial ships, including tankers and container ships, to be able to serve military requirements.
Since then, COSCO has seen a significant increase in its line.
Documents from COSCO show that China places political commissars, officers who make sure Communist Party goals are served, on nominally civil ships.
The U.S. banned COSCO subsidiaries in January for what they said were links with the Chinese military.
COSCO has not responded to any questions regarding its deployment of commissars, U.S. restrictions, or what role COSCO's ships -- including those with Hong Kong flags -- might play in wartime.
'REALLY DE-RISKED'
Hong Kong is still an important shipowners' base, despite geopolitical issues. Some shipowners are quietly hedging.
Taylor Maritime (London-listed) a company that was founded in Hong Kong, in 2014, has a much smaller presence in Hong Kong now after several strategic moves in the last few years.
It has been flagging its ships in Singapore and the Marshall Islands since 2021. The company has offices in London, Guernsey and Singapore.
A person with knowledge of the matter said that the firm "really reduced the risk of Hong Kong". This was due to investors' fears of a Chinese invasion in Taiwan and the Communist Party taking control of Hong Kong.
Taylor Maritime's spokesperson stated that the company initially moved its Asia-based teams from Hong Kong to Singapore to be closer to their clients.
Taylor Maritime, after acquiring Grindrod, a shipping company with an Asia office in Singapore and expanding its operations there, relocated certain functions from Hong Kong to Singapore, where it became the primary Asia hub.
Two people with knowledge of the situation said that Pacific Basin Shipping, a Hong Kong listed company, has always flagged its 110 bulk carrier fleet in Hong Kong. However, it is now preparing contingency plans for them to be registered elsewhere while it assesses possible risks.
Pacific Basin's spokesperson stated that the company constantly evaluated geopolitical risk but its fleet still flew the Hong Kong flag "which, at least for the moment, outweighs the challenges".
The spokesperson stated that "Being located in Hong Kong places us near China's 40% share of the global dry bulk export/import activity as well as close to Asia's strong industrial and economic growth regions."
Angad Banga said that shipping firms adjust contingency plans based upon risk assessments, but he has not heard of concerns regarding the commandeering vessels.
Banga said that although some organizations may be re-evaluating their operational strategies, they do not see a widespread exodus from Hong Kong or a loss of confidence. The city, he added, remained attractive to maritime commerce.
Some industry figures have described a general unease in Hong Kong, which has affected their planning.
Three lawyers have said that, until recently, contracts for the increasing number of ships constructed in China that are financed by Chinese banks stipulated that the ship must fly the Hong Kong Flag.
Lawyers said that in the past two years some companies have added a disclaimer to their contracts, stating that they are willing to consider other flags as an alternative. Could not independently verify these changes. Beijing officials have stressed that Hong Kong is important in achieving national security goals. They also referred to China's modernisation of its military and refusal to abandon the use of force against Taiwan.
Three executives and lawyers said that the sweeping security laws, which were first implemented in Hong Kong in July 2021 and then strengthened in March 2020, have increased dangers.
Lawyers said that any attempt by Hong Kong’s leader to commandeer ships in an emergency could prove difficult, since locally registered vessels often travel routes far away from Hong Kong. They said that such powers, which have been in place for a long time, now needed to be seen through the lens of national security.
One lawyer stated that some shipowners would not object to a request from the government to hand over their vessels. This could be due to patriotism, or because they might profit by a crisis.
Another veteran lawyer said that it is "better to avoid being in a situation where you could be asked".
It was not an issue a few short years ago. The national security map has been redrawn. (Reporting and editing by David Crawshaw; Additional reporting by Andrea Shalal, Idrees, and Idrees in Washington and Beijing, Shanghai, and Hong Kong;
(source: Reuters)