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Take Five: Houston we have an IPO

SpaceX's public listing will be the main event, as it is likely to become among the 10 most valuable U.S.-listed companies after it goes public. Meanwhile, a rate increase from the European Central Bank seems inevitable on Thursday.

OPEC+ meets in the background of the Iran War to decide on its oil production quotas. On Thursday, the World Cup begins in Mexico.

Lewis Krauskopf, Gregor Stuart Hunter, Karin Strohecker, Yoruk Bahceli and Ahmad Ghaddar, all from New York, and?Yoruk?Bahceli in London, will provide you with the information that you need about this week's financial markets.

IP-OH!

Wall Street braces for Elon Musk's rocket-and-satellite company SpaceX to make its initial public offering -- an event that is likely to be the first in a series of mega IPOs over the next few months.

SpaceX's Nasdaq launch -- which is expected to take place on June 12 -- is fast approaching, as the high-flying technology stocks have been leading a spectacular rally for major U.S. stock indexes. The company plans to raise $75 billion, a record amount. It aims for a $1.75 trillion valuation.

OpenAI, a giant in the AI field, is also expected to make its debut soon after. Anthropic announced on June 1 that it had filed a confidential U.S. IPO.

Investors will be focusing on the monthly U.S. Consumer Price Index as they grapple with inflation concerns triggered by higher energy costs. Oracle's quarterly earnings report will continue to keep the tech stocks and AI hot trade in the spotlight.

NIP IT IN BUD

The ECB will be the first of the world's largest central banks to raise rates since the Iran war.

Frankfurt wants to avoid the same mistake as 2022.

The 25-basis point rate increase expected on Thursday is seen as an "insurance", signaling that the ECB will not allow inflation to become entrenched, rather than the beginning of a large-scale hike cycle.

The current crisis has already impacted the economy, and policymakers must tread a fine line to avoid accelerating the decline.

The markets believe that the ECB will only raise rates twice or three times in this year.

The 2026 FIFA World Cup begins on Thursday. Mexico, Canada and United States will co-host the world's largest sporting event. Last time, approximately 5 billion people watched the event. With more teams and venues to choose from, we can expect an even larger global binge.

As fans flock to the United States, they buy beer, and purchase merchandise.

The macro boost The macro boost is less spectacular. Growth tends to be short lived and spending often gets reshuffled.

For the office sweepstake, Goldman Sachs' model, based on Elo scores for chessplayers, gives Spain a 26% edge, followed by France. Argentina, and Brazil.

Business as usual

Sources say that OPEC+ Ministers will agree on a target increase for July production this Sunday as they signal business as usual despite Iran's war.

Investors are waiting for progress in the peace talks that could open up the Strait of Hormuz. Prices fell by more than 19% in May, mostly on the hope of a deal.

From April to June, seven core OPEC+ member countries have increased their quotas nearly 600 000 barrels per day. Yet, actual production has fallen to 33.19 millions bpd from 42.77 in February.

The July quota will be up by 188,000 bpd in line with the June quota. The International Energy Agency warned that global inventories may reach critical levels before summer peak demand.

CHINA HEALTH CHECK China will have its monthly health test in the next week. Trade data for May is due to be released on Tuesday and should provide the latest update as to how Asia's largest economy coped with the Iran War's third month.

Investors will be able to get a second read on Wednesday, including whether the consumer price inflation will continue on its upward trajectory that it has been on since October. The gauge for producer prices, which turned positive in March after almost four years of negative readings, will also be a focus.

The data on lending for May will also be released this week. The total social financing, which is the broadest measure of credit to China's economy, showed the lowest growth in two years for April.

(source: Reuters)