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Uganda's growth will be higher next year, but there is no oil-fueled boom yet

Uganda forecasts its economic growth will accelerate to about 7% in the coming year, indicating that officials do not plan on large-scale production of energy in the next twelve months.

This year, growth was projected at 6.3%.

The latest government estimate was that crude production would begin in the middle of the year. However, this date has been pushed back repeatedly due to disagreements between the government of President Yoweri Museeveni and international energy companies and the slow progress of building critical infrastructure.

Companies including France's TotalEnergies, China's CNOOC and China's TotalEnergies are developing Uganda's oilfields near the border with Democratic Republic of Congo. They are estimated to have 6 billion barrels of reserve.

In his annual Budget Speech on Thursday, Finance minister Matia Kasaija stated that the goal was to reduce the deficit from 7.6% of the gross domestic product to 6.5% next fiscal year.

In his speech, the minister made it clear that energy and mining are key drivers of growth. He cited an oil pipeline, a refinery, and quantification of reserves like iron ore and gold as priorities.

He predicted that the annual growth rate would be double-digits as soon as oil production began.

When crude oil begins to flow, the International Monetary Fund believes that Uganda's economy could grow by double digits.

The World Bank announced last week that they would resume funding for Uganda. This comes nearly two years after the World Bank suspended all new funding due to an anti-LGBT legislation that includes penalties such as death and life in prison. ($1 = 3,589.0000 Ugandan Shillings) (Reporting and writing by Elias Biryabarema, Editing by Alexander Winning & Susan Fenton).

(source: Reuters)