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Russia to ban partial diesel exports until the end of the year, but traders claim that there will be little impact.

The Russian government is planning to implement a partial export ban of diesel until the end the year in order to combat shortages after a series of drone attacks by the Ukrainians on Russian refineries. However, traders expect the measure to not have a significant impact on fuel flow.

The Russian restrictions will only apply to exporters that do not produce fuel or whose export share is low.

Around three quarters of diesel exported by producers are sent via North and South Pipelines, which respectively lead to Baltic and Black Sea Ports. These volumes are not limited.

The new restrictions do not apply to the exports of non-producing diesel by Central Asian countries that have also signed intergovernmental agreements on fuel shipment with Russia.

Russia plans to restrict the export of oil and petroleum products to reduce fuel shortages across the country.

Industry sources claim that Russia will produce almost 86 millions metric tons (about 31 million tons) of diesel by 2024.

The Russian government has already introduced an export tariff of 50,000 rubles ($598) for non-producers, which has led to a decline in fuel supplies and a worsening of margins for traders.

On the St Petersburg Exchange, diesel wholesale prices are around 70,000 roubles a ton.

According to analysts' estimations, the decline in Russia’s diesel exports could reach 0-2% and will be closer towards zero, said a trader, who declined to name himself due to the sensitive nature of the issue.

Another trading source stated that "the ban will not lead to any influx of Diesel Fuel into the domestic market."

(source: Reuters)